Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Wed 6 Dec 2023 · 20:15 UTC Villa Park 42,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leon Bailey 74' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
5 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 13.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D
26 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
12 Nov Fulham FC H 3–1 W
05 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
03 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–3 D
28 Nov RB Leipzig H 3–2 W
25 Nov Liverpool FC H 1–1 D
12 Nov Chelsea FC A 4–4 D
07 Nov BSC Young Boys H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#16 Position #1
4 Points 15
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 0 / 0
4 Scored 13
9 Conceded 5
-5 GD +8
0.80 PPG 3.00
20% Win % 100%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Manchester City FC are 1st (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Manchester City FC
Erling Haaland 5 G
Rayan Cherki 3 G 2 A
Antoine Semenyo 2 G 3 A
Josko Gvardiol 1 G 2 A
Marc Guehi 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Aston Villa FC launch into their encounter with Manchester City FC.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' The travelling Manchester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Manchester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Youri Tielemans, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a 4-4-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester City FC's 3-2-4-1 shape.
  • 45' A moment of madness from John Stones on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Manchester City FC will be frustrated.
  • 50' Rico Lewis has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 438 appearances.
  • 53' Poor challenge from Rico Lewis. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leon Bailey made 543 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 60' The referee calls foul for Ollie Watkins. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 65' Oscar Bobb is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
  • 68' Mateo Kovacic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rico Lewis on 68 minute.
  • 73' A change in the Manchester City FC ranks — Phil Foden exits the field as Oscar Bobb enters on 73.
  • 74' What a strike from Leon Bailey! The score is 1-0.
  • 79' Aston Villa FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Moussa Diaby is hanging Leon Bailey on the field on 79 minute.
  • 84' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 85' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Leon Bailey has done his job and it is now time for Moussa Diaby to step up.
  • 87' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Boubacar Kamara.
  • 90' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Digne departs to be replaced by Alex Moreno.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.23 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.26 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC29% Draw22% Manchester City FC49%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 66%
34%
± 3.5 45%
55%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Manchester City FC
71%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC17% Draw39% Manchester City FC44%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–0 not predicted
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
0 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 4
4%
0 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 11% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 41% — 59%
+1 41% 21% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✗
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.