Monday , 27 July 2026

Toulouse FC vs AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Fri 13 Dec 2024 · 19:45 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 25,336 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 53' Lucas Stassin
Zakaria Aboukhlal 85' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs AS Saint-EtienneLigue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Thomas Leonard
  • Assistant 1 Aurelien Drouet
  • Assistant 2 Florian Goncalves de Araujo (France)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec AS Saint-Étienne H 2–1 W
07 Dec AS Monaco FC A 0–2 L
01 Dec AJ Auxerre H 2–0 W
22 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L
10 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–0 W
03 Nov Stade de Reims H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Dec Toulouse FC A 1–2 L
08 Dec Olympique de Marseille H 0–2 L
30 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 0–5 L
23 Nov Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
10 Nov Olympique Lyonnais A 0–1 L
02 Nov RC Strasbourg Alsace H 2–0 W

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Stadium de Toulouse that hosts another battle between Toulouse FC and AS Saint-Etienne.
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Toulouse FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past AS Saint-Etienne's compact 3-5-1-1.
  • 10' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Benjamin Bouchouari.
  • 15' It looks surprising Toulouse FC does not make any changes. Aron Donnum has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 19' It’s a booking for Toulouse FC player. Vincent Sierro gets a card.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Toulouse FC and AS Saint-Etienne are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mark McKenzie made 286 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' A quiet spell here at Stadium de Toulouse. Toulouse FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 44' Toulouse FC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against AS Saint-Etienne's 3-5-1-1 shape.
  • 49' Yunis Abdelhamid picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 53' Lucas Stassin does the damage! The net is bulging and AS Saint-Etienne surge ahead!
  • 55' Shavy Warren Babicka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 55 minutes.
  • 60' Shavy Warren Babicka makes way for Yann Gboho at the 60 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toulouse FC.
  • 61' The referee shows AS Saint-Etienne player a card on 61.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Cristian Casseres Jr..
  • 64' AS Saint-Etienne make a change. Louis Mouton trudges off to be replaced by Mathis Amougou on 64 minutes.
  • 69' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 74' It’s high time Olivier Dall'Oglio made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 76' Ayman Aiki has so much to prove this time. He replaces Zuriko Davitashvili on 76 minute.
  • 78' Frank Magri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joshua King on 78 minute.
  • 83' Yunis Abdelhamid has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 85' The Morocco Zakaria Aboukhlal breaks the deadlock on 85 minutes. 2-1!
  • 89' Toulouse FC make a change. Aron Donnum trudges off to be replaced by Warren Kamanzi on 89 minutes.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Toulouse FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.69 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 AS Saint-Etienne xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC51% Draw26% AS Saint-Etienne23%
Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.8
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
77%
Draw or AS Saint-Etienne
49%
Toulouse FC or AS Saint-Etienne
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC36% Draw45% AS Saint-Etienne19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push AS Saint-Etienne covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 14% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
34%
AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.