Thursday , 2 July 2026

Manchester City FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Burnley FC H 5–1 W
21 Sep Arsenal FC A 1–1 D
18 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–0 W
14 Sep Manchester United FC H 3–0 W
31 Aug Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L
23 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Manchester City FC A 1–5 L
20 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
16 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Manchester City FC Burnley FC
#9 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

21% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.86 Manchester City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.36 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 74% + Manchester City FC to win 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Manchester City FC71% Draw21% Burnley FC8%
Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 2.22
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw
92%
Draw or Burnley FC
29%
Manchester City FC or Burnley FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Manchester City FC49% Draw46% Burnley FC5%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
19.8%
2 – 0
18.2%
0 – 0
12.7%
3 – 0
11.1%
1 – 1
7.6%
2 – 1
6.6%
4 – 0
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 1
3.1%
4 – 1
2.1%
5 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap Manchester City FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 23% 54%
-1.5 46% 54%
-1 46% 27% 27%
-0.5 73% 27%
+0.5 95% 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
70%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.