Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Florian Wirtz 6' 1–0
Jonathan Tah 21' 2–0
2–1 84' Morgan Guilavogui

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910 — Bundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 28.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

4
1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5 games · Avg 3.0 goals FC St. Pauli 1910

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
03 Dec FC Bayern München A 1–0 W
30 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–1 W
26 Nov FC Red Bull Salzburg H 5–0 W
23 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 5–2 W
09 Nov VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–2 L
29 Nov Holstein Kiel H 3–1 W
24 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach A 0–2 L
09 Nov FC Bayern München H 0–1 L
02 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–0 W
29 Oct RB Leipzig A 2–4 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen58% Draw23% FC St. Pauli 191019%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
42%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC St. Pauli 1910
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen41% Draw43% FC St. Pauli 191016%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.