Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2 – 1

Full Time

FC St. Pauli 1910

Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'

Florian Wirtz 6' 1–0

Jonathan Tah 21' 2–0

2–1 84' Morgan Guilavogui

Piero Hincapie 28' Y

Y 37' Morgan Guilavogui

Y 75' Manolis Saliakas

Y 90' Adam Dzwigala

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
FC St. Pauli 1910 34 games · 26 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
Assistant 2 Mark Borsch

20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-07 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	2–1	W
03 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	1–0	W
30 Nov	1. FC Union Berlin	A	2–1	W
26 Nov	FC Red Bull Salzburg	H	5–0	W
23 Nov	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	5–2	W
09 Nov	VfL Bochum 1848	A	1–1	D

FC St. Pauli 1910

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–2	L
29 Nov	Holstein Kiel	H	3–1	W
24 Nov	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	0–2	L
09 Nov	FC Bayern München	H	0–1	L
02 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–0	W
29 Oct	RB Leipzig	A	2–4	L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen		FC St. Pauli 1910
#6	Position	#18
59	Points	26
34	Played	34
17 / 8 / 9	W / D / L	6 / 8 / 20
68	Scored	29
47	Conceded	60
+21	GD	-31
1.74	PPG	0.76
50%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)

80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC St. Pauli 1910 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). FC St. Pauli 1910 are 18th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC St. Pauli 1910

0-15

–/3

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/1

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Bayer 04 Leverkusen kicks off things out of here…
5' FC St. Pauli 1910 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
6' Brilliant from the ! Florian Wirtz makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 6.
11' Bayer 04 Leverkusen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC St. Pauli 1910 backline.
16' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 16 minutes.
21' Assisted by Aleix Garcia with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Tah makes no mistake. 2-0!
26' With 2 assists to his name this season, Nathan Tella is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
28' That is a card for Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Piero Hincapie will be fuming at that decision.
33' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC St. Pauli 1910 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
37' Morgan Guilavogui is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC St. Pauli 1910 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
47' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
52' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is showing some good football. However, Bayer 04 Leverkusen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
57' Oladapo Afolayan has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
60' The whistle greets Exequiel Palacios as he departs to be replaced by Jeremie Frimpong.
65' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 751 goals from 541 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
70' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
75' That looks like a foul for a card for Manolis Saliakas.
78' Bayer 04 Leverkusen make a change. Florian Wirtz trudges off to be replaced by Martin Terrier on 78 minutes.
79' FC St. Pauli 1910 ring the changes. Carlo Boukhalfa has done his job and it is now time for Danel Sinani to step up.
82' The whistle greets Oladapo Afolayan as he departs to be replaced by Erik Ahlstrand.
84' The deadlock is broken! Morgan Guilavogui gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
87' Nathan Tella makes way for Robert Andrich at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
89' Lars Ritzka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Manolis Saliakas on 89 minute.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Adam Dzwigala.
With this win, Bayer 04 Leverkusen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

34
Granit Xhaka
4
Jonathan Tah
1
Lukas Hradecky
24
Aleix Garcia
25
Exequiel Palacios ↓ Jeremie Frimpong 60'
20
Alejandro Grimaldo ↓ Jeanuel Belocian 78'
12
Edmond Tapsoba
10
Florian Wirtz ↓ Martin Terrier 78'
19
Nathan Tella ↓ Robert Andrich 87'
3
Piero Hincapie
13
Arthur Augusto

Bench

Coach Xabi Alonso

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

11
Johannes Eggestein ↓ Andreas Albers 89'
5
Hauke Finn Wahl
7
Jackson Irvine
8
Eric Smith
17
Oladapo Afolayan ↓ Erik Ahlstrand 82'
22
Nikola Vasilj
29
Morgan Guilavogui
16
Carlo Boukhalfa ↓ Danel Sinani 79'
4
David Nemeth ↓ Adam Dzwigala 89'
2
Manolis Saliakas ↓ Lars Ritzka 89'
23
Philipp Treu

Bench

32
Eric Oelschlagel
21
Lars Ritzka ↑ 89'
25
Adam Dzwigala ↑ 89'
10
Danel Sinani ↑ 79'
33
Maurides
19
Andreas Albers ↑ 89'
14
Fin Stevens
20
Erik Ahlstrand ↑ 82'
42
Marwin Schmitz

Coach Alexander Blessin

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Morgan Guilavogui	1
Jonathan Tah	1
Florian Wirtz	1
Carlo Boukhalfa	1
Patrik Schick	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.55 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.88 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG

I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen69% Draw18% FC St. Pauli 191013%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 3.43

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	44%	56%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

88%

Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910

31%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC St. Pauli 1910

82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen53% Draw36% FC St. Pauli 191011%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

10.6%

2 – 1

Actual

3 – 0

8.7%

1 – 0

1 – 1

3 – 1

7.6%

4 – 0

5.5%

4 – 1

4.9%

0 – 0

4.6%

2 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

3.4%

1 – 2

3.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5	30%	—	70%
-2	30%	21%	49%
-1.5	51%	—	49%
-1	51%	21%	28%
-0.5	72%	—	28%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	7%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Season Stats

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

FC St. Pauli 1910 Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Clean Sheet