Derby County FC vs Millwall FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Millwall FC

Wed 10 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Millwall FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Millwall FC 6 games · 9 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Kirk (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	7	14
2	Swansea City AFC	7	14
3	West Bromwich Albion FC	7	14
4	Middlesbrough FC	6	13
5	Queens Park Rangers FC	7	12
6	Charlton Athletic FC	7	12
7	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	6	11
8	Southampton FC	7	10
9	Birmingham City FC	7	10
10	Stoke City FC	7	10
11	Bristol City FC	6	10
12	Norwich City FC	7	9
13	Millwall FC	6	9
14	Sheffield United FC	7	9
15	Blackburn Rovers FC	7	8
16	Lincoln City FC	6	8
17	Watford FC	7	8
18	Portsmouth FC	6	7
19	Wrexham AFC	7	7
20	Bolton Wanderers FC	7	7
21	Cardiff City FC	7	4
22	Derby County FC	7	4
23	Preston North End FC	7	3
24	Burnley FC	7	3

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 12 games · Avg 1.9 goals Millwall FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC 2025-02-22 Derby County FC 0–1 Millwall FC 2024-10-19 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-02-23 Derby County FC 1–2 Millwall FC 2021-11-06 Millwall FC 1–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Dec	Millwall FC	H	1–1	D
06 Dec	Leicester City FC	H	1–3	L
29 Nov	Middlesbrough FC	A	1–2	L
25 Nov	Swansea City AFC	A	2–1	W
22 Nov	Watford FC	H	2–3	L
08 Nov	Blackburn Rovers FC	A	2–1	W

Millwall FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
10 Dec	Derby County FC	A	1–1	D
06 Dec	Bristol City FC	A	1–0	W
29 Nov	Southampton FC	H	3–2	W
26 Nov	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	1–0	W
22 Nov	Portsmouth FC	A	1–3	L
08 Nov	Preston North End FC	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Millwall FC
#22	Position	#13
4	Points	9
7	Played	6
1 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 0 / 3
6	Scored	11
13	Conceded	11
-7	GD	+0
0.57	PPG	1.50
14%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

43% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (4 pts). Millwall FC are 13th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

–/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Millwall FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/4

61-75

–/3

76+

4/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Millwall FC

Lyndon Dykes	4 G
Tairyk Arconte	3 G
Josh Coburn	2 G
Luke Cundle	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
The points are shared — Derby County FC 1-1 Millwall FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Millwall FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Louie Sibley	3
Jed Wallace	2
David Nugent	1
Jason Knight	1
Shaun Williams	1
Shaun Hutchinson	1
Lee Gregory	1
Festy Ebosele	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-12-06 Derby County FC 1–3 Leicester City FC L 2025-11-29 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2025-11-25 Swansea City AFC 1–2 Derby County FC W 2025-11-22 Derby County FC 2–3 Watford FC L 2025-11-08 Blackburn Rovers FC 1–2 Derby County FC W

Millwall FC Form

2025-12-10 Derby County FC 1–1 Millwall FC D 2025-12-06 Bristol City FC 0–1 Millwall FC W 2025-11-29 Millwall FC 3–2 Southampton FC W 2025-11-26 Millwall FC 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2025-11-22 Portsmouth FC 3–1 Millwall FC L 2025-11-08 Millwall FC 1–1 Preston North End FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.16 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.89 Millwall FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC26% Draw26% Millwall FC48%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.05

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

53%

Draw or Millwall FC

74%

Derby County FC or Millwall FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC19% Draw43% Millwall FC38%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

9.4%

0 – 2

8.3%

0 – 1

8.2%

0 – 0

6.4%

1 – 3

5.9%

2 – 1

5.8%

2 – 2

5.5%

0 – 3

5.1%

1 – 0

4.7%

2 – 3

3.5%

2 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Millwall FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	6%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	13%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	47%	—	53%
+1	47%	22%	31%
+1.5	69%	—	31%
+2	69%	16%	15%
+2.5	85%	—	15%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.