Belgium vs Italy, European Championship 2016 GROUP STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
Belgium vs Italy — European Championship .
Match Details
- Referee Simon Beck
- Referee Andre Marriner
- Referee Anthony Taylor
- Referee Carlos del Cerro
- Referee Mark Clattenburg
- Referee Jake Collin
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Belgium this season
Belgium this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Italy this season
Italy this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Belgium
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Italy
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Italy
| Nicolo Barella | 1 G |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Belgium gets underway.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Laurent Ciman made 312 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Giorgio Chiellini is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Italy.
- 15' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Belgium needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Belgium and Italy are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 30' It’s high time Marc Wilmots made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 32' What composure from Emanuele Giaccherini! The Italy international strokes it home. 0-1.
- 37' The travelling Italy supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' Italy come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 47' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kevin De Bruyne, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 57' Leonardo Bonucci has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 59' Mattia De Sciglio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Matteo Darmian at the 59 minute mark.
- 62' The whistle greets Radja Nainggolan as he departs to be replaced by Dries Mertens.
- 66' Giorgio Chiellini picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 71' Belgium currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 73' Divock Origi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Romelu Lukaku on 73 minute.
- 75' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Eder.
- 75' Another change for Italy made on 75 minute. Eder leaves to be changed by Ciro Immobile.
- 76' Yannick Carrasco gets the nod from Belgium. He replaces Laurent Ciman and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Controversy at the stadium! Leonardo Bonucci argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 78' Time for substitution for Italy. Daniele De Rossi is replaced by Thiago Motta.
- 83' Belgium are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Thiago Motta on 84 minutes.
- 89' Eder has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 90' Graziano Pelle does the damage! The net is bulging and Italy surge ahead!
- 90' Jan Vertonghen picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Another three points for Italy.
Lineups
Belgium Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 7
- 5
- 2
- 8
-
9
Romelu Lukaku ↓ Divock Origi 73'
- 23
- 6
- 3
- 1
- 4
Bench
- 18
- 12
-
17
Divock Origi ↑ 73'
- 20
- 19
- 16
- 15
- 22
-
14
Dries Mertens ↑ 62'
- 21
-
11
Yannick Carrasco ↑ 76'
- 13
Coach
Marc Wilmots
Italy Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 1
- 19
- 15
- 3
-
16
Daniele De Rossi ↓ Thiago Motta 78'
- 6
- 18
- 23
- 9
-
17
Eder ↓ Ciro Immobile 75'
Bench
- 5
-
2
Mattia De Sciglio ↑ 59'
- 21
- 20
- 8
- 22
- 12
- 7
-
11
Ciro Immobile ↑ 75'
- 13
- 14
-
10
Thiago Motta ↑ 78'
Coach
Antonio Conte
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Nicolo Barella | 1 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
Head to Head
Belgium Form
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.65
Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 2.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 3.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
48%
Draw or Italy
80%
Belgium or Italy
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
16.2%
0 – 0
13%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 3
6.7%
1 – 0
6%
1 – 3
4.5%
2 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 4
2.6%
2 – 0
2.1%
Asian Handicap — Belgium
| Handicap | Belgium covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 10% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Belgium keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
53%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.