Friday , 2 October 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Mar 2024 · 17:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Moussa Diaby 36' 1–0
Ezri Konsa 65' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Wolverhampton Wanderers FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Assistant 1 Steven Meredith (England)
  • Assistant 2 Scott Ledger
4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 8.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W
17 Mar West Ham United FC A 1–1 D
10 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–4 L
02 Mar Luton Town FC A 3–2 W
24 Feb Nottingham Forest FC H 4–2 W
17 Feb Fulham FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Aston Villa FC A 0–2 L
16 Mar Coventry City FC H 2–3 L
09 Mar Fulham FC H 2–1 W
02 Mar Newcastle United FC A 0–3 L
28 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.01 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC50% Draw27% Wolverhampton Wanderers FC23%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
50%
Aston Villa FC or Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC33% Draw48% Wolverhampton Wanderers FC19%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.1%
0 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
7%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Wolverhampton Wanderers FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.