1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

1. FSV Mainz 05

0 – 3

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 18' Sepp van den Berg og

0–2 59' Alejandro Grimaldo

0–3 65' Jonas Hofmann

Y 4' Granit Xhaka

Edimilson Fernandes 58' Y

Brajan Gruda 75' Y

Marco Richter 90' Y

Leandro Barreiro Martins 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Brand
Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
Assistant 2 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)

19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-02-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2022-02-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2021-09-25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–3	L
23 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	1–2	L
16 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–3	L
02 Sep	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–4	L
27 Aug	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D
20 Aug	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–4	L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	3–0	W
24 Sep	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	4–1	W
21 Sep	BK Hacken	H	4–0	W
15 Sep	FC Bayern München	A	2–2	D
02 Sep	SV Darmstadt 98	H	5–1	W
26 Aug	Borussia Monchengladbach	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#10	Position	#6
40	Points	59
34	Played	34
10 / 10 / 14	W / D / L	17 / 8 / 9
44	Scored	68
53	Conceded	47
-9	GD	+21
1.18	PPG	1.74
29%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

2/2

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/3

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/1

76+

4/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
4' Granit Xhaka is having his name booked by the referee on 4.
9' It looks like no one’s ball. Bayer 04 Leverkusen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
14' Czech Republic international Adam Hlozek has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
18' The Netherlands Sepp van den Berg breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 1-0!
23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Granit Xhaka made 414 appearances and scored 32 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
28' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
33' Edmond Tapsoba needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
48' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Bayer 04 Leverkusen winning 50% of all matches.
53' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Nadiem Amiri has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
58' 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 58.
59' Alejandro Grimaldo adds to his 2 season tally! Bayer 04 Leverkusen lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
63' The supporters are chanting for Amine Adli. He replaces Florian Wirtz on 63 minute.
65' Jonas Hofmann makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are in front.
69' Aymen Barkok gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Jae-sung Lee and will look to change the dynamic.
70' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Dominik Kohr exits the field as Tom Krauss enters on 70.
75' The referee has no hesitation. Brajan Gruda is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Yellow card on 75.
76' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Brajan Gruda by Ludovic Ajorque on 76 minute.
79' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 79 minute. Granit Xhaka leaves to be changed by Robert Andrich.
84' Marco Richter is ready to make an impact after coming on for Karim Onisiwo at the 84 minute mark.
86' Fresh legs for Bayer 04 Leverkusen! Nadiem Amiri comes on to replace Jonas Hofmann.
90' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a Yellow card on 90.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Svensson

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

34
Granit Xhaka ↓ Robert Andrich 79'
4
Jonathan Tah
1
Lukas Hradecky
7
Jonas Hofmann ↓ Nadiem Amiri 86'
25
Exequiel Palacios
20
Alejandro Grimaldo
12
Edmond Tapsoba
30
Jeremie Frimpong ↓ Josip Stanisic 86'
10
Florian Wirtz ↓ Amine Adli 63'
22
Victor Boniface ↓ Adam Hlozek 79'
6
Odilon Kossounou

Bench

11
Nadiem Amiri ↑ 86'
8
Robert Andrich ↑ 79'
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 79'
21
Amine Adli ↑ 63'
17
Matej Kovar
19
Nathan Tella
3
Piero Hincapie
2
Josip Stanisic ↑ 86'
32
Gustavo Puerta

Coach Xabi Alonso

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Aaron Martin	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Jeremie Frimpong	2
Nadiem Amiri	2
Kai Havertz	2
Julian Brandt	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2023-09-23 FC Augsburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-09-02 SV Werder Bremen 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2023-08-20 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2023-09-24 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2023-09-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 BK Hacken W 2023-09-15 FC Bayern München 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2023-09-02 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SV Darmstadt 98 W 2023-08-26 Borussia Monchengladbach 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.06 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 62% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0520% Draw23% Bayer 04 Leverkusen57%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 3.26

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

43%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

80%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0515% Draw40% Bayer 04 Leverkusen45%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

9.5%

0 – 2

9.2%

0 – 1

7.9%

1 – 3

6.9%

0 – 3

Actual

0 – 0

5.3%

2 – 2

2 – 1

4.6%

1 – 4

3.9%

2 – 3

3.7%

0 – 4

3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	4%	94%
-1.5	6%	—	94%
-1	6%	10%	83%
-0.5	17%	—	83%
+0.5	38%	—	62%
+1	38%	22%	40%
+1.5	60%	—	40%
+2	60%	19%	21%
+2.5	79%	—	21%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.