Belgium vs Italy, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Belgium vs Italy — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Simon Beck
- Referee Andre Marriner
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Referee Carlos del Cerro
- Referee Mark Clattenburg
- Referee Jake Collin
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Belgium welcome Italy for this crunch clash at .
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Marouane Fellaini is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Italy.
- 10' Toby Alderweireld has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' Eder, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 20' Italy fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' Axel Witsel is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Belgium tonight.
- 30' Daniele De Rossi needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 32' The deadlock is broken! Emanuele Giaccherini gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
- 37' Belgium are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Italy's shape.
- 42' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 47' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Antonio Conte will be considering his options from the bench.
- 52' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 59' Italy ring the changes. Matteo Darmian has done his job and it is now time for Mattia De Sciglio to step up.
- 62' Belgium make a change. Radja Nainggolan trudges off to be replaced by Dries Mertens on 62 minutes.
- 66' Giorgio Chiellini catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 66.
- 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 73' The Belgium bench stirs into life. Romelu Lukaku is withdrawn and Divock Origi gets his opportunity.
- 75' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Eder on 75 minutes.
- 75' Time for substitution for Italy. Eder is replaced by Ciro Immobile.
- 76' Belgium manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yannick Carrasco is hanging Laurent Ciman on the field on 76 minute.
- 78' Italy receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 78.
- 78' Fresh legs for Italy! Thiago Motta comes on to replace Daniele De Rossi.
- 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 84' That is a Yellow card for Italy. Thiago Motta will be fuming at that decision.
- 89' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 89 minutes.
- 90' Graziano Pelle is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 90' That is a Yellow card for Belgium. Jan Vertonghen will be fuming at that decision.
- The final score is 0-2.
Lineups
Belgium Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 7
- 5
- 2
- 8
-
9
Romelu Lukaku ↓ Divock Origi 73'
- 23
- 6
- 3
- 1
- 4
Bench
- 18
- 12
-
17
Divock Origi ↑ 73'
- 20
- 19
- 16
- 15
- 22
-
14
Dries Mertens ↑ 62'
- 21
-
11
Yannick Carrasco ↑ 76'
- 13
Coach
Marc Wilmots
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 1
- 19
- 15
- 3
-
16
Daniele De Rossi ↓ Thiago Motta 78'
- 6
- 18
- 23
- 9
-
17
Eder ↓ Ciro Immobile 75'
Bench
- 5
-
2
Mattia De Sciglio ↑ 59'
- 21
- 20
- 8
- 22
- 12
- 7
-
11
Ciro Immobile ↑ 75'
- 13
- 14
-
10
Thiago Motta ↑ 78'
Coach
Antonio Conte
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Nicolo Barella | 1 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 1 |
Head to Head
Belgium Form
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.65
Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
48%
Draw or Italy
80%
Belgium or Italy
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
16.2%
0 – 0
13%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 3
6.7%
1 – 0
6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 4
2.6%
2 – 0
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Belgium
| Handicap | Belgium covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Belgium keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.