1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
9 games this season
🟨 5.2/game
⚽ 14.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Holstein Kiel | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Nov | FC Augsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Nov | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #9 |
| 10 | Points | 12 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 5 |
| 18 | Scored | 16 |
| 19 | Conceded | 17 |
| -1 | GD | -1 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
11%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Bambase Conte | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tim Lemperle | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 are looking to make home advantage count against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- 4' The Germany Jonathan Burkardt breaks the deadlock on 4 minutes. 1-0!
- 9' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 9.
- 14' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 16' Controversy at the stadium! Philipp Mwene argues furiously but the card stands.
- 21' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 24' Against the run of play, Jonathan Burkardt has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 28' It’s gonna be a card for Andrej Kramaric.
- 32' Pavel Kaderabek has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 32.
- 37' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 37 minutes.
- 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim bench stirs into life. Pavel Kaderabek is withdrawn and Valentin Gendrey gets his opportunity.
- 47' That is a card for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Anton Stach will be fuming at that decision.
- 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 57' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Robin Zentner suffering a number of foals already.
- 68' Max Moerstedt is ready to make an impact after coming on for Haris Tabakovic at the 68 minute mark.
- 73' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Silvan Widmer comes on to replace Anthony Caci.
- 78' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 79' Dennis Geiger has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jacob Bruun Larsen on 79 minute.
- 84' The 26-year-old Valentin Gendrey has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 87' Hyun-seok Hong gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Paul Nebel and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Armindo Sieb has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 90 minute.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 73'
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
- 21
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 87'
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 5
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 73'
- 25
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 90'
- 1
- 3
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 87'
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 90'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 29
- 25
- 1
- 3
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ David Jurasek 68'
- 23
-
26
Haris Tabakovic ↓ Max Moerstedt 68'
- 16
- 22
- 7
- 34
Bench
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↑ 79'
-
10
Mergim Berisha ↑ 79'
- 18
-
15
Valentin Gendrey ↑ 46'
- 37
- 17
-
19
David Jurasek ↑ 68'
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 68'
- 2
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 2 |
| Pierre Kunde | 2 |
| Dominik Kohr | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-12-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2024-11-24
Holstein Kiel
0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-11-09
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–1
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-11-03
SC Freiburg
0–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2024-10-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern München
L
2024-10-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
D
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-12-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-11-28
Sporting Clube de Braga
3–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-11-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–3
RB Leipzig
W
2024-11-10
FC Augsburg
0–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-11-07
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
Olympique Lyonnais
D
2024-11-02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.18
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
77%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
45%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
6%
1 – 0
5.2%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 0
3.9%
4 – 1
3.5%
0 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -2 | 16% | 16% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| -0.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

