Belgium vs Italy, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Belgium Lineups
Italy Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Nicolo Barella | 1 |
Belgium Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.08
Belgium xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Italy xG
I would bet for:
Belgium or Italy 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
Belgium or Draw
59%
Draw or Italy
70%
Belgium or Italy
70%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
5.3%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Belgium
| Handicap | Belgium covers | Push | Italy covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 18% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +1 | 61% | 21% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Belgium keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Italy keeps clean sheet
35%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.