Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at Villa Park.
- Aston Villa FC 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
- Manchester City FC 5 games · 15 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee John Brooks
- Assistant 1 Lee Betts
- Assistant 2 Akil Howson
5 games this season
🟨 3.8/game
⚽ 13.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City FC | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal FC | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford FC | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds United FC | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool FC | 5 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton FC | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City AFC | 5 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle United FC | 5 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea FC | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town FC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United FC | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest FC | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland AFC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace FC | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa FC | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | AFC Bournemouth | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry City FC | 5 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham FC | 5 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 5 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Manchester City FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | AFC Bournemouth | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Nov | Tottenham Hotspur FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Nov | Fulham FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Nov | Nottingham Forest FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Luton Town FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Aston Villa FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 03 Dec | Tottenham Hotspur FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 28 Nov | RB Leipzig | H | 3–2 | W |
| 25 Nov | Liverpool FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Nov | Chelsea FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 07 Nov | BSC Young Boys | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Aston Villa FC | Manchester City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #1 |
| 4 | Points | 15 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 1 / 1 / 3 | W / D / L | 5 / 0 / 0 |
| 4 | Scored | 13 |
| 9 | Conceded | 5 |
| -5 | GD | +8 |
| 0.80 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 20% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
71%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
Aston Villa FC this season
40%
Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season
Manchester City FC this season
Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Manchester City FC are 1st (15 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Manchester City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Manchester City FC
| Erling Haaland | 5 G | |
| Rayan Cherki | 3 G | 2 A |
| Antoine Semenyo | 2 G | 3 A |
| Josko Gvardiol | 1 G | 2 A |
| Marc Guehi | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Aston Villa FC launch into their encounter with Manchester City FC.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' The travelling Manchester City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Manchester City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Youri Tielemans, as he is very good at scoring at Villa Park with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 40' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a 4-4-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester City FC's 3-2-4-1 shape.
- 45' A moment of madness from John Stones on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Manchester City FC will be frustrated.
- 50' Rico Lewis has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 438 appearances.
- 53' Poor challenge from Rico Lewis. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leon Bailey made 543 appearances and scored 45 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 60' The referee calls foul for Ollie Watkins. He receives a Yellow card.
- 65' Oscar Bobb is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Aston Villa FC so far.
- 68' Mateo Kovacic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rico Lewis on 68 minute.
- 73' A change in the Manchester City FC ranks — Phil Foden exits the field as Oscar Bobb enters on 73.
- 74' What a strike from Leon Bailey! The score is 1-0.
- 79' Aston Villa FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Moussa Diaby is hanging Leon Bailey on the field on 79 minute.
- 84' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 85' Aston Villa FC ring the changes. Leon Bailey has done his job and it is now time for Moussa Diaby to step up.
- 87' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Boubacar Kamara.
- 90' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Lucas Digne departs to be replaced by Alex Moreno.
- The final score is 1-0.
Lineups
Aston Villa FC Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 1
-
12
Lucas Digne ↓ Alex Moreno 90'
-
11
Ollie Watkins ↓ Jhon Duran 90'
- 4
- 7
-
8
Youri Tielemans ↓ Jacob Ramsey 85'
- 3
- 44
-
31
Leon Bailey ↓ Moussa Diaby 85'
- 6
- 14
Bench
- 2
- 32
-
19
Moussa Diaby ↑ 85'
- 17
- 22
-
15
Alex Moreno ↑ 90'
-
41
Jacob Ramsey ↑ 85'
-
24
Jhon Duran ↑ 90'
- 42
Coach
Unai Emery
Manchester City FC Lineups
3-2-4-1Starting XI
- 31
- 20
- 2
- 5
-
47
Phil Foden ↓ Oscar Bobb 73'
- 25
- 3
- 9
-
19
Julian Alvarez ↓ Matheus Nunes 68'
- 24
-
82
Rico Lewis ↓ Mateo Kovacic 68'
Bench
- 6
-
8
Mateo Kovacic ↑ 68'
- 33
- 4
- 21
- 18
-
27
Matheus Nunes ↑ 68'
-
52
Oscar Bobb ↑ 73'
Coach
Pep Guardiola
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Phil Foden | 5 |
| Rodri | 5 |
| Ilkay Gundogan | 5 |
| Ollie Watkins | 4 |
| Bernardo Silva | 3 |
| Sergio Aguero | 3 |
| Riyad Mahrez | 3 |
| Jhon Duran | 2 |
Head to Head
Aston Villa FC Form
Manchester City FC Form
2023-12-06
Aston Villa FC
1–0
Manchester City FC
L
2023-12-03
Manchester City FC
3–3
Tottenham Hotspur FC
D
2023-11-28
Manchester City FC
3–2
RB Leipzig
W
2023-11-25
Manchester City FC
1–1
Liverpool FC
D
2023-11-12
Chelsea FC
4–4
Manchester City FC
D
2023-11-07
Manchester City FC
3–0
BSC Young Boys
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.23
Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.26
Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Aston Villa FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.49
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Aston Villa FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Manchester City FC
71%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 1–0 not predicted1 – 0Actual
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 3
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
0 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 4
4%
0 – 4
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC
| Handicap | Aston Villa FC covers | Push | Manchester City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✗
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

