Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
VfL Wolfsburg
4 – 3
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 20,036 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Paul Nebel
Mohammed Amoura 20' 1–1
1–2 39' Jonathan Burkardt
Andreas Hanche-Olsen og 57' 2–2
2–3 66' Paul Nebel
Jonas Wind 84' 3–3
Jonas Wind 90+4' 4–3
Ridle Baku 21' Y
Maximilian Arnold 22' Y
Y 27' Bo Henriksen
Y 43' Nadiem Amiri
Y 45' Jae-sung Lee
Y 56' Dominik Kohr
Tiago Tomas 68' Y
Y 90' Maxim Leitsch

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

14
7
4
VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–3 W
04 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–0 W
30 Nov RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
10 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
02 Nov FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–4 L
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Volkswagen Arena!
  • 5' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Danny da Costa by Andreas Hanche-Olsen on 5 minute.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 11' GOAL! Paul Nebel scores on 11. Assisted by Jae-sung Lee
  • 16' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Brilliant from the ! Mohammed Amoura makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 20.
  • 21' That looks like a foul for a card for Ridle Baku.
  • 22' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 27' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 27.
  • 32' Supporters expect more eagerness from Nadiem Amiri, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 37' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' Jonathan Burkardt doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 43' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Nadiem Amiri on 43 minutes.
  • 45' Jae-sung Lee is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' A tactical swap from VfL Wolfsburg — Jonas Wind on, Patrick Wimmer off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Kamil Grabara has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Dominik Kohr will be fuming at that decision.
  • 57' Andreas Hanche-Olsen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 57 minutes.
  • 62' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 66' Paul Nebel adds to his 0 season tally! 1. FSV Mainz 05 lead 1-4 — and this changes everything.
  • 68' Tiago Tomas was booked on 68.
  • 69' Another substitution for VfL Wolfsburg to replace Mohammed Amoura by Lukas Nmecha on 69 minute.
  • 74' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 79' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 81' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kevin Behrens is hanging Tiago Tomas on the field on 81 minute.
  • 84' What a moment for Jonas Wind! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 85' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Anthony Caci is replaced by Silvan Widmer.
  • 89' Maxim Leitsch is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andreas Hanche-Olsen at the 89 minute mark.
  • 90' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 90.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-3.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonas Wind 7
Jonathan Burkardt 3
Max Kruse 3
Maximilian Arnold 3
Renato Steffen 2
Paul Nebel 2
Maximilian Philipp 2
Sebastiaan Bornauw 2

Head to Head

2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-04 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-30 RB Leipzig 1–5 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-11-23 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2024-11-10 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-11-02 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC Augsburg D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-11-03 SC Freiburg 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg51% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0525%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
49%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg35% Draw43% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.