Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,400 HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
  • Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
  • Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
28 Nov Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–3 L
23 Nov RB Leipzig H 4–3 W
10 Nov FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
07 Nov Olympique Lyonnais H 2–2 D
02 Nov FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#6 Position #14
7 Points 3
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 3
10 Scored 7
6 Conceded 10
+4 GD -3
1.75 PPG 0.75
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
Tim Lemperle 1 G
Leon Avdullahu 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.82 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0568% Draw18% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim14%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
86%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
32%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
82%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0554% Draw34% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim12%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.9%
3 – 0
7.3%
1 – 1
6.9%
4 – 1
5.5%
1 – 0
5.5%
4 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
3.4%
5 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 32% — 68%
-2 32% 20% 48%
-1.5 52% — 48%
-1 52% 20% 29%
-0.5 71% — 29%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 7% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.