Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum 1848, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 11 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan Burkardt 23' 1–0
Jonathan Burkardt 69' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfL Bochum 1848Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Brand
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Stein
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–0 W
21 Dec Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
14 Dec FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
08 Dec VfL Wolfsburg A 3–4 L
01 Dec TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–0 W
24 Nov Holstein Kiel A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
22 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
07 Dec SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
30 Nov FC Augsburg A 0–1 L
23 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
09 Nov Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.76 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 VfL Bochum 1848 xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0562% Draw23% VfL Bochum 184815%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
85%
Draw or VfL Bochum 1848
38%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfL Bochum 1848
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0541% Draw46% VfL Bochum 184813%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.6%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
4%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3%
4 – 1
2.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfL Bochum 1848 covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 19% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 25% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
46%
VfL Bochum 1848 keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.