Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
VfL Wolfsburg
4 – 3
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 20,036 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Paul Nebel
Mohammed Amoura 20' 1–1
1–2 39' Jonathan Burkardt
Andreas Hanche-Olsen og 57' 2–2
2–3 66' Paul Nebel
Jonas Wind 84' 3–3
Jonas Wind 90+4' 4–3
Ridle Baku 21' Y
Maximilian Arnold 22' Y
Y 27' Bo Henriksen
Y 43' Nadiem Amiri
Y 45' Jae-sung Lee
Y 56' Dominik Kohr
Tiago Tomas 68' Y
Y 90' Maxim Leitsch

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
3 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26
4 FC Schalke 04 0 0
5 SC Paderborn 07 0 0
6 SV 07 Elversberg 0 0
7 FC Bayern München 0 0
8 Borussia Dortmund 0 0
9 RB Leipzig 0 0
10 VfB Stuttgart 0 0
11 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 0
13 SC Freiburg 0 0
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 0 0
15 FC Augsburg 0 0
16 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 0
17 1. FC Union Berlin 0 0
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0 0
19 Hamburger SV 0 0
20 1. FC Köln 0 0
21 SV Werder Bremen 0 0

Head-to-Head

14
7
4
VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–3 W
04 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–0 W
30 Nov RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
10 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
02 Nov FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–4 L
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg 1. FSV Mainz 05
#1 Position #16
29 Points 0
34 Played 0
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
69 Conceded 0
-24 GD +0
0.85 PPG –
21% Win % –

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Volkswagen Arena!
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Danny da Costa trudges off to be replaced by Andreas Hanche-Olsen on 5 minutes.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. VfL Wolfsburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 11' Magnificent from Paul Nebel! That is 16 goals in 436 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 16' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' What a strike from Mohammed Amoura! The score is 1-1.
  • 21' Ridle Baku is having his name booked by the referee on 21.
  • 22' Maximilian Arnold picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 27' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Bo Henriksen.
  • 32' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering VfL Wolfsburg that had 471 games and scored 479 goals.
  • 39' Brilliant from the ! Jonathan Burkardt makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 39.
  • 43' A moment of madness from Nadiem Amiri on 43 minutes earns him a card. 1. FSV Mainz 05 will be frustrated.
  • 45' Jae-sung Lee picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Patrick Wimmer makes way for Jonas Wind at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfL Wolfsburg.
  • 51' It’s high time Ralph Hasenhuttl made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 56' Dominik Kohr was booked on 56.
  • 57' A goal from the Norway international Andreas Hanche-Olsen! He fires home on 57 to make it 1-3!
  • 62' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 66' The Germany Paul Nebel breaks the deadlock on 66 minutes. 1-4!
  • 68' The referee calls foul for Tiago Tomas. He receives a card.
  • 69' The VfL Wolfsburg manager makes a substitution. Mohammed Amoura departs to be replaced by Lukas Nmecha.
  • 74' Germany international Maximilian Arnold has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 79' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 81' A tactical swap from VfL Wolfsburg — Kevin Behrens on, Tiago Tomas off on 81 minutes.
  • 84' Jonas Wind does the damage! The net is bulging and VfL Wolfsburg surge ahead!
  • 85' The crowd applauds Anthony Caci as he leaves the pitch. Silvan Widmer steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 89' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Andreas Hanche-Olsen is replaced by Maxim Leitsch on 89 minute.
  • 90' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • With this win, VfL Wolfsburg is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonas Wind 7
Jonathan Burkardt 3
Max Kruse 3
Maximilian Arnold 3
Renato Steffen 2
Paul Nebel 2
Maximilian Philipp 2
Sebastiaan Bornauw 2

Head to Head

2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-04 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-30 RB Leipzig 1–5 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-11-23 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2024-11-10 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-11-02 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC Augsburg D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-11-03 SC Freiburg 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.17 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg47% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes40% 0% No60%
Avg goals/match: 2
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 84%
16%
± 1.5 60%
40%
± 2.5 32%
68%
± 3.5 15%
85%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
77%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
53%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg28% Draw54% 1. FSV Mainz 0518%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
15.9%
1 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.5%
1 – 2
5.3%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
1.5%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 24% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
44% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.