1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 0

Full Time

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Sun 1 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,400 HT 45' · FT 45'

Jonathan Burkardt 4' 1–0

Jonathan Burkardt 24' 2–0

Philipp Mwene 16' Y

Y 28' Andrej Kramaric

Y 32' Pavel Kaderabek

Y 47' Anton Stach

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Siebert
Assistant 1 Jan Seidel
Assistant 2 Rafael Foltyn

12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 5.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-04-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2023-11-26 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-03-04 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2022-09-10 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	2–0	W
24 Nov	Holstein Kiel	A	3–0	W
09 Nov	Borussia Dortmund	H	3–1	W
03 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–0	D
30 Oct	FC Bayern München	H	0–4	L
25 Oct	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	1–1	D

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
01 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–2	L
28 Nov	Sporting Clube de Braga	A	0–3	L
23 Nov	RB Leipzig	H	4–3	W
10 Nov	FC Augsburg	A	0–0	D
07 Nov	Olympique Lyonnais	H	2–2	D
02 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–2	L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#16	Position	#11
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score. At the same time, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
4' The Germany Jonathan Burkardt breaks the deadlock on 4 minutes. 1-0!
9' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
14' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Adam Hlozek made 46 appearances and scored 27 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
16' The referee calls foul for Philipp Mwene. He receives a card.
21' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
24' What a strike from Jonathan Burkardt! The score is 2-0.
28' The referee calls foul for Andrej Kramaric. He receives a card.
32' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a card for a hard tackle on 32.
37' The 20-year-old Max Moerstedt has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
46' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim bench stirs into life. Pavel Kaderabek is withdrawn and Valentin Gendrey gets his opportunity.
47' Poor challenge from Anton Stach. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
52' Philipp Mwene has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
57' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
62' Over 62 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
67' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
68' Another change for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim made on 68 minute. Haris Tabakovic leaves to be changed by Max Moerstedt.
73' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Anthony Caci is replaced by Silvan Widmer.
78' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jacob Bruun Larsen is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
79' Jacob Bruun Larsen makes way for Dennis Geiger at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
84' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
87' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Paul Nebel exits the field as Hyun-seok Hong enters on 87.
90' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Jonathan Burkardt is withdrawn and Armindo Sieb gets his opportunity.
2-0 the final result. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 73'
31
Dominik Kohr
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 90'
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell
29
Jonathan Burkardt ↓ Armindo Sieb 90'
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 87'
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

29
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↓ Dennis Geiger 79'
25
Kevin Akpoguma
1
Oliver Baumann
3
Pavel Kaderabek ↓ Valentin Gendrey 46'
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ David Jurasek 68'
23
Adam Hlozek
26
Haris Tabakovic ↓ Max Moerstedt 68'
16
Anton Stach
22
Alexander Prass ↓ Mergim Berisha 79'
7
Tom Bischof
34
Stanley N'Soki

Bench

Coach Christian Ilzer

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	5
Jonathan Burkardt	4
Jean-Paul Boetius	4
Pavel Kaderabek	3
Ihlas Bebou	3
Phillip Tietz	2
Moussa Niakhate	2
Pierre Kunde	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-11-03 SC Freiburg 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München L 2024-10-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach D

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2024-11-28 Sporting Clube de Braga 3–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2024-11-23 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4–3 RB Leipzig W 2024-11-10 FC Augsburg 0–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2024-11-07 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–2 Olympique Lyonnais D 2024-11-02 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–2 FC St. Pauli 1910 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.93 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.44 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 77%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0549% Draw35% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim16%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes23% 0% No77%

Avg goals/match: 1.37

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	72%	28%
± 1.5	40%	60%
± 2.5	16%	84%
± 3.5	6%	94%
± 4.5	2%	98%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

84%

Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

51%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw64% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim10%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

28.2%

1 – 0

22.2%

1 – 1

11.3%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

9.5%

2 – 1

3 – 0

3.1%

1 – 2

2.2%

0 – 2

2.1%

3 – 1

1.7%

2 – 2

1.2%

4 – 0

0.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	12%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	28%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	12%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

65% ✓

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.