AS Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2024-25

AS Saint-Etienne

2 – 3

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sat 17 May 2025 · 19:00 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 38,725 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 10' Warren Kamanzi

0–2 15' Joshua King

Florian Tardieu 38' 1–2

1–3 58' Yann Gboho

Dylan Batubinsika 63' 2–3

Ibrahima Wadji 30' Y

Zuriko Davitashvili 70' Y

Y 70' Cristian Casseres Jr.

Benjamin Bouchouari 84' Y

Y 90' Guillaume Restes

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Etienne vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

AS Saint-Etienne 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 7 games · 9 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Leonard
Assistant 1 Gwenael Pasqualotti
Assistant 2 Laurent Coniglio

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Lille OSC	8	17
2	Olympique Lyonnais	7	14
3	Paris Saint-Germain FC	7	14
4	Paris FC	8	14
5	AS Monaco FC	8	14
6	Racing Club de Lens	8	13
7	Stade Rennais FC 1901	7	13
8	FC Lorient	7	11
9	OGC Nice	8	11
10	Olympique de Marseille	7	9
11	Stade Brestois 29	8	9
12	Toulouse FC	7	9
13	AJ Auxerre	7	9
14	RC Strasbourg Alsace	7	7
15	Angers SCO	7	7
16	Le Mans FC	7	6
17	ES Troyes AC	7	4
18	Le Havre AC	7	2

Head-to-Head

AS Saint-Etienne 13 games · Avg 3.1 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-05-17 AS Saint-Etienne 2–3 Toulouse FC 2024-12-13 Toulouse FC 2–1 AS Saint-Etienne 2019-09-15 AS Saint-Etienne 2–2 Toulouse FC 2019-04-28 AS Saint-Etienne 2–0 Toulouse FC 2018-09-25 Toulouse FC 2–3 AS Saint-Etienne

Recent Form

AS Saint-Etienne

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	Toulouse FC	H	2–3	L
10 May	Stade de Reims	A	2–0	W
03 May	AS Monaco FC	H	1–3	L
26 Apr	RC Strasbourg Alsace	A	1–3	L
20 Apr	Olympique Lyonnais	H	2–1	W
13 Apr	Stade Brestois 29	H	3–3	D

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
17 May	AS Saint-Etienne	A	3–2	W
10 May	Racing Club de Lens	H	1–1	D
03 May	Stade Rennais FC 1901	H	2–1	W
27 Apr	FC Nantes	A	0–0	D
20 Apr	Stade de Reims	A	0–1	L
12 Apr	Lille OSC	H	1–2	L

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/2

31-45

–/3

46-60

7/–

61-75

2/3

76+

2/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	5 G	1 A
Thomas Jorgensen	2 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	2 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at Stade Geoffroy Guichard. AS Saint-Etienne are looking to make home advantage count against Toulouse FC.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. AS Saint-Etienne must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' What composure from Warren Kamanzi! The Norway international strokes it home. 0-1.
15' Joshua King is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
20' Toulouse FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
23' A tactical swap from AS Saint-Etienne — Benjamin Bouchouari on, Aimen Moueffek off on 23 minutes.
28' Toulouse FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
30' Ibrahima Wadji has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 30.
35' It looks like no one’s ball. Toulouse FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
38' What composure from Florian Tardieu! The France international strokes it home. 1-2.
43' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
46' AS Saint-Etienne ring the changes. Maxime Bernauer has done his job and it is now time for Dylan Batubinsika to step up.
51' Cristian Casseres Jr. has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
56' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AS Saint-Etienne side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
58' A goal from the France international Yann Gboho! He fires home on 58 to make it 1-3!
59' Toulouse FC ring the changes. Joshua King has done his job and it is now time for Zakaria Aboukhlal to step up.
63' The deadlock is broken! Dylan Batubinsika gets on the scoresheet on 63 minutes.
68' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
69' Ibrahima Wadji makes way for Ben Old at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from AS Saint-Etienne.
70' It’s a booking for AS Saint-Etienne player. Zuriko Davitashvili gets a card.
72' Rafik Messali gets the nod from Toulouse FC. He replaces Djibril Sidibe and will look to change the dynamic.
77' Maxime Bernauer has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
82' Rafik Messali has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
83' Djylian N'Guessan is replacing Irvin Cardona for the AS Saint-Etienne side.
84' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Bouchouari. He receives a card.
85' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Umit Akdag on, Warren Kamanzi off on 85 minutes.
90' It’s a booking for Toulouse FC player. Guillaume Restes gets a card.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Toulouse FC players.

Lineups

AS Saint-Etienne Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Eirik Horneland

Toulouse FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

13
Joshua King ↓ Zakaria Aboukhlal 59'
19
Djibril Sidibe ↓ Rafik Messali 72'
10
Yann Gboho
8
Vincent Sierro
23
Cristian Casseres Jr.
3
Mark McKenzie
4
Charlie Cresswell
9
Frank Magri ↓ Shavy Warren Babicka 85'
50
Guillaume Restes
12
Warren Kamanzi ↓ Umit Akdag 85'
29
Jaydee Canvot

Bench

Coach Carles Martínez

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Robert Beric	2
Max-Alain Gradel	2
Romain Hamouma	2
Warren Kamanzi	1
Yannis Salibur	1
Florian Tardieu	1
Dylan Batubinsika	1
Jimmy Durmaz	1

Head to Head

AS Saint-Etienne Form

2025-05-17 AS Saint-Etienne 2–3 Toulouse FC L 2025-05-10 Stade de Reims 0–2 AS Saint-Etienne W 2025-05-03 AS Saint-Etienne 1–3 AS Monaco FC L 2025-04-26 RC Strasbourg Alsace 3–1 AS Saint-Etienne L 2025-04-20 AS Saint-Etienne 2–1 Olympique Lyonnais W 2025-04-13 AS Saint-Etienne 3–3 Stade Brestois 29 D

Toulouse FC Form

2025-05-17 AS Saint-Etienne 2–3 Toulouse FC W 2025-05-10 Toulouse FC 1–1 Racing Club de Lens D 2025-05-03 Toulouse FC 2–1 Stade Rennais FC 1901 W 2025-04-27 FC Nantes 0–0 Toulouse FC D 2025-04-20 Stade de Reims 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2025-04-12 Toulouse FC 1–2 Lille OSC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.54 AS Saint-Etienne xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: AS Saint-Etienne or Toulouse FC 73% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

AS Saint-Etienne37% Draw27% Toulouse FC36%

Actual: Toulouse FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.06

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	37%	63%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Etienne or Draw

64%

Draw or Toulouse FC

63%

AS Saint-Etienne or Toulouse FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AS Saint-Etienne28% Draw44% Toulouse FC28%

Actual: Toulouse FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted

2 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

11.9%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

0 – 0

6.4%

1 – 0

6.4%

0 – 1

6.3%

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 0

5.5%

0 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

4.2%

1 – 3

4.1%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Etienne

Handicap	AS Saint-Etienne covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	19%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	18%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.