Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2021-22
Sat 6 Nov 2021 · 15:00 UTC The Den HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Derby County FC H 1–1 D
02 Nov Reading FC H 1–0 W
30 Oct Huddersfield Town AFC A 0–1 L
23 Oct Stoke City FC H 2–1 W
19 Oct Sheffield United FC A 2–1 W
16 Oct Luton Town FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Nov Millwall FC A 1–1 D
03 Nov Barnsley FC A 1–2 L
30 Oct Blackburn Rovers FC H 1–2 L
23 Oct Coventry City FC A 1–1 D
19 Oct Luton Town FC H 2–2 D
16 Oct Preston North End FC A 0–0 D

Season Stats

Millwall FC Derby County FC
#11 Position #22
11 Points 5
8 Played 8
3 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 2 / 5
15 Scored 7
15 Conceded 14
+0 GD -7
1.38 PPG 0.63
38% Win % 13%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Millwall FC
Lyndon Dykes 4 G 1 A
Tairyk Arconte 3 G
Josh Coburn 2 G
Luke Cundle 1 G
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Millwall FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' It’s high time Wayne Rooney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 25' Millwall FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 27' Poor challenge from Nathan Byrne. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 37' Kelle Roos, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 44' The deadlock is broken! Festy Ebosele gets on the scoresheet on 44 minutes.
  • 46' The England Scott Malone breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 1-1!
  • 51' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' Graeme Shinnie has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 354 appearances.
  • 58' Billy Mitchell picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 64' Nathan Byrne picks up a Red card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 69' The 33-year-old Benik Afobe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Daniel Ballard exits the field as Dan McNamara enters on 74.
  • 79' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 80' George Saville makes way for Matt Smith at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
  • 85' Millwall FC have won 408 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 87' Sheyi Ojo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benik Afobe on 87 minute.
  • 90' Millwall FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • The points are shared — Millwall FC 1-1 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85 Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Millwall FC53% Draw25% Derby County FC22%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Millwall FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
47%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Millwall FC40% Draw44% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Millwall FC

Handicap Millwall FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% — 68%
-1 32% 23% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.