Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,400 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
28 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–3 L
23 Nov RB Leipzig H 4–3 W
10 Nov FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
07 Nov Olympique Lyonnais H 2–2 D
02 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#10 Position #5
40 Points 61
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
44 Scored 65
53 Conceded 52
-9 GD +13
1.18 PPG 1.79
29% Win % 53%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0549% Draw25% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim26%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
74%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
51%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw45% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim23%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
0 – 0
7%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
27%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.