Belgium vs Italy, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Italy get us underway at .
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
Belgium Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Nicolo Barella | 1 |
Head to Head
Belgium Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.13
Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Belgium or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Belgium win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
66%
Draw or Italy
64%
Belgium or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
12.2%
0 – 1
10.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
2.7%
0 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Belgium
| Handicap | Belgium covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 86% |
| -1.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -1 | 14% | 19% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Belgium keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Italy keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.