Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Wed 6 Dec 2023 · 20:15 UTC Villa Park 42,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leon Bailey 74' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D
26 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
12 Nov Fulham FC H 3–1 W
05 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
03 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–3 D
28 Nov RB Leipzig H 3–2 W
25 Nov Liverpool FC H 1–1 D
12 Nov Chelsea FC A 4–4 D
07 Nov BSC Young Boys H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#11 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC get this one started.
  • 5' Manchester City FC have won 1020 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Douglas Luiz suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' It is a cagey affair so far. Aston Villa FC in their 4-4-1-1 trying to find a way past Manchester City FC's compact 3-2-4-1.
  • 35' Spain international Pau Torres has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Aston Villa FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for John Stones. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 50' Youri Tielemans has been relatively quiet despite scoring 44 goals in his last 422 appearances.
  • 53' The referee has no hesitation. Rico Lewis is booked for Manchester City FC — Yellow card on 53.
  • 58' Aston Villa FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ollie Watkins on 60 minutes.
  • 65' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a 4-4-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester City FC's 3-2-4-1 shape.
  • 68' The Manchester City FC manager makes a substitution. Rico Lewis departs to be replaced by Mateo Kovacic.
  • 73' Oscar Bobb is ready to make an impact after coming on for Phil Foden at the 73 minute mark.
  • 74' The deadlock is broken! Leon Bailey gets on the scoresheet on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Moussa Diaby is replacing Leon Bailey for the Aston Villa FC side.
  • 84' It looks surprising Manchester City FC does not make any changes. Ezri Konsa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Aston Villa FC team. Leon Bailey is replaced by Moussa Diaby on 85 minute.
  • 87' The referee shows Aston Villa FC player a Yellow card on 87.
  • 90' Aston Villa FC make a change. Lucas Digne trudges off to be replaced by Alex Moreno on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.9 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC41% Draw35% Manchester City FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester City FC
59%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC23% Draw61% Manchester City FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
2.3%
2 – 2
2.1%
3 – 1
1.8%
1 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 24% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 17% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.