Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Burnley FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Burnley FC H 2–1 W
02 Oct Feyenoord Rotterdam A 2–0 W
28 Sep Fulham FC H 3–1 W
25 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 1–0 W
21 Sep Sunderland AFC A 1–1 D
13 Sep Everton FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
27 Sep Manchester City FC A 1–5 L
20 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 1–1 D
14 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Burnley FC
#11 Position #2
0 Points 22
0 Played 38
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 4 / 10 / 24
0 Scored 38
0 Conceded 75
+0 GD -37
PPG 0.58
Win % 11%

Key Stats

90% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.33 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.55 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC59% Draw28% Burnley FC13%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 56%
44%
± 2.5 29%
71%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Burnley FC
41%
Aston Villa FC or Burnley FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC35% Draw54% Burnley FC11%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
19.1%
0 – 0
17.5%
2 – 0
12.9%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.7%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 2
2.1%
0 – 2
2.1%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 17% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 28% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 11% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
58%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.