Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 41' 1–0
Jae-sung Lee 60' 2–0
2–1 87' Leroy Sane

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
08 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–4 L
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 5–1 W
07 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
30 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
26 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#12 Position #1
10 Points 21
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
18 Scored 29
19 Conceded 9
-1 GD +20
1.11 PPG 2.33
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 7 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 3 G
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds MEWA Arena will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München.
  • 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Raphael Guerreiro is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 10' Aleksandar Pavlovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 15' Armindo Sieb is replacing Jonathan Burkardt for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past FC Bayern München's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 30' Jamal Musiala has been relatively quiet despite scoring 75 goals in his last 554 appearances.
  • 35' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Dominik Kohr has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 41' Against the run of play, Jae-sung Lee has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' Kaishu Sano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dominik Kohr.
  • 54' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern München's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Sacha Boey. He replaces Raphael Guerreiro on 58 minute.
  • 60' Jae-sung Lee doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 64' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Eric Dier exits the field as Mathys Tel enters on 64.
  • 69' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. FC Bayern München seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 74' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 77' Karim Onisiwo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Armindo Sieb at the 77 minute mark.
  • 78' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Joshua Kimmich will be fuming at that decision.
  • 83' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 84' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 84 minute. Paul Nebel leaves to be changed by Hyun-seok Hong.
  • 87' Leroy Sane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 87 minutes.
  • 90' Poor challenge from Philipp Mwene. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-1 FC Bayern München.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.53 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.05 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw19% FC Bayern München54%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
46%
Draw or FC Bayern München
73%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw32% FC Bayern München52%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 3
7.2%
1 – 1
5.5%
1 – 4
5.5%
2 – 3
5.4%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
5%
0 – 3
4.9%
2 – 4
4.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 4
3.7%
1 – 5
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 9% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 33% — 67%
+1 33% 19% 48%
+1.5 52% — 48%
+2 52% 18% 30%
+2.5 70% — 30%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
6% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.