Italy vs Belgium, 2016
Overview
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Lineups
Italy Lineups
Belgium Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
| Romelu Lukaku | 1 |
| Leonardo Bonucci | 1 |
| Nicolo Barella | 1 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 1 |
| Emanuele Giaccherini | 1 |
| Graziano Pelle | 1 |
Head to Head
Italy Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 3
1.72
Italy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Belgium xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Italy win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Italy or Draw
78%
Draw or Belgium
47%
Italy or Belgium
75%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
9.1%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
3.4%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Italy
| Handicap | Italy covers | Push | Belgium covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 23% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 13% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Italy keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Belgium keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.