1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 9 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Brand
- Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
- Assistant 2 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
6 games this season
🟨 4.5/game
⚽ 24.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Aug | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 4–1 | W |
| 21 Sep | BK Häcken | H | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Sep | FC Bayern München | A | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Sep | SV Darmstadt 98 | H | 5–1 | W |
| 26 Aug | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 10 | Points | 16 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 3 |
| 18 | Scored | 20 |
| 19 | Conceded | 17 |
| -1 | GD | +3 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.78 |
| 33% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (16 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
4/4
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/2
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Patrik Schick | 8 G | 2 A |
| Ibrahim Maza | 3 G | 3 A |
| Christian Kofane | 2 G | |
| Facundo Medina | 1 G | |
| Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 are looking to make home advantage count against Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 4' It’s a booking for Bayer 04 Leverkusen player. Granit Xhaka gets a Yellow card.
- 9' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
- 14' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 18' The deadlock is broken! Sepp van den Berg gets on the scoresheet on 18 minutes.
- 23' Jonathan Tah has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 28' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 33' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 38' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 43' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 48' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 53' Amine Adli has been relatively quiet despite scoring 35 goals in his last 430 appearances.
- 58' Edimilson Fernandes is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 59' Alejandro Grimaldo adds to his 4 season tally! Bayer 04 Leverkusen lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 63' The whistle greets Florian Wirtz as he departs to be replaced by Amine Adli.
- 65' Against the run of play, Jonas Hofmann has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 69' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Jae-sung Lee exits the field as Aymen Barkok enters on 69.
- 70' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Tom Krauss on, Dominik Kohr off on 70 minutes.
- 75' Brajan Gruda picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' Ludovic Ajorque is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brajan Gruda at the 76 minute mark.
- 79' Bayer 04 Leverkusen ring the changes. Granit Xhaka has done his job and it is now time for Robert Andrich to step up.
- 84' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Karim Onisiwo has done his job and it is now time for Marco Richter to step up.
- 86' Nadiem Amiri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonas Hofmann on 86 minute.
- 90' Controversy at the stadium! Marco Richter argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FSV Mainz 05 0-3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 19
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Tom Krauss 70'
- 27
- 16
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↓ Marco Richter 84'
- 8
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Anwar El Ghazi 69'
- 20
-
43
Brajan Gruda ↓ Ludovic Ajorque 76'
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Aymen Barkok 69'
Bench
-
34
Anwar El Ghazi ↑ 69'
-
17
Ludovic Ajorque ↑ 76'
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 84'
- 23
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 69'
- 33
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 70'
- 24
Coach
Bo Svensson
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
34
Granit Xhaka ↓ Robert Andrich 79'
- 4
- 1
-
7
Jonas Hofmann ↓ Nadiem Amiri 86'
- 25
- 20
- 12
- 30
-
10
Florian Wirtz ↓ Amine Adli 63'
-
22
Victor Boniface ↓ Adam Hlozek 79'
- 6
Bench
-
11
Nadiem Amiri ↑ 86'
-
8
Robert Andrich ↑ 79'
-
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 79'
-
21
Amine Adli ↑ 63'
- 17
- 19
- 3
-
2
Josip Stanisic ↑ 86'
- 32
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 6 |
| Lucas Alario | 4 |
| Anthony Caci | 3 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 2 |
| Aaron Martin | 2 |
| Robert Andrich | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2023-09-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2023-09-24
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4–1
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2023-09-21
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4–0
BK Häcken
W
2023-09-15
FC Bayern München
2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2023-09-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
5–1
SV Darmstadt 98
W
2023-08-26
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.68
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.57
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
47%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
75%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.8%
1 – 1
6.9%
1 – 3
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.9%
1 – 4
4.2%
0 – 3
Actual
3 – 2
3.6%
2 – 4
3.5%
0 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 7% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 12% | 76% |
| -0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 19% | 37% |
| +1.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +2 | 63% | 16% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

