Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Sepp van den Berg og
0–2 59' Alejandro Grimaldo
0–3 65' Jonas Hofmann

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
27 Aug Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
20 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
24 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–1 W
21 Sep BK Häcken H 4–0 W
15 Sep FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
02 Sep SV Darmstadt 98 H 5–1 W
26 Aug Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#16 Position #12
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.43 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw31% Bayer 04 Leverkusen53%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 79%
21%
± 1.5 51%
49%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
46%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
84%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 058% Draw57% Bayer 04 Leverkusen35%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
22.2%
0 – 0
20.6%
0 – 2
14.1%
1 – 1
10.6%
1 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
2.9%
2 – 1
2%
0 – 4
1.9%
2 – 2
1.4%
2 – 0
1.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 9% 89%
-0.5 11% 89%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 29% 27%
+1.5 73% 27%
+2 73% 17% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
29%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
65%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.