Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 25,936 HT 45' · FT 45'
Charlie Cresswell 42' 1–1
1–2 45+4' Mitchel Bakker

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSCLigue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Jerome Brisard
  • Assistant 1 Brice Parinet (France)
  • Assistant 2 Julien Haulbert

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Lille OSC H 1–2 L
06 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 2–3 L
30 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 2–4 L
16 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–2 L
07 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Angers SCO A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Toulouse FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr Olympique Lyonnais A 1–2 L
30 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 1–0 W
15 Mar FC Nantes A 0–1 L
12 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Lille OSC
#11 Position #5
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts). Lille OSC are 5th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Stadium de Toulouse. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
  • 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Alexsandro Ribeiro suffering a number of foals already.
  • 15' Cristian Casseres Jr. is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Lille OSC so far.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. Toulouse FC in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Lille OSC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 21' What a moment for Matias Fernandez-Pardo! That strike on 21 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 26' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 31' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 36' With 0 assists to his name this season, Bafode Diakite is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Lille OSC.
  • 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Hakon Haraldsson made 466 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 42' Charlie Cresswell makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Toulouse FC are in front.
  • 47' Supporters expect more eagerness from Osame Sahraoui, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium de Toulouse with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 49' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Mitchel Bakker makes it 1-2.
  • 54' It looks like no one’s ball. Lille OSC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toulouse FC and Lille OSC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 61' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Rafik Messali is replaced by Joshua King.
  • 62' Time for substitution for Lille OSC. Jonathan David is replaced by Chuba Akpom.
  • 64' The referee has no hesitation. Charlie Cresswell is booked for Toulouse FC — card on 64.
  • 69' Toulouse FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 71' Alexsandro Ribeiro was booked on 71.
  • 74' The Lille OSC manager makes a substitution. Hakon Haraldsson departs to be replaced by Ayyoub Bouaddi.
  • 79' A quiet spell here at Stadium de Toulouse. Toulouse FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 84' Fresh legs for Lille OSC! Thomas Meunier comes on to replace Aissa Mandi.
  • 85' The referee has no hesitation. Ethan Mbappe is booked for Lille OSC — card on 85.
  • 87' Gabriel Suazo makes way for Noah Edjouma at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toulouse FC.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.67 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 79% + Lille OSC or Draw 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC26% Draw36% Lille OSC38%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.56
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 76%
24%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 21%
79%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Lille OSC
74%
Toulouse FC or Lille OSC
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC16% Draw61% Lille OSC23%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.8%
0 – 1
17.2%
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
12.5%
0 – 2
7.8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 3
2.3%
2 – 2
2%
1 – 3
1.7%
3 – 1
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 17% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 24% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 10% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
42%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
52%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.