Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 5 Oct 2024 · 13:30 UTC An der Alten Forsterei 22,012 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Vogt pen 26' 1–0
Yorbe Vertessen 45' 2–0
2–1 62' Julian Ryerson

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Union Berlin vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at An der Alten Forsterei.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
  • Assistant 1 Christian Bandurski
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Pelgrim
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Borussia Dortmund H 2–1 W
28 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–1 L
21 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–1 W
14 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
30 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–0 W
24 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
01 Oct Celtic FC H 7–1 W
27 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 4–2 W
22 Sep VfB Stuttgart A 1–5 L
18 Sep Club Brugge KV A 3–0 W
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W

Season Stats

1. FC Union Berlin Borussia Dortmund
#11 Position #2
39 Points 73
34 Played 34
10 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
44 Scored 70
58 Conceded 34
-14 GD +36
1.15 PPG 2.15
29% Win % 65%

Key Stats

47% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
1. FC Union Berlin this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FC Union Berlin are 11th (39 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Union Berlin
0-15
1/2
16-30
/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.4 1. FC Union Berlin xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.76 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: 1. FC Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund 75% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin35% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund40%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

1. FC Union Berlin or Draw
61%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
65%
1. FC Union Berlin or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Union Berlin24% Draw43% Borussia Dortmund33%
Actual: 1. FC Union Berlin win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
8.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 0
4.1%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Union Berlin

Handicap 1. FC Union Berlin covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Union Berlin keeps clean sheet
18%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.