1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season
🟨 5.4/game
⚽ 12.2 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Holstein Kiel | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Nov | FC Augsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Nov | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #14 |
| 7 | Points | 3 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 7 |
| 6 | Conceded | 10 |
| +4 | GD | -3 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 0.75 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G | |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 G | |
| Leon Avdullahu | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim has kicked off!
- 4' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jonathan Burkardt makes it 1-0.
- 9' Paul Nebel is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim tonight.
- 14' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 16' Philipp Mwene has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 16.
- 21' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 24' What composure from Jonathan Burkardt! The Germany international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 28' That is a card for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Andrej Kramaric will be fuming at that decision.
- 32' It’s gonna be a card for Pavel Kaderabek.
- 37' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 42' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is showing some good football. However, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' The whistle greets Pavel Kaderabek as he departs to be replaced by Valentin Gendrey.
- 47' It’s gonna be a card for Anton Stach.
- 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 57' Haris Tabakovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim so far.
- 62' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 68' The crowd applauds Haris Tabakovic as he leaves the pitch. Max Moerstedt steps in for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- 73' The crowd applauds Anthony Caci as he leaves the pitch. Silvan Widmer steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 78' It looks surprising TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not make any changes. Jacob Bruun Larsen has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 79' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Jacob Bruun Larsen has done his job and it is now time for Dennis Geiger to step up.
- 84' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 87' Hyun-seok Hong is ready to make an impact after coming on for Paul Nebel at the 87 minute mark.
- 90' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Jonathan Burkardt is replaced by Armindo Sieb on 90 minute.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will have plenty to reflect on. 1. FSV Mainz 05 were simply the better side today.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 73'
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
- 21
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 87'
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 5
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 73'
- 25
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 90'
- 1
- 3
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 87'
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 90'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 29
- 25
- 1
- 3
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ David Jurasek 68'
- 23
-
26
Haris Tabakovic ↓ Max Moerstedt 68'
- 16
- 22
- 7
- 34
Bench
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↑ 79'
-
10
Mergim Berisha ↑ 79'
- 18
-
15
Valentin Gendrey ↑ 46'
- 37
- 17
-
19
David Jurasek ↑ 68'
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 68'
- 2
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Phillip Tietz | 2 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 2 |
| Pierre Kunde | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-12-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2024-11-24
Holstein Kiel
0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-11-09
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–1
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-11-03
SC Freiburg
0–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2024-10-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern München
L
2024-10-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-12-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-11-28
Sporting Clube de Braga
3–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-11-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–3
RB Leipzig
W
2024-11-10
FC Augsburg
0–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-11-07
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
Olympique Lyonnais
D
2024-11-02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.82
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
86%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
32%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.3%
1 – 1
6.9%
4 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.5%
4 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.4%
5 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -2 | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| -1.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -1 | 52% | 20% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 7% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

