Friday , 9 October 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Vogt pen 26' 1–0
Yorbe Vertessen 45' 2–0
2–1 62' Julian Ryerson

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
28 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–1 W
14 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
30 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–0 W
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Oct Celtic FC H 7–1 W
27 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–2 W
22 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–5 L
18 Sep Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
#17 Position #1
1 Points 12
4 Played 4
0 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
4 Scored 9
17 Conceded 2
-13 GD +7
0.25 PPG 3.00
0% Win % 100%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 17th (1 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/3
31-45
–/2
46-60
–/3
61-75
–/4
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
Tim Skarke 2 G
Leopold Querfeld 1 G 1 A
Emmanuel Latte Lath 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.13 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin22% Draw17% Borussia Dortmund61%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 4.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
39%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
78%
1. FC Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund
83%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin11% Draw31% Borussia Dortmund58%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–1 not predicted
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 3
7.9%
1 – 2
7.8%
0 – 3
7.5%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 4
6.2%
0 – 4
5.8%
1 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
4.6%
2 – 3
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 5
3.9%
0 – 5
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 6% 90%
-0.5 10% — 90%
+0.5 24% — 76%
+1 24% 18% 58%
+1.5 42% — 58%
+2 42% 20% 38%
+2.5 62% — 38%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
5% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.