Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FC Koln vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2. Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

2. Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 15 Dec 2024 · 12:30 UTC RheinEnergieSTADION 50,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Damion Downs 6' 1–0
Florian Kainz pen 17' 2–0
Denis Huseinbasic 31' 3–0
3–1 59' Jens Castrop

Overview

Match Preview

1. FC Koln vs 1. FC Nurnberg2. Bundesliga at RheinEnergieSTADION.

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Braun
  • Assistant 1 Marc Philip Eckermann (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Markus Schuller
14 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec 1. FC Nurnberg H 3–1 W
08 Dec SSV Jahn Regensburg A 1–0 W
04 Dec Hertha BSC H 2–1 W
30 Nov Hannover 96 H 2–2 D
22 Nov SC Preussen Munster A 1–0 W
09 Nov SpVgg Greuther Furth 1903 H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Dec 1. FC Koln A 1–3 L
06 Dec SV 07 Elversberg A 1–2 L
01 Dec TSV Fortuna 95 Dusseldorf H 2–2 D
22 Nov SC Paderborn 07 A 2–3 L
08 Nov 1. FC Kaiserslautern H 0–0 D
03 Nov Hamburger SV A 1–1 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
15% Clean Sheets
1. FC Nurnberg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FC Nurnberg
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/
61-75
1/1
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between 1. FC Koln and 1. FC Nurnberg is underway.
  • 5' Jens Castrop has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 24 cards already picked up this season.
  • 6' The deadlock is broken! Damion Downs gets on the scoresheet on 6 minutes.
  • 11' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FC Nurnberg that had 295 games and scored 184 goals.
  • 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 17' A goal from the Austria international Florian Kainz! He fires home on 17 to make it 2-0!
  • 22' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FC Koln side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 27' Germany international Jan Thielmann has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 31' Against the run of play, Denis Huseinbasic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' Timo Hubers is having his name booked by the referee on 33.
  • 38' 1. FC Nurnberg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 41' The referee has no hesitation. Dominique Heintz is booked for 1. FC Koln — card on 41.
  • 46' The 1. FC Nurnberg manager makes a substitution. Mahir Emreli departs to be replaced by Florian Flick.
  • 50' Berkay Yilmaz was booked on 50.
  • 55' Poor challenge from Jan Thielmann. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 58' Jan Thielmann makes way for Marvin Obuz at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FC Koln.
  • 59' A stunning finish from Jens Castrop — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 64' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FC Koln is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 69' Julian Justvan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 471 appearances.
  • 72' Michal Sevcik gets the nod from 1. FC Nurnberg. He replaces Ondrej Karafiat and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 76' Rafael Lubach has so much to prove this time. He replaces Caspar Jander on 76 minute.
  • 80' Fresh legs for 1. FC Koln! Mark Uth comes on to replace Florian Kainz.
  • 83' Florian Pick gets the nod from 1. FC Nurnberg. He replaces Berkay Yilmaz and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 84' Steffen Tigges has so much to prove this time. He replaces Damion Downs on 84 minute.
  • 85' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dejan Ljubicic.
  • 90' 1. FC Koln is showing some good football. However, 1. FC Koln are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for 1. FC Nurnberg.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71 1. FC Koln xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 1. FC Nurnberg xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FC Koln50% Draw24% 1. FC Nurnberg26%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

1. FC Koln or Draw
74%
Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg
50%
1. FC Koln or 1. FC Nurnberg
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FC Koln33% Draw44% 1. FC Nurnberg23%
Actual: 1. FC Koln win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.5%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FC Koln

Handicap 1. FC Koln covers Push 1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 71% 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FC Koln keeps clean sheet
26%
1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.