1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Frank Willenborg
- Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 2 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 3 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
| 4 | FC Schalke 04 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SC Paderborn 07 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Bayern München | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Borussia Dortmund | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | VfB Stuttgart | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SC Freiburg | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Augsburg | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | 1. FC Köln | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | SV Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Dec | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–4 | L |
| 01 Dec | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | Holstein Kiel | A | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–1 | W |
| 03 Nov | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Dec | FK Shakhtar Donetsk | A | 5–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 4–2 | W |
| 03 Dec | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Nov | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #7 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. 1. FSV Mainz 05 get us underway at MEWA Arena.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 15' Armindo Sieb is replacing Jonathan Burkardt for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
- 20' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' Kaishu Sano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Raphael Guerreiro suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' Moritz Jenz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 41' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jae-sung Lee on 41.
- 46' Aleksandar Pavlovic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 19 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 49' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Dominik Kohr will be fuming at that decision.
- 54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniel Peretz is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 58' Sacha Boey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raphael Guerreiro at the 58 minute mark.
- 60' GOAL! Jae-sung Lee fires home to make it 2-0!
- 64' Eric Dier makes way for Mathys Tel at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
- 69' Philipp Mwene needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 20 Yellow cards this season.
- 74' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 77' The whistle greets Armindo Sieb as he departs to be replaced by Karim Onisiwo.
- 78' It’s gonna be a card for Joshua Kimmich.
- 83' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Hyun-seok Hong comes on to replace Paul Nebel.
- 87' Magnificent from Leroy Sane! That is 85 goals in 436 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Philipp Mwene on 90.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from 1. FSV Mainz 05 to claim maximum points.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
- 31
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 29
- 18
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 84'
- 3
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 9
- 5
- 30
- 25
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 15'
- 1
- 44
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 84'
- 22
Coach
Bo Henriksen
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
-
15
Eric Dier ↓ Mathys Tel 64'
- 6
- 25
-
22
Raphael Guerreiro ↓ Sacha Boey 58'
- 27
- 18
- 17
- 42
- 3
- 45
Bench
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 58'
- 2
-
23
Sacha Boey ↑ 58'
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 64'
- 20
- 35
- 41
- 49
- 37
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
FC Bayern München Form
2024-12-14
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-12-10
FK Shakhtar Donetsk
1–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-12-07
FC Bayern München
4–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
W
2024-12-03
FC Bayern München
0–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2024-11-30
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
FC Bayern München
D
2024-11-26
FC Bayern München
1–0
Paris Saint-Germain FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.86
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Bayern München
67%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
69%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
14%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
3.3%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
1.6%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

