Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
1 – 2
Full Time
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadium de Toulouse 25,936 HT 45' · FT 45'
Charlie Cresswell 42' 1–1
1–2 45+4' Mitchel Bakker

Overview

Match Preview

Toulouse FC vs Lille OSC — Ligue 1 at Stadium de Toulouse.

Match Details

  • Referee Jerome Brisard
  • Assistant 1 Brice Parinet (France)
  • Assistant 2 Julien Haulbert
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 8.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Lille OSC H 1–2 L
06 Apr Olympique de Marseille A 2–3 L
30 Mar Stade Brestois 29 H 2–4 L
16 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace A 1–2 L
07 Mar AS Monaco FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar Angers SCO A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Toulouse FC A 2–1 W
05 Apr Olympique Lyonnais A 1–2 L
30 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 1–0 W
15 Mar FC Nantes A 0–1 L
12 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 1–2 L
08 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Toulouse FC Lille OSC
#13 Position #4
5 Points 10
5 Played 5
1 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 1
7 Scored 8
9 Conceded 4
-2 GD +4
1.00 PPG 2.00
20% Win % 60%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts). Lille OSC are 4th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
3/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Lille OSC
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/1
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Toulouse FC get us underway at Stadium de Toulouse.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' The 36-year-old Ismaily has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' Algeria international Rafik Messali has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 21' The deadlock is broken! Matias Fernandez-Pardo gets on the scoresheet on 21 minutes.
  • 26' Ayyoub Bouaddi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 31' Toulouse FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 36' It looks like no one’s ball. Lille OSC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 41' The travelling Lille OSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 42' Charlie Cresswell is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the defender.
  • 47' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Lille OSC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 49' Goal! Mitchel Bakker scores his 10 goal in 483 matches.
  • 54' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toulouse FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 59' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Aron Donnum made 376 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' Joshua King is replacing Rafik Messali for the Toulouse FC side.
  • 62' Another substitution for Lille OSC to replace Jonathan David by Chuba Akpom on 62 minute.
  • 64' The referee has no hesitation. Charlie Cresswell is booked for Toulouse FC — card on 64.
  • 69' Lille OSC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 71' Poor challenge from Alexsandro Ribeiro. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 74' The Lille OSC manager makes a substitution. Hakon Haraldsson departs to be replaced by Ayyoub Bouaddi.
  • 79' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 79 minutes.
  • 84' The crowd applauds Aissa Mandi as he leaves the pitch. Thomas Meunier steps in for Lille OSC.
  • 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ethan Mbappe on 85.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Toulouse FC. Gabriel Suazo is replaced by Noah Edjouma.
  • With this win, Lille OSC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 Toulouse FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Toulouse FC25% Draw26% Lille OSC49%
Actual: Lille OSC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Toulouse FC or Draw
51%
Draw or Lille OSC
75%
Toulouse FC or Lille OSC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Toulouse FC18% Draw43% Lille OSC39%
Actual: Lille OSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.7%
0 – 2
8.7%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 3
5.3%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toulouse FC

Handicap Toulouse FC covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 13% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 47% — 53%
+1 47% 22% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.