Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Wed 23 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 45,228 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Darwin Nunez

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Liverpool FCChampions League at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Sandro Scharer
  • Assistant 1 Stephane De Almeida
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Erni
10 games this season 🟨 2.2/game 9.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
19 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
06 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W
02 Oct Juventus FC H 2–3 L
28 Sep FC Augsburg H 4–0 W
22 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Oct RB Leipzig A 1–0 W
20 Oct Chelsea FC H 2–1 W
05 Oct Crystal Palace FC A 1–0 W
02 Oct Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
28 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
21 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 3–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Red Bull Arena Leipzig will turn into a battlefield for RB Leipzig and Liverpool FC.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 8' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 8.
  • 12' The referee calls foul for Alexis Mac Allister. He receives a card.
  • 17' Trent Alexander-Arnold has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 54 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 22' Liverpool FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 22.
  • 23' A meaty challenge results in booking for Lutsharel Geertruida on 23.
  • 27' Liverpool FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Darwin Nunez on 27.
  • 32' The travelling Liverpool FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' It looks surprising RB Leipzig does not make any changes. Cody Gakpo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 47' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Castello Lukeba made 424 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 52' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Liverpool FC that had 409 games and scored 805 goals.
  • 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Antonio Nusa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 62' It looks like no one’s ball. Liverpool FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 63' The Liverpool FC manager makes a substitution. Mohamed Salah departs to be replaced by Luis Diaz.
  • 68' Curtis Jones needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 73' Supporters expect more eagerness from Benjamin Sesko, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 5 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 74' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Benjamin Sesko by Christoph Baumgartner on 74 minute.
  • 75' The supporters are chanting for Andrew Robertson. He replaces Kostas Tsimikas on 75 minute.
  • 78' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Xavi Simons by Yussuf Poulsen on 78 minute.
  • 83' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 86' The whistle greets Amadou Haidara as he departs to be replaced by Eljif Elmas.
  • Full Time. Liverpool FC beats RB Leipzig

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Liverpool FC or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig27% Draw30% Liverpool FC43%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.21
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
57%
Draw or Liverpool FC
73%
RB Leipzig or Liverpool FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig19% Draw52% Liverpool FC29%
Actual: Liverpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
3.9%
0 – 3
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
1.9%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
29%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.