Italy vs Austria, 2017
Overview
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Austria gets underway.
- The final score is 8-2.
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Austria Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marko Arnautovic | 1 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 1 |
| Matteo Pessina | 1 |
| Federico Chiesa | 1 |
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.89
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.14
Austria xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Italy to win 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
87%
Draw or Austria
31%
Italy or Austria
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 8–2 not predicted8 – 2Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
3 – 0
7.1%
1 – 1
6.6%
4 – 1
5.7%
4 – 0
5%
1 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
3.3%
5 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Austria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -2 | 33% | 20% | 48% |
| -1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 19% | 28% |
| -0.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Austria keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.