Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 14 Dec 2024 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jae-sung Lee 41' 1–0
Jae-sung Lee 60' 2–0
2–1 87' Leroy Sane

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg
  • Assistant 1 Guido Kleve
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
08 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–4 L
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
09 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 3–1 W
03 Nov SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
10 Dec FK Shakhtar Donetsk A 5–1 W
07 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–2 W
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–1 L
30 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
26 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#16 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. 1. FSV Mainz 05 get us underway at MEWA Arena.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 15' Armindo Sieb is replacing Jonathan Burkardt for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 20' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Kaishu Sano has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 35' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Raphael Guerreiro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 40' Moritz Jenz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 41' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jae-sung Lee on 41.
  • 46' Aleksandar Pavlovic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 19 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 49' That is a card for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Dominik Kohr will be fuming at that decision.
  • 54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniel Peretz is clearly more than just a goal scorer for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 58' Sacha Boey is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raphael Guerreiro at the 58 minute mark.
  • 60' GOAL! Jae-sung Lee fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 64' Eric Dier makes way for Mathys Tel at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 69' Philipp Mwene needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 20 Yellow cards this season.
  • 74' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 77' The whistle greets Armindo Sieb as he departs to be replaced by Karim Onisiwo.
  • 78' It’s gonna be a card for Joshua Kimmich.
  • 83' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 84' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Hyun-seok Hong comes on to replace Paul Nebel.
  • 87' Magnificent from Leroy Sane! That is 85 goals in 436 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Philipp Mwene on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from 1. FSV Mainz 05 to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
0.86 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.18 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München 69% + Under 2.5 goals 67%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0533% Draw31% FC Bayern München36%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 33%
67%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
63%
Draw or FC Bayern München
67%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw54% FC Bayern München28%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15.4%
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 1
14%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
8.6%
1 – 2
7.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 3
3.3%
1 – 3
3%
3 – 1
1.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 17% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 59% 41%
+1 59% 23% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
32%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.