Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Wed 6 Dec 2023 · 20:15 UTC Villa Park 42,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leon Bailey 74' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Manchester City FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee John Brooks
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Akil Howson
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
03 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 2–2 D
26 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 2–1 W
12 Nov Fulham FC H 3–1 W
05 Nov Nottingham Forest FC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Luton Town FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
03 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 3–3 D
28 Nov RB Leipzig H 3–2 W
25 Nov Liverpool FC H 1–1 D
12 Nov Chelsea FC A 4–4 D
07 Nov BSC Young Boys H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Manchester City FC
#11 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Manchester City FC are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Villa Park. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC.
  • 5' Julian Alvarez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 94 goals in his last 185 appearances.
  • 10' Aston Villa FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Manchester City FC backline.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Pep Guardiola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' Manchester City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 25' Ollie Watkins has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
  • 30' Aston Villa FC are deployed in a 4-4-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against Manchester City FC's 3-2-4-1 shape.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 45' John Stones has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 53' Controversy at the stadium! Rico Lewis argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 58' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 60' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Ollie Watkins.
  • 65' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ruben Dias made 467 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 68' Mateo Kovacic gets the nod from Manchester City FC. He replaces Rico Lewis and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 73' Phil Foden makes way for Oscar Bobb at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from Manchester City FC.
  • 74' Leon Bailey does the damage! The net is bulging and Aston Villa FC surge ahead!
  • 79' Moussa Diaby is ready to make an impact after coming on for Leon Bailey at the 79 minute mark.
  • 84' Both keepers have barely been tested. Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 85' Another substitution for Aston Villa FC to replace Leon Bailey by Moussa Diaby on 85 minute.
  • 87' Aston Villa FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 87.
  • 90' A change in the Aston Villa FC ranks — Lucas Digne exits the field as Alex Moreno enters on 90.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.9 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.67 Manchester City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC41% Draw35% Manchester City FC24%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes31% 0% No69%
Avg goals/match: 1.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Manchester City FC
59%
Aston Villa FC or Manchester City FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC23% Draw61% Manchester City FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.5%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
4.3%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
2.3%
2 – 2
2.1%
3 – 1
1.8%
1 – 3
1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Manchester City FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 24% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 17% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
51%
Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.