Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 46 games · 83 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City FC | 46 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich Town FC | 46 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall FC | 46 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton FC | 46 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough FC | 46 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City AFC | 46 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham AFC | 46 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby County FC | 46 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich City FC | 46 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 46 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea City AFC | 46 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City FC | 46 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield United FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston North End FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 46 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford FC | 46 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City FC | 46 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth FC | 46 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 46 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford United FC | 46 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester City FC | 46 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Nov | Reading FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Oct | Stoke City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Sheffield United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | Luton Town FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | Millwall FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Barnsley FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | Coventry City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Luton Town FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #8 |
| 83 | Points | 69 |
| 46 | Played | 46 |
| 24 / 11 / 11 | W / D / L | 20 / 9 / 17 |
| 64 | Scored | 67 |
| 49 | Conceded | 59 |
| +15 | GD | +8 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 52% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at The Den. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 27' A moment of madness from Nathan Byrne on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 32' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 37' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
- 44' GOAL! Festy Ebosele scores on 44.
- 46' What composure from Scott Malone! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Wayne Rooney will be considering his options from the bench.
- 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Billy Mitchell.
- 63' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 64' Nathan Byrne has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 64.
- 69' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 74' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Daniel Ballard exits the field as Dan McNamara enters on 74.
- 79' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 80' George Saville makes way for Matt Smith at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
- 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 87' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Sheyi Ojo comes on to replace Benik Afobe.
- 90' That is a Yellow card for Millwall FC. Jake Cooper will be fuming at that decision.
- The final score is 1-1.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Benik Afobe ↓ Sheyi Ojo 87'
- 18
- 5
- 7
- 3
-
20
Mason Bennett ↓ Tom Bradshaw 74'
- 11
- 33
-
17
George Saville ↓ Matt Smith 80'
- 24
-
26
Daniel Ballard ↓ Dan McNamara 74'
Bench
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 74'
- 15
- 6
-
10
Matt Smith ↑ 80'
- 1
-
14
Sheyi Ojo ↑ 87'
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 74'
Coach
Gary Rowett
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Sam Baldock ↓ Louie Sibley 87'
- 6
- 21
- 33
- 8
- 10
- 2
- 4
- 26
- 38
- 36
Bench
- 3
- 16
- 31
-
13
Colin Kazim-Richards ↑ 87'
- 7
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 87'
- 44
Coach
Wayne Rooney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Festy Ebosele | 1 |
| Shaun Williams | 1 |
| Scott Malone | 1 |
| Lee Gregory | 1 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Millwall FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
56%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.3%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -1.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -1 | 20% | 22% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +1 | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

