Saturday , 7 November 2026

AS Saint-Etienne vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Fri 13 Sep 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 22,144 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mathieu Cafaro 6' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Etienne vs Lille OSC — Ligue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Mehdi Rahmouni
  • Assistant 2
18 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Lille OSC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 0–4 L
24 Aug Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
17 Aug AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
17 May US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–2 L
10 May Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep AS Saint-Etienne A 0–1 L
01 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–3 L
28 Aug SK Slavia Praha A 1–2 L
24 Aug Angers SCO H 2–0 W
20 Aug SK Slavia Praha H 2–0 W
17 Aug Stade de Reims A 2–0 W

Key Stats

35% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
Lille OSC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Lille OSC
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
2/2
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Lille OSC
Olivier Giroud 3 G 2 A
Dilane Bakwa 2 G 1 A
Ayase Ueda 2 G
Tiago Santos 2 G
Ethan Mbappe 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AS Saint-Étienne welcome Lille OSC for this crunch clash at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Lille OSC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 6' Magnificent from Mathieu Cafaro! That is 30 goals in 429 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 11' Both keepers have barely been tested. AS Saint-Étienne and Lille OSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 16' A quiet spell here at Stade Geoffroy Guichard. AS Saint-Étienne seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 21' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Lille OSC that had 476 games and scored 499 goals.
  • 26' Over 26 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 31' Alexsandro Ribeiro needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 36' AS Saint-Étienne are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Lille OSC's 5-4-1 shape.
  • 41' The home supporters are growing impatient. AS Saint-Étienne must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' The 27-year-old Edon Zhegrova has been sensational this season — 2 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 51' AS Saint-Étienne started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 54' That looks like a foul for a card for Benjamin Andre.
  • 57' The Lille OSC manager makes a substitution. Mohamed Bayo departs to be replaced by Jonathan David.
  • 61' AS Saint-Etienne receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 66' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 68' Time for substitution for AS Saint-Etienne. Mathieu Cafaro is replaced by Ben Old.
  • 73' Lille OSC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 75' The crowd applauds Aimen Moueffek as he leaves the pitch. Florian Tardieu steps in for AS Saint-Etienne.
  • 76' Lille OSC make a change. Gabriel Gudmundsson trudges off to be replaced by Mitchel Bakker on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Another substitution for AS Saint-Etienne to replace Lucas Stassin by Ibrahim Sissoko on 81 minute.
  • 86' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 AS Saint-Etienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Etienne or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Etienne41% Draw32% Lille OSC27%
Actual: AS Saint-Etienne win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Etienne or Draw
73%
Draw or Lille OSC
59%
AS Saint-Etienne or Lille OSC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Etienne25% Draw56% Lille OSC19%
Actual: AS Saint-Etienne win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Etienne

Handicap AS Saint-Etienne covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.