Sunday , 25 October 2026

Toulouse FC vs AS Saint-Etienne, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Fri 13 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 25,336 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 53' Lucas Stassin
Zakaria Aboukhlal 85' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs AS Saint-Etienne — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
  • Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec AS Saint-Etienne H 2–1 W
07 Dec AS Monaco FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec AJ Auxerre H 2–0 W
22 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L
10 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–0 W
03 Nov Stade de Reims H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec Toulouse FC A 1–2 L
08 Dec Olympique de Marseille H 0–2 L
30 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–5 L
23 Nov Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
10 Nov Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
02 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–0 W

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
7/–
61-75
2/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 5 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 2 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 2 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Toulouse FC launch into their encounter with AS Saint-Étienne.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Stadium de Toulouse. AS Saint-Étienne seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The referee shows AS Saint-Etienne player a card on 10.
  • 15' Venezuela international Cristian Casseres Jr. has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 5 assists in the Array this season.
  • 19' The referee shows Toulouse FC player a card on 19.
  • 24' Mathis Amougou has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 9 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Charlie Cresswell made 365 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 34' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 39' AS Saint-Étienne is showing some good football. However, AS Saint-Étienne are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 44' Mark McKenzie has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 301 appearances.
  • 49' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Yunis Abdelhamid.
  • 53' GOAL! Lucas Stassin scores on 53. Assisted by Dennis Appiah
  • 55' What composure from Shavy Warren Babicka! The Gabon international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 60' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Shavy Warren Babicka departs to be replaced by Yann Gboho.
  • 61' Dennis Appiah was booked on 61.
  • 63' Cristian Casseres Jr. has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 63.
  • 64' Louis Mouton makes way for Mathis Amougou at the 64 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Saint-Etienne.
  • 69' It is a cagey affair so far. Toulouse FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past AS Saint-Étienne's compact 3-5-1-1.
  • 74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 76' AS Saint-Etienne ring the changes. Zuriko Davitashvili has done his job and it is now time for Ayman Aiki to step up.
  • 78' The Toulouse FC manager makes a substitution. Joshua King departs to be replaced by Frank Magri.
  • 83' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 85' Zakaria Aboukhlal doubles the advantage! 2-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 89' Fresh legs for Toulouse FC! Warren Kamanzi comes on to replace Aron Donnum.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Toulouse FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 AS Saint-Etienne xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC51% Draw26% AS Saint-Etienne23%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
77%
Draw or AS Saint-Etienne
49%
Toulouse FC or AS Saint-Etienne
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC36% Draw45% AS Saint-Etienne19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push AS Saint-Etienne covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.