Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2023-24

Aston Villa FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Wed 6 Dec 2023 · 20:15 UTC Villa Park 42,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Leon Bailey 74' 1–0

Y 45' John Stones

Y 53' Rico Lewis

Ollie Watkins 60' Y

Boubacar Kamara 87' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Aston Villa FC 10 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Manchester City FC 10 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee John Brooks
Assistant 1 Lee Betts
Assistant 2 Akil Howson

9 games this season 🟨 4.9/game ⚽ 13.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	10	27
2	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	10	22
3	Manchester City FC	10	21
4	Liverpool FC	10	18
5	Chelsea FC	10	16
6	Everton FC	10	16
7	AFC Bournemouth	10	15
8	Brentford FC	10	14
9	Leeds United FC	10	14
10	Aston Villa FC	10	13
11	Tottenham Hotspur FC	10	12
12	Newcastle United FC	10	12
13	Hull City AFC	10	11
14	Ipswich Town FC	10	11
15	Fulham FC	10	10
16	Nottingham Forest FC	10	9
17	Coventry City FC	10	9
18	Manchester United FC	10	8
19	Sunderland AFC	10	8
20	Crystal Palace FC	10	7

Head-to-Head

Aston Villa FC 15 games · Avg 3.2 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-12-06 Aston Villa FC 1–0 Manchester City FC 2023-02-12 Manchester City FC 3–1 Aston Villa FC 2022-09-03 Aston Villa FC 1–1 Manchester City FC 2022-05-22 Manchester City FC 3–2 Aston Villa FC 2021-12-01 Aston Villa FC 1–2 Manchester City FC

Recent Form

Aston Villa FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Dec	Manchester City FC	H	1–0	W
03 Dec	AFC Bournemouth	A	2–2	D
26 Nov	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	2–1	W
12 Nov	Fulham FC	H	3–1	W
05 Nov	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–2	L
29 Oct	Luton Town FC	H	3–1	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 Dec	Aston Villa FC	A	0–1	L
03 Dec	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	3–3	D
28 Nov	RB Leipzig	H	3–2	W
25 Nov	Liverpool FC	H	1–1	D
12 Nov	Chelsea FC	A	4–4	D
07 Nov	BSC Young Boys	H	3–0	W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC		Manchester City FC
#10	Position	#3
13	Points	21
10	Played	10
3 / 4 / 3	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 3
14	Scored	21
17	Conceded	13
-3	GD	+8
1.30	PPG	2.10
30%	Win %	70%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)

73% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Manchester City FC are 3rd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC

0-15

4/1

16-30

–/3

31-45

3/2

46-60

3/3

61-75

2/–

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Manchester City FC

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/1

46-60

6/2

61-75

3/1

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC

Nicolas Jackson	6 G	1 A
Johan Manzambi	2 G	3 A
Alysson	2 G

Manchester City FC

Erling Haaland	9 G
Rayan Cherki	5 G	2 A
Antoine Semenyo	2 G	3 A
Josko Gvardiol	1 G	3 A
Marc Guehi	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' And we are off! Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC — let the football do the talking.
5' Manchester City FC have won 1056 goals from 452 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
10' Aston Villa FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Nicolas Jackson scoring 2 goals.
15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Unai Emery will be considering his options from the bench.
20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Julian Alvarez suffering a number of foals already.
25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Aston Villa FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
35' Lucas Digne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 10 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Aston Villa FC that had 369 games and scored 524 goals.
45' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for John Stones.
50' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
53' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Rico Lewis.
58' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
60' Aston Villa FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
65' Aston Villa FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
68' Manchester City FC make a change. Rico Lewis trudges off to be replaced by Mateo Kovacic on 68 minutes.
73' Manchester City FC make a change. Phil Foden trudges off to be replaced by Oscar Bobb on 73 minutes.
74' GOAL! Leon Bailey scores on 74.
79' A change in the Aston Villa FC ranks — Leon Bailey exits the field as Moussa Diaby enters on 79.
84' Kyle Walker is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
85' Moussa Diaby is replacing Leon Bailey for the Aston Villa FC side.
87' Boubacar Kamara catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 87.
90' The whistle greets Lucas Digne as he departs to be replaced by Alex Moreno.
The referee brings this contest to a close. Aston Villa FC take all three points.

Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

4-4-1-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Unai Emery

Manchester City FC Lineups

3-2-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pep Guardiola

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Phil Foden	5
Rodri	5
Ilkay Gundogan	5
Ollie Watkins	4
Sergio Aguero	3
Riyad Mahrez	3
Bernardo Silva	3
Erling Haaland	2

Head to Head

Aston Villa FC Form

2023-12-06 Aston Villa FC 1–0 Manchester City FC W 2023-12-03 AFC Bournemouth 2–2 Aston Villa FC D 2023-11-26 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC W 2023-11-12 Aston Villa FC 3–1 Fulham FC W 2023-11-05 Nottingham Forest FC 2–0 Aston Villa FC L 2023-10-29 Aston Villa FC 3–1 Luton Town FC W

Manchester City FC Form

2023-12-06 Aston Villa FC 1–0 Manchester City FC L 2023-12-03 Manchester City FC 3–3 Tottenham Hotspur FC D 2023-11-28 Manchester City FC 3–2 RB Leipzig W 2023-11-25 Manchester City FC 1–1 Liverpool FC D 2023-11-12 Chelsea FC 4–4 Manchester City FC D 2023-11-07 Manchester City FC 3–0 BSC Young Boys W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.67 Aston Villa FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.93 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC 76% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Aston Villa FC39% Draw24% Manchester City FC37%

Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.6

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Manchester City FC

61%

Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Aston Villa FC27% Draw40% Manchester City FC33%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

1 – 2

8.2%

2 – 1

7.1%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 3

5.2%

0 – 2

5.2%

0 – 1

4.7%

2 – 3

4.4%

0 – 0

4.1%

1 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

3.9%

2 – 0

3.9%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap	Aston Villa FC covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	16%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	19%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	13%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet

15% ✗

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.