Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 8 Oct 2023 · 13:00 UTC Molineux Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Hwang Heechan 53' 1–0
1–1 55' Pau Torres

Overview

Match Preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League at Molineux Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Aston Villa FC H 1–1 D
30 Sep Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
23 Sep Luton Town FC A 1–1 D
16 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
03 Sep Crystal Palace FC A 2–3 L
26 Aug Everton FC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
30 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 6–1 W
24 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
16 Sep Crystal Palace FC H 3–1 W
03 Sep Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
27 Aug Burnley FC A 3–1 W

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.36 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC or Aston Villa FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC42% Draw28% Aston Villa FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
58%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC or Aston Villa FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC29% Draw49% Aston Villa FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.2%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
8.3%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

Handicap Wolverhampton Wanderers FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 21% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.