1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

1. FSV Mainz 05

0 – 3

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 18' Sepp van den Berg og

0–2 59' Alejandro Grimaldo

0–3 65' Jonas Hofmann

Y 4' Granit Xhaka

Edimilson Fernandes 58' Y

Brajan Gruda 75' Y

Marco Richter 90' Y

Leandro Barreiro Martins 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Benjamin Brand
Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
Assistant 2 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)

4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 24.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2023-02-19 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2022-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2022-02-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2021-09-25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–3	L
23 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	1–2	L
16 Sep	VfB Stuttgart	H	1–3	L
02 Sep	SV Werder Bremen	A	0–4	L
27 Aug	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	1–1	D
20 Aug	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–4	L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	3–0	W
24 Sep	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	4–1	W
21 Sep	BK Häcken	H	4–0	W
15 Sep	FC Bayern München	A	2–2	D
02 Sep	SV Darmstadt 98	H	5–1	W
26 Aug	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#6	Position	#5
7	Points	7
4	Played	4
2 / 1 / 1	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
10	Scored	10
6	Conceded	5
+4	GD	+5
1.75	PPG	1.75
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

1/–

46-60

2/3

61-75

1/–

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Patrik Schick	4 G	1 A
Christian Kofane	2 G
Ibrahim Maza	1 G	1 A
Facundo Medina	1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score. At the same time, Bayer 04 Leverkusen does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
4' Controversy at the stadium! Granit Xhaka argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
9' With 0 assists to his name this season, Brajan Gruda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
14' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jonathan Tah, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
18' Sepp van den Berg makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are in front.
23' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
28' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Bayer 04 Leverkusen that had 543 games and scored 757 goals.
33' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
38' Dominik Kohr has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 2 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
43' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 757 goals from 543 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
53' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
58' Edimilson Fernandes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 58.
59' A goal from the Spain international Alejandro Grimaldo! He fires home on 59 to make it 1-1!
63' Bayer 04 Leverkusen ring the changes. Florian Wirtz has done his job and it is now time for Amine Adli to step up.
65' Jonas Hofmann adds to his 0 season tally! Bayer 04 Leverkusen lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
69' The whistle greets Jae-sung Lee as he departs to be replaced by Aymen Barkok.
70' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Tom Krauss on, Dominik Kohr off on 70 minutes.
75' Poor challenge from Brajan Gruda. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
76' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Brajan Gruda departs to be replaced by Ludovic Ajorque.
79' A tactical swap from Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Robert Andrich on, Granit Xhaka off on 79 minutes.
84' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 84 minute. Karim Onisiwo leaves to be changed by Marco Richter.
86' Nadiem Amiri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jonas Hofmann on 86 minute.
90' Marco Richter picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
With this win, Bayer 04 Leverkusen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Svensson

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

34
Granit Xhaka ↓ Robert Andrich 79'
4
Jonathan Tah
1
Lukas Hradecky
7
Jonas Hofmann ↓ Nadiem Amiri 86'
25
Exequiel Palacios
20
Alejandro Grimaldo
12
Edmond Tapsoba
30
Jeremie Frimpong ↓ Josip Stanisic 86'
10
Florian Wirtz ↓ Amine Adli 63'
22
Victor Boniface ↓ Adam Hlozek 79'
6
Odilon Kossounou

Bench

11
Nadiem Amiri ↑ 86'
8
Robert Andrich ↑ 79'
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 79'
21
Amine Adli ↑ 63'
17
Matej Kovar
19
Nathan Tella
3
Piero Hincapie
2
Josip Stanisic ↑ 86'
32
Gustavo Puerta

Coach Xabi Alonso

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	5
Lucas Alario	4
Aaron Martin	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Jeremie Frimpong	2
Nadiem Amiri	2
Kai Havertz	2
Julian Brandt	2

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2023-09-23 FC Augsburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart L 2023-09-02 SV Werder Bremen 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2023-08-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt D 2023-08-20 1. FC Union Berlin 4–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2023-09-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2023-09-24 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2023-09-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–0 BK Häcken W 2023-09-15 FC Bayern München 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2023-09-02 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 5–1 SV Darmstadt 98 W 2023-08-26 Borussia Mönchengladbach 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.37 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.22 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0524% Draw23% Bayer 04 Leverkusen53%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes66% 0% No34%

Avg goals/match: 3.59

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

47%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

76%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0520% Draw39% Bayer 04 Leverkusen41%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.2%

1 – 2

0 – 2

6.8%

1 – 3

6.6%

2 – 2

6.1%

0 – 1

5.6%

2 – 1

5.6%

0 – 3

Actual

2 – 3

4.5%

0 – 0

4.1%

1 – 4

3.7%

1 – 0

3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	6%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	13%	77%
-0.5	23%	—	77%
+0.5	45%	—	55%
+1	45%	21%	35%
+1.5	65%	—	35%
+2	65%	17%	18%
+2.5	82%	—	18%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

26% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.