Manchester City FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Manchester City FC

5 – 1

Full Time

Burnley FC

Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Manchester City FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League .

Manchester City FC 5 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Burnley FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robert Jones

3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	5	15
2	Arsenal FC	5	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	5	10
4	Brentford FC	5	9
5	Leeds United FC	5	9
6	Liverpool FC	5	9
7	Everton FC	5	9
8	Hull City AFC	5	8
9	Newcastle United FC	5	8
10	Chelsea FC	5	7
11	Ipswich Town FC	5	6
12	Manchester United FC	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest FC	5	5
14	Sunderland AFC	5	4
15	Crystal Palace FC	5	4
16	Aston Villa FC	5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry City FC	5	3
19	Fulham FC	5	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Manchester City FC 14 games · Avg 3.7 goals Burnley FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-27 Manchester City FC 5–1 Burnley FC 2024-01-31 Manchester City FC 3–1 Burnley FC 2023-08-11 Burnley FC 0–3 Manchester City FC 2023-03-18 Manchester City FC 6–0 Burnley FC 2022-04-02 Burnley FC 0–2 Manchester City FC

Recent Form

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Burnley FC	H	5–1	W
21 Sep	Arsenal FC	A	1–1	D
18 Sep	SSC Napoli	H	2–0	W
14 Sep	Manchester United FC	H	3–0	W
31 Aug	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	A	1–2	L
23 Aug	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	0–2	L

Burnley FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Sep	Manchester City FC	A	1–5	L
20 Sep	Nottingham Forest FC	H	1–1	D
14 Sep	Liverpool FC	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Manchester United FC	A	2–3	L
23 Aug	Sunderland AFC	H	2–0	W
16 Aug	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–3	L

Key Stats

21% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Manchester City FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

–/–

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC

Erling Haaland	5 G
Rayan Cherki	3 G	2 A
Antoine Semenyo	2 G	3 A
Josko Gvardiol	1 G	2 A
Marc Guehi	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. Manchester City FC host Burnley FC — let the battle begin!
Burnley FC will have plenty to reflect on. Manchester City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Manchester City FC Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Riyad Mahrez	7
Erling Haaland	6
Gabriel Jesus	4
Julian Alvarez	4
Bernardo Silva	3
Sergio Aguero	3
Kevin De Bruyne	3
Rodri	3

Head to Head

Manchester City FC Form

2025-09-27 Manchester City FC 5–1 Burnley FC W 2025-09-21 Arsenal FC 1–1 Manchester City FC D 2025-09-18 Manchester City FC 2–0 SSC Napoli W 2025-09-14 Manchester City FC 3–0 Manchester United FC W 2025-08-31 Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2–1 Manchester City FC L 2025-08-23 Manchester City FC 0–2 Tottenham Hotspur FC L

Burnley FC Form

2025-09-27 Manchester City FC 5–1 Burnley FC L 2025-09-20 Burnley FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC D 2025-09-14 Burnley FC 0–1 Liverpool FC L 2025-08-30 Manchester United FC 3–2 Burnley FC L 2025-08-23 Burnley FC 2–0 Sunderland AFC W 2025-08-16 Tottenham Hotspur FC 3–0 Burnley FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.51 Manchester City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.89 Burnley FC xG

I would bet for: Manchester City FC to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Manchester City FC70% Draw18% Burnley FC12%

Actual: Manchester City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 3.4

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	26%	74%

Double Chance

Manchester City FC or Draw

88%

Draw or Burnley FC

30%

Manchester City FC or Burnley FC

82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Manchester City FC52% Draw37% Burnley FC11%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted

5 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

10.5%

2 – 1

9.1%

3 – 0

8.5%

1 – 1

8.2%

1 – 0

8.1%

3 – 1

7.5%

4 – 0

5.3%

4 – 1

4.8%

0 – 0

4.7%

2 – 2

3 – 2

3.4%

1 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — Manchester City FC

Handicap	Manchester City FC covers	Push	Burnley FC covers
-2.5	29%	—	71%
-2	29%	21%	50%
-1.5	50%	—	50%
-1	50%	21%	29%
-0.5	71%	—	29%
+0.5	89%	—	11%
+1	89%	7%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

42% ✓

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.