Saturday , 14 November 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
VfL Wolfsburg
4 – 3
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sun 8 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 20,036 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Paul Nebel
Mohammed Amoura 20' 1–1
1–2 39' Jonathan Burkardt
Andreas Hanche-Olsen og 57' 2–2
2–3 66' Paul Nebel
Jonas Wind 84' 3–3
Jonas Wind 90+4' 4–3
Ridle Baku 21' Y
Maximilian Arnold 22' Y
Y 27' Bo Henriksen
Y 43' Nadiem Amiri
Y 45' Jae-sung Lee
Y 56' Dominik Kohr
Tiago Tomas 68' Y
Y 90' Maxim Leitsch

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Florian Heft
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
4 games this season 🟨 4.8/game ⚽ 9.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 9 21
2 Borussia Dortmund 9 21
3 SC Freiburg 9 19
4 RB Leipzig 9 18
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 16
6 SV Werder Bremen 9 15
7 SV 07 Elversberg 9 13
8 VfB Stuttgart 9 12
9 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 12
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 12
11 Hamburger SV 9 12
12 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 10
13 SC Paderborn 07 9 10
14 FC Augsburg 9 9
15 1. FC Köln 9 9
16 1. FC Union Berlin 9 7
17 FC Schalke 04 9 6
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 9 4

Head-to-Head

14
7
4
VfL Wolfsburg 25 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg

Recent Form

VfL Wolfsburg
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–3 W
04 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–0 W
30 Nov RB Leipzig A 5–1 W
23 Nov 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
10 Nov 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
02 Nov FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–4 L
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L

Key Stats

48% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Volkswagen Arena as VfL Wolfsburg face off against 1. FSV Mainz 05 in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The supporters are chanting for Andreas Hanche-Olsen. He replaces Danny da Costa on 5 minute.
  • 10' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 11' Brilliant from the ! Paul Nebel makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 11.
  • 16' With 0 assists to his name this season, Konstantinos Koulierakis is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 20' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mohammed Amoura makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 21' That is a card for VfL Wolfsburg. Ridle Baku will be fuming at that decision.
  • 22' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 22.
  • 27' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Bo Henriksen gets a card.
  • 32' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 39' Assisted by Stefan Bell with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jonathan Burkardt makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 43' Poor challenge from Nadiem Amiri. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 45' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' VfL Wolfsburg make a change. Patrick Wimmer trudges off to be replaced by Jonas Wind on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Silvan Widmer, as he is very good at scoring at Volkswagen Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 56' That looks like a foul for a card for Dominik Kohr.
  • 57' Against the run of play, Andreas Hanche-Olsen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 62' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 66' What composure from Paul Nebel! The Germany international strokes it home. 1-4.
  • 68' Controversy at the stadium! Tiago Tomas argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 69' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Mohammed Amoura is replaced by Lukas Nmecha.
  • 74' Poland international Kamil Grabara has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 79' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robin Zentner suffering a number of foals already.
  • 81' Kevin Behrens has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tiago Tomas on 81 minute.
  • 84' Jonas Wind doubles the advantage! 2-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 85' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 85 minute. Anthony Caci leaves to be changed by Silvan Widmer.
  • 89' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Andreas Hanche-Olsen has done his job and it is now time for Maxim Leitsch to step up.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Maxim Leitsch on 90.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — VfL Wolfsburg 4-3 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ralph Hasenhuttl

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jonas Wind 7
Maximilian Arnold 3
Jonathan Burkardt 3
Max Kruse 3
Robin Quaison 2
Renato Steffen 2
Paul Nebel 2
Maximilian Philipp 2

Head to Head

2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg 2023-04-30 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-11-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg Form

2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-04 VfL Wolfsburg 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-30 RB Leipzig 1–5 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-11-23 VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2024-11-10 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–3 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-11-02 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 FC Augsburg D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-11-03 SC Freiburg 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.82 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg51% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0525%
Actual: VfL Wolfsburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
49%
VfL Wolfsburg or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg35% Draw43% 1. FSV Mainz 0522%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–3 not predicted
4 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.1%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.