Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee
4 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 6.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Burnley FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–0 W
28 Sep Fulham FC H 3–1 W
25 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
21 Sep Sunderland AFC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Everton FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
27 Sep Manchester City FC A 1–5 L
20 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • Aston Villa FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.08 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC to win 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC60% Draw22% Burnley FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Burnley FC
40%
Aston Villa FC or Burnley FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC41% Draw42% Burnley FC17%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 0
8.6%
0 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.5%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 22% 43%
-0.5 57% — 43%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.