Tuesday , 21 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Köln, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 5 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC BayArena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC KölnDFB-Pokal at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Frank Willenborg

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb 1. FC Köln H 3–2 W
02 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
29 Jan AC Sparta Praha H 2–0 W
25 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
21 Jan Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L
18 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–3 L
01 Feb Eintracht Braunschweig A 2–1 W
25 Jan SV 07 Elversberg H 1–0 W
18 Jan Hamburger SV A 0–1 L
22 Dec 1. FC Kaiserslautern A 1–0 W
15 Dec 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–1 W

Key Stats

41% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at BayArena. Bayer 04 Leverkusen are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FC Koln.
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gerhard Struber might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Mathias Olesen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 19' It’s a booking for 1. FC Koln player. Dominique Heintz gets a card.
  • 24' Emiliano Buendia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 29' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FC Koln are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 34' Over 34 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 39' Supporters expect more eagerness from Imad Rondic, as he is very good at scoring at BayArena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 46' Fresh legs for Bayer 04 Leverkusen! Piero Hincapie comes on to replace Edmond Tapsoba.
  • 51' Bayer 04 Leverkusen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 54' Linton Maina puts 1. FC Koln on the lead.
  • 55' The deadlock is broken! Damion Downs gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 60' Nathan Tella gets the nod from Bayer 04 Leverkusen. He replaces Emiliano Buendia and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' Against the run of play, Patrik Schick has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 64' A meaty challenge results in booking for Timo Hubers on 64.
  • 65' 1. FC Koln make a change. Damion Downs trudges off to be replaced by Steffen Tigges on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 72' The crowd applauds Max Finkgrafe as he leaves the pitch. Leart Paqarada steps in for 1. FC Koln.
  • 73' Denis Huseinbasic makes way for Mathias Olesen at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FC Koln.
  • 76' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen bench stirs into life. Exequiel Palacios is withdrawn and Victor Boniface gets his opportunity.
  • 80' The whistle greets Linton Maina as he departs to be replaced by Imad Rondic.
  • 85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eric Martel suffering a number of foals already.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Nordi Mukiele as he leaves the pitch. Aleix Garcia steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 90' That is a card for 1. FC Koln. Jan Thielmann will be fuming at that decision.
  • It finishes all square. Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FC Koln share the spoils 3-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 1. FC Köln xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen53% Draw25% 1. FC Köln22%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
78%
Draw or 1. FC Köln
47%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FC Köln
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen37% Draw44% 1. FC Köln19%
Actual: 1. FC Köln win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
1 – 0
9%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FC Köln covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 16% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 22% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
33%
1. FC Köln keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.