Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sun 2 Feb 2025 · 16:30 UTC BayArena 29,278 HT 45' · FT 45'
Victor Boniface 15' 1–0
Jeremie Frimpong 19' 2–0
Patrik Schick 51' 3–0
3–1 63' Gift Orban

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Braun
  • Assistant 1 Rafael Foltyn
  • Assistant 2 Asmir Osmanagic
14 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–1 W
29 Jan AC Sparta Praha H 2–0 W
25 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
21 Jan Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L
18 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–1 W
14 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–3 L
30 Jan RSC Anderlecht A 4–3 W
26 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–2 D
23 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–3 L
18 Jan Holstein Kiel A 3–1 W
15 Jan FC Bayern München A 0–5 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
#6 Position #5
59 Points 61
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 18 / 7 / 9
68 Scored 65
47 Conceded 52
+21 GD +13
1.74 PPG 1.79
50% Win % 53%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
81% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.54 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen62% Draw20% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim18%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 55%
45%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
38%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen45% Draw36% TSG 1899 Hoffenheim19%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
4 – 1
4.5%
1 – 0
4.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 17% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 20% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 80% 20%
+1 80% 11% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
24%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.