Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Vogt pen 26' 1–0
Yorbe Vertessen 45' 2–0
2–1 62' Julian Ryerson

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
28 Sep Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–1 W
14 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
30 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–0 W
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Oct Celtic FC H 7–1 W
27 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–2 W
22 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–5 L
18 Sep Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
#17 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.94 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 76% + 1. FC Union Berlin or Draw 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Union Berlin41% Draw34% Borussia Dortmund25%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 78%
22%
± 1.5 50%
50%
± 2.5 24%
76%
± 3.5 9%
91%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
75%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
59%
1. FC Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin24% Draw60% Borussia Dortmund16%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
21.6%
1 – 0
16.3%
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 1
12.1%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
2.4%
2 – 2
2.3%
3 – 1
2%
1 – 3
1.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 23% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 17% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
49%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.