Millwall FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2021-22 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Millwall FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at The Den.
- Millwall FC 8 games · 11 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Nov | Reading FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Oct | Huddersfield Town AFC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Oct | Stoke City FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Sheffield United FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | Luton Town FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | Millwall FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | Barnsley FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Oct | Blackburn Rovers FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Oct | Coventry City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | Luton Town FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Oct | Preston North End FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Millwall FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #22 |
| 11 | Points | 5 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 3 / 2 / 3 | W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 5 |
| 15 | Scored | 7 |
| 15 | Conceded | 14 |
| +0 | GD | -7 |
| 1.38 | PPG | 0.63 |
| 38% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Millwall FC this season
Millwall FC this season
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Millwall FC are 11th (11 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Millwall FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
–/4
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Millwall FC
| Lyndon Dykes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Tairyk Arconte | 3 G | |
| Josh Coburn | 2 G | |
| Luke Cundle | 1 G |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Millwall FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' A quiet spell here at The Den. Millwall FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' It’s high time Wayne Rooney made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Millwall FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' Millwall FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
- 27' Poor challenge from Nathan Byrne. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 32' The home supporters are growing impatient. Millwall FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 37' Kelle Roos, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 42' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 44' The deadlock is broken! Festy Ebosele gets on the scoresheet on 44 minutes.
- 46' The England Scott Malone breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 1-1!
- 51' Millwall FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 56' Graeme Shinnie has been relatively quiet despite scoring 14 goals in his last 354 appearances.
- 58' Billy Mitchell picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 63' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 64' Nathan Byrne picks up a Red card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 69' The 33-year-old Benik Afobe has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 74' A change in the Millwall FC ranks — Daniel Ballard exits the field as Dan McNamara enters on 74.
- 79' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 80' George Saville makes way for Matt Smith at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Millwall FC.
- 85' Millwall FC have won 408 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 87' Sheyi Ojo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benik Afobe on 87 minute.
- 90' Millwall FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- The points are shared — Millwall FC 1-1 Derby County FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Millwall FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Benik Afobe ↓ Sheyi Ojo 87'
- 18
- 5
- 7
- 3
-
20
Mason Bennett ↓ Tom Bradshaw 74'
- 11
- 33
-
17
George Saville ↓ Matt Smith 80'
- 24
-
26
Daniel Ballard ↓ Dan McNamara 74'
Bench
-
9
Tom Bradshaw ↑ 74'
- 15
- 6
-
10
Matt Smith ↑ 80'
- 1
-
14
Sheyi Ojo ↑ 87'
-
2
Dan McNamara ↑ 74'
Coach
Gary Rowett
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Sam Baldock ↓ Louie Sibley 87'
- 6
- 21
- 33
- 8
- 10
- 2
- 4
- 26
- 38
- 36
Bench
- 3
- 16
- 31
-
13
Colin Kazim-Richards ↑ 87'
- 7
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 87'
- 44
Coach
Wayne Rooney
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 3 |
| Jed Wallace | 2 |
| Jake Cooper | 1 |
| David Nugent | 1 |
| Tyler Burey | 1 |
| Jerry Yates | 1 |
| Tom Bradshaw | 1 |
| Mihailo Ivanovic | 1 |
Head to Head
Millwall FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85
Millwall FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Millwall FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Derby County FC
47%
Millwall FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 1
5.9%
3 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Millwall FC
| Handicap | Millwall FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Millwall FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

