Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
2 – 1
Full Time
FC Bayern München
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 41' 1–0
Jae-sung Lee 60' 2–0
2–1 87' Leroy Sane
Dominik Kohr 49' Y
Y 78' Joshua Kimmich
Philipp Mwene 90' Y
Y 90' Konrad Laimer

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
14 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

4
1
13
1. FSV Mainz 05 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals FC Bayern München
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München 2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-10-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Bayern München 2023-04-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
08 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–4 L
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 5–1 W
07 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
30 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
26 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#10 Position #1
40 Points 89
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
44 Scored 122
53 Conceded 36
-9 GD +86
1.18 PPG 2.62
29% Win % 82%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: 1. FSV Mainz 05 gets underway.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' Daniel Peretz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
  • 15' Jonathan Burkardt makes way for Armindo Sieb at the 15 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 30' Jamal Musiala, a Germany , has 14 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Michael Olise made 379 appearances and scored 50 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Nadiem Amiri has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 41' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jae-sung Lee makes it 1-0.
  • 46' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 49' Poor challenge from Dominik Kohr. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 54' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Sacha Boey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raphael Guerreiro at the 58 minute mark.
  • 60' Goal! Jae-sung Lee scores his 13 goal in 436 matches.
  • 64' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Eric Dier by Mathys Tel on 64 minute.
  • 69' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 74' Jonathan Burkardt has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 77' The whistle greets Armindo Sieb as he departs to be replaced by Karim Onisiwo.
  • 78' Controversy at the stadium! Joshua Kimmich argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 83' Dominik Kohr has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 84' The whistle greets Paul Nebel as he departs to be replaced by Hyun-seok Hong.
  • 87' Leroy Sane makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and FC Bayern Munchen are in front.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Philipp Mwene.
  • FC Bayern München will have plenty to reflect on. 1. FSV Mainz 05 were simply the better side today.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

FC Bayern München Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jamal Musiala 9
Robert Lewandowski 7
Harry Kane 5
Leon Goretzka 5
Leroy Sane 5
Kingsley Coman 5
Alphonso Davies 3
Jonathan Burkardt 3

Head to Head

2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München 2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-10-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Bayern München 2023-04-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 FC Bayern München

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München W 2024-12-08 VfL Wolfsburg 4–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2024-11-24 Holstein Kiel 0–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-11-03 SC Freiburg 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

FC Bayern München Form

2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München L 2024-12-10 FK Shakhtar Donetsk 1–5 FC Bayern München W 2024-12-07 FC Bayern München 4–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2024-12-03 FC Bayern München 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2024-11-30 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München D 2024-11-26 FC Bayern München 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.35 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.84 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 77% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw19% FC Bayern München55%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 77%
23%
± 3.5 59%
41%
± 4.5 40%
60%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
46%
Draw or FC Bayern München
74%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0515% Draw34% FC Bayern München51%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
8.1%
1 – 3
7.5%
1 – 1
6.6%
0 – 2
6.3%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
1 – 4
5.3%
2 – 3
5.1%
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 4
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 9% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 33% — 67%
+1 33% 19% 47%
+1.5 53% — 47%
+2 53% 19% 29%
+2.5 71% — 29%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.