Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Sepp van den Berg og
0–2 59' Alejandro Grimaldo
0–3 65' Jonas Hofmann

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
6 games this season 🟨 4.5/game ⚽ 24.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
27 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
24 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–1 W
21 Sep BK Häcken H 4–0 W
15 Sep FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
02 Sep SV Darmstadt 98 H 5–1 W
26 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#12 Position #5
10 Points 16
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 3
18 Scored 20
19 Conceded 17
-1 GD +3
1.11 PPG 1.78
33% Win % 56%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
22% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 8 G 2 A
Ibrahim Maza 3 G 3 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.57 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0525% Draw22% Bayer 04 Leverkusen53%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
47%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw36% Bayer 04 Leverkusen42%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 1
6.9%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
3.6%
2 – 4
3.5%
0 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 7% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 12% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 19% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 16% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
20% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.