1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Daniel Siebert
- Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
- Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn
29 games this season
🟨 1.6/game
⚽ 5.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Holstein Kiel | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Nov | Sporting Clube de Braga | A | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 4–3 | W |
| 10 Nov | FC Augsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Nov | Olympique Lyonnais | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Nov | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #5 |
| 40 | Points | 61 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 65 |
| 53 | Conceded | 52 |
| -9 | GD | +13 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim get us underway at MEWA Arena.
- 4' Jonathan Burkardt is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 9' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 16' Philipp Mwene is having his name booked by the referee on 16.
- 21' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 24' GOAL! Jonathan Burkardt fires home to make it 2-0!
- 28' Andrej Kramaric was booked on 28.
- 32' That looks like a foul for a card for Pavel Kaderabek.
- 37' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 42' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Valentin Gendrey has so much to prove this time. He replaces Pavel Kaderabek on 46 minute.
- 47' Anton Stach has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 47.
- 52' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim come into this ranked 14 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 57' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 67' Andrej Kramaric needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 68' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Haris Tabakovic is replaced by Max Moerstedt on 68 minute.
- 73' Silvan Widmer is replacing Anthony Caci for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 78' The 20-year-old Max Moerstedt has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 79' Dennis Geiger is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jacob Bruun Larsen at the 79 minute mark.
- 84' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 87' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Hyun-seok Hong is hanging Paul Nebel on the field on 87 minute.
- 90' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Armindo Sieb on, Jonathan Burkardt off on 90 minutes.
- Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 73'
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
- 21
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 87'
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 5
- 4
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 73'
- 25
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 90'
- 1
- 3
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 87'
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 90'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 29
- 25
- 1
- 3
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ David Jurasek 68'
- 23
-
26
Haris Tabakovic ↓ Max Moerstedt 68'
- 16
- 22
- 7
- 34
Bench
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↑ 79'
-
10
Mergim Berisha ↑ 79'
- 18
-
15
Valentin Gendrey ↑ 46'
- 37
- 17
-
19
David Jurasek ↑ 68'
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 68'
- 2
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Pierre Kunde | 2 |
| Dominik Kohr | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-12-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2024-11-24
Holstein Kiel
0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-11-09
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–1
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-11-03
SC Freiburg
0–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2024-10-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern München
L
2024-10-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Borussia Monchengladbach
D
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2024-12-01
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-11-28
Sporting Clube de Braga
3–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2024-11-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
4–3
RB Leipzig
W
2024-11-10
FC Augsburg
0–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-11-07
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
Olympique Lyonnais
D
2024-11-02
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–2
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.63
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
74%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
51%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
7.2%
0 – 0
7%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

