1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
- Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–4 | L |
| 01 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Holstein Kiel | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Dec | FK Shakhtar Donetsk | A | 5–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Nov | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #2 |
| 7 | Points | 10 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 14 |
| 6 | Conceded | 2 |
| +4 | GD | +12 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 75% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at MEWA Arena!
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 15' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jonathan Burkardt is replaced by Armindo Sieb.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' FC Bayern Munchen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Henriksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 40' Germany international Dominik Kohr has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 41' Goal! Jae-sung Lee scores his 13 goal in 438 matches.
- 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 49' The referee has no hesitation. Dominik Kohr is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 49.
- 54' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 58' Sacha Boey gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Raphael Guerreiro and will look to change the dynamic.
- 60' The South Korea midfielder Jae-sung Lee breaks the deadlock on 60 minutes. 2-0!
- 64' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Mathys Tel comes on to replace Eric Dier.
- 69' FC Bayern Munchen have won 1065 goals from 542 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 74' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 77' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Karim Onisiwo on, Armindo Sieb off on 77 minutes.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joshua Kimmich.
- 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 84' Hyun-seok Hong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Paul Nebel on 84 minute.
- 87' Leroy Sane does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 90' Philipp Mwene catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 84'
- 3
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 9
- 5
- 30
- 25
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 15'
- 1
- 44
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 84'
- 22
Coach
Bo Henriksen
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
15
Eric Dier ↓ Mathys Tel 64'
- 6
- 25
-
22
Raphael Guerreiro ↓ Sacha Boey 58'
- 27
- 18
- 17
- 42
- 3
- 45
Bench
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 58'
- 2
-
23
Sacha Boey ↑ 58'
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 64'
- 20
- 35
- 41
- 49
- 37
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
FC Bayern München Form
2024-12-14
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-12-10
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
1–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-12-07
FC Bayern München
4–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2024-12-03
FC Bayern München
0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2024-11-30
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
FC Bayern München
D
2024-11-26
FC Bayern München
1–0
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.5
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 65%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
48%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.2%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 4
4.6%
2 – 3
4.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 4
3.8%
0 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 21% | 43% |
| +1.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +2 | 57% | 19% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

