Millwall FC vs Southampton FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Southampton FC — Championship .
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Southampton FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ben Toner
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Southampton FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 26 Nov | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Nov | Portsmouth FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Preston North End FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Birmingham City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 01 Nov | Oxford United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov | Millwall FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 25 Nov | Leicester City FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Nov | Charlton Athletic FC | A | 5–1 | W |
| 08 Nov | Sheffield Wednesday FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | Queens Park Rangers FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Nov | Preston North End FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Southampton FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #4 |
| 83 | Points | 80 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 22 / 14 / 10 |
| 64 | Scored | 82 |
| 49 | Conceded | 56 |
| +15 | GD | +26 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.74 |
| 52% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Southampton FC are 4th (80 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Southampton FC kicks off things out of here…
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-2.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ryan Fraser | 1 |
| Zian Flemming | 1 |
| Japhet Tanganga | 1 |
| Che Adams | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Southampton FC Form
2025-11-29
Millwall FC
3–2
Southampton FC
L
2025-11-25
Southampton FC
3–0
Leicester City FC
W
2025-11-22
Charlton Athletic FC
1–5
Southampton FC
W
2025-11-08
Southampton FC
3–1
Sheffield Wednesday FC
W
2025-11-05
Queens Park Rangers FC
1–2
Southampton FC
W
2025-11-01
Southampton FC
0–2
Preston North End FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.67
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61
Southampton FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Southampton FC 75% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Millwall FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Southampton FC
58%
Millwall FC or Southampton FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.8%
2 – 2
6.5%
1 – 0
5.6%
0 – 1
5.3%
0 – 0
5.3%
2 – 0
5.2%
0 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 2
Actual
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Southampton FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 18% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

