EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Chapecoense AF — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 30 games · 49 pts (2026/26)
- Chapecoense AF 29 games · 18 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 30 | 64 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 30 | 51 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 30 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 30 | 48 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 30 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 30 | 42 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 30 | 40 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 30 | 39 |
| 11 | Coritiba FBC | 30 | 39 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 30 | 36 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 30 | 36 |
| 14 | CR Vasco da Gama | 29 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 30 | 33 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 30 | 32 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 30 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 30 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 29 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | Chapecoense AF | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 May | Botafogo FR | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | Coritiba FBC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 03 May | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul | EC Bahia | A | 0–2 | L |
| 31 May | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 24 May | Cruzeiro EC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 May | Clube do Remo | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 May | RB Bragantino | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Chapecoense AF | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #20 |
| 49 | Points | 18 |
| 30 | Played | 29 |
| 13 / 10 / 7 | W / D / L | 3 / 9 / 17 |
| 44 | Scored | 30 |
| 36 | Conceded | 61 |
| +8 | GD | -31 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 0.62 |
| 43% | Win % | 10% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
37%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
10%
Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season
Chapecoense AF this season
EC Bahia are 5th (49 pts). Chapecoense AF are 20th (18 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chapecoense AF
0-15
1/6
16-30
4/11
31-45
4/6
46-60
3/6
61-75
2/8
76+
5/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Chapecoense AF
| Marcinho | 5 G | 2 A |
| Walter Clar | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. EC Bahia is hosting Chapecoense AF for another epic battle.
- 5' EC Bahia started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcinho made 382 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 12' A stunning finish from Rodrigo Nestor — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 17' EC Bahia are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 22' With 3 assists to his name this season, Bruno Pacheco is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Chapecoense AF.
- 27' Supporters expect more eagerness from Neto Pessoa, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 32' Chapecoense AF have won 122 goals from 183 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 34' Roman Gomez doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 39' It’s high time Rogério Ceni made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 44' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 46' Fresh legs for Chapecoense AF! Neto Pessoa comes on to replace Enio.
- 51' Chapecoense AF seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 56' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Rodrigo Nestor scoring 1 goals.
- 61' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 63' The whistle greets Marcos Vinicius as he departs to be replaced by Rubens Tadeu.
- 64' That looks like a foul for a card for Jose Guilherme.
- 67' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Willian Jose is replaced by Kaue Junior.
- 72' Chapecoense AF is showing some good football. However, Chapecoense AF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 77' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. EC Bahia needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 79' The crowd applauds Rodrigo Nestor as he leaves the pitch. Everaldo steps in for EC Bahia.
- 81' David Antunes gets the nod from Chapecoense AF. He replaces David Duarte and will look to change the dynamic.
- 85' It’s a booking for EC Bahia player. Luciano Juba gets a card.
- 90' Jose Guilherme has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 28 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- It finishes all square. EC Bahia and Chapecoense AF share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1
- 7
-
12
Willian Jose ↓ Kaue Junior 67'
- 14
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Everaldo 79'
- 33
- 21
- 5
- 66
-
16
Erick ↓ Everton Ribeiro 67'
- 31
Bench
- 6
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 67'
- 4
- 25
-
27
Everaldo ↑ 79'
- 8
- 46
- 15
- 44
- 23
- 91
-
57
Kaue Junior ↑ 67'
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Chapecoense AF Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 7
- 91
- 15
-
2
Marcos Vinicius ↓ Rubens Tadeu 63'
- 11
-
97
Enio ↓ Neto Pessoa 46'
- 27
- 3
- 30
Bench
-
17
Vinicius ↑ 46'
- 6
-
70
Rubens Tadeu ↑ 63'
- 33
- 21
- 1
-
18
Neto Pessoa ↑ 46'
- 26
- 19
Coach
Gilmar Dall Pozzo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Henrique Almeida | 2 |
| Rodriguinho | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Luiz Otavio | 2 |
| Gilberto | 1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 1 |
| Osman Junior | 1 |
| Roman Gomez | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.02
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.64
Chapecoense AF xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 67% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
88%
Draw or Chapecoense AF
33%
EC Bahia or Chapecoense AF
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
13.6%
1 – 1
9.7%
3 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
0 – 0
8.7%
3 – 1
6%
4 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.9%
1 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Chapecoense AF covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 21% | 56% |
| -1.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| -1 | 44% | 25% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

