Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 41' 1–0
Jae-sung Lee 60' 2–0
2–1 87' Leroy Sane

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
08 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–4 L
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 5–1 W
07 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
30 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
26 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#6 Position #2
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 14
6 Conceded 2
+4 GD +12
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at MEWA Arena!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern Munchen's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jonathan Burkardt is replaced by Armindo Sieb.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' FC Bayern Munchen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 35' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Henriksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 40' Germany international Dominik Kohr has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 41' Goal! Jae-sung Lee scores his 13 goal in 438 matches.
  • 46' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 49' The referee has no hesitation. Dominik Kohr is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 49.
  • 54' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 58' Sacha Boey gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Raphael Guerreiro and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 60' The South Korea midfielder Jae-sung Lee breaks the deadlock on 60 minutes. 2-0!
  • 64' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Mathys Tel comes on to replace Eric Dier.
  • 69' FC Bayern Munchen have won 1065 goals from 542 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 74' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 77' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Karim Onisiwo on, Armindo Sieb off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joshua Kimmich.
  • 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 84' Hyun-seok Hong has so much to prove this time. He replaces Paul Nebel on 84 minute.
  • 87' Leroy Sane does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 90' Philipp Mwene catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for 1. FSV Mainz 05 players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.24 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.5 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw21% FC Bayern München52%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
48%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw37% FC Bayern München47%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.2%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 4
4.6%
2 – 3
4.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 4
3.8%
0 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 10% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 37% — 63%
+1 37% 21% 43%
+1.5 57% — 43%
+2 57% 19% 24%
+2.5 76% — 24%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.