Italy vs Hungary, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Hungary Lineups
H2H
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.9
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
Hungary xG
I would bet for:
Italy to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
82%
Draw or Hungary
41%
Italy or Hungary
77%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
9.9%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.3%
3 – 0
6.1%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.7%
3 – 2
3.1%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Hungary covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 18% | 66% |
| -1.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| -1 | 34% | 23% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Hungary keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.