Thursday , 2 July 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 6 Nov 2021 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Derby County FC H 1–1 D
02 Nov Reading FC H 1–0 W
30 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
23 Oct Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
19 Oct Sheffield United FC A 2–1 W
16 Oct Luton Town FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Millwall FC A 1–1 D
03 Nov Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
30 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
23 Oct Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–2 D
16 Oct Preston North End FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#3 Position #8
83 Points 69
46 Played 46
24 / 11 / 11 W / D / L 20 / 9 / 17
64 Scored 67
49 Conceded 59
+15 GD +8
1.80 PPG 1.50
52% Win % 43%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Millwall FC are 3rd (83 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at The Den. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Millwall FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Millwall FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Nathan Byrne on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 32' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 37' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Millwall FC that had 382 games and scored 401 goals.
  • 44' GOAL! Festy Ebosele scores on 44.
  • 46' What composure from Scott Malone! The England international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Wayne Rooney will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 58' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Billy Mitchell.
  • 63' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 64' Nathan Byrne has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Red card on 64.
  • 69' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 74' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Daniel Ballard exits the field as Dan McNamara enters on 74.
  • 79' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 80' George Saville makes way for Matt Smith at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
  • 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Millwall FC! Sheyi Ojo comes on to replace Benik Afobe.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for Millwall FC. Jake Cooper will be fuming at that decision.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.34 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Millwall FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC44% Draw29% Derby County FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Derby County FC
56%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC29% Draw50% Derby County FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.4%
1 – 0
11.2%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.4%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.