Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at BayArena.
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Robin Braun
- Assistant 1 Rafael Foltyn
- Assistant 2 Asmir Osmanagic
14 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 4.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Jan | AC Sparta Praha | H | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Jan | Club Atletico de Madrid | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Jan | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Jan | RSC Anderlecht | A | 4–3 | W |
| 26 Jan | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Jan | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | Holstein Kiel | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jan | FC Bayern München | A | 0–5 | L |
Season Stats
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 59 | Points | 61 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 17 / 8 / 9 | W / D / L | 18 / 7 / 9 |
| 68 | Scored | 65 |
| 47 | Conceded | 52 |
| +21 | GD | +13 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.79 |
| 50% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to BayArena that hosts another battle between Bayer 04 Leverkusen and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering TSG 1899 Hoffenheim that had 407 games and scored 529 goals.
- 15' What a moment for Victor Boniface! That strike on 15 puts his side firmly in control.
- 19' Jeremie Frimpong has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 19 minutes.
- 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
- 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 34' Dennis Geiger has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 34.
- 39' The travelling TSG 1899 Hoffenheim supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 42' A change in the Bayer 04 Leverkusen ranks — Nathan Tella exits the field as Emiliano Buendia enters on 42.
- 45' A moment of madness from Alejandro Grimaldo on 45 minutes earns him a card. Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be frustrated.
- 46' Another substitution for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to replace Victor Boniface by Patrik Schick on 46 minute.
- 51' GOAL! Patrik Schick fires home to make it 3-0!
- 56' Hennes Behrens has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 60' That looks like a foul for a card for Alejandro Grimaldo.
- 62' The supporters are chanting for Gift Orban. He replaces Dennis Geiger on 62 minute.
- 63' Gift Orban does the damage! The net is bulging and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim surge ahead!
- 68' Mario Hermoso has so much to prove this time. He replaces Emiliano Buendia on 68 minute.
- 73' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Robin Hranac has done his job and it is now time for David Mokwa Ntusu to step up.
- 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 79' Poor challenge from Erencan Yardimci. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 82' The referee calls foul for Frank Frohling. He receives a card.
- 84' The Bayer 04 Leverkusen bench stirs into life. Florian Wirtz is withdrawn and Exequiel Palacios gets his opportunity.
- 89' Spain international Aleix Garcia has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 90' Bayer 04 Leverkusen receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim will have plenty to reflect on. Bayer 04 Leverkusen were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 34
- 4
- 1
- 24
- 20
- 12
- 30
- 10
-
19
Nathan Tella ↓ Emiliano Buendia 42'
-
22
Victor Boniface ↓ Patrik Schick 46'
- 3
Bench
-
16
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 42'
- 23
- 7
- 5
-
14
Patrik Schick ↑ 46'
-
25
Exequiel Palacios ↑ 84'
- 17
-
13
Arthur Augusto ↑ 84'
- 47
Coach
Xabi Alonso
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↓ Gift Orban 62'
-
21
Marius Bulter ↓ Stanley N'Soki 62'
- 23
- 20
- 53
- 37
- 35
- 7
-
19
David Jurasek ↓ Hennes Behrens 62'
- 2
Bench
-
22
Alexander Prass ↑ 84'
-
14
Gift Orban ↑ 62'
- 43
-
34
Stanley N'Soki ↑ 62'
- 28
-
52
David Mokwa Ntusu ↑ 73'
- 56
-
40
Hennes Behrens ↑ 62'
- 57
Coach
Christian Ilzer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 6 |
| Moussa Diaby | 4 |
| Robert Andrich | 3 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 3 |
| Florian Wirtz | 3 |
| Andrej Kramaric | 3 |
| Victor Boniface | 3 |
| Georginio Rutter | 3 |
Head to Head
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-02-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-01-29
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2–0
AC Sparta Praha
W
2025-01-25
RB Leipzig
2–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-01-21
Club Atletico de Madrid
2–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2025-01-18
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
Borussia Monchengladbach
W
2025-01-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2025-02-02
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2025-01-30
RSC Anderlecht
3–4
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-01-26
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
Eintracht Frankfurt
D
2025-01-23
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–3
Tottenham Hotspur FC
L
2025-01-18
Holstein Kiel
1–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-01-15
FC Bayern München
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.54
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 70%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
38%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.4%
1 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.9%
4 – 1
4.5%
1 – 0
4.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Handicap | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 20% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 11% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

