Sunday , 9 August 2026

AS Saint-Etienne vs Lille OSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Fri 13 Sep 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stade Geoffroy Guichard 22,144 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mathieu Cafaro 6' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Saint-Etienne vs Lille OSCLigue 1 at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Mehdi Rahmouni
  • Assistant 2
19 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Lille OSC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 0–4 L
24 Aug Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
17 Aug AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
17 May US Quevilly-Rouen Metropole A 1–2 L
10 May Rodez Aveyron Football H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep AS Saint-Etienne A 0–1 L
01 Sep Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–3 L
28 Aug SK Slavia Praha A 1–2 L
24 Aug Angers SCO H 2–0 W
20 Aug SK Slavia Praha H 2–0 W
17 Aug Stade de Reims A 2–0 W

Key Stats

35% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
29% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AS Saint-Etienne launch into their encounter with Lille OSC.
  • 5' Angel Gomes has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 6' Brilliant from the ! Mathieu Cafaro makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 6.
  • 11' The home supporters are growing impatient. AS Saint-Etienne must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 16' Over 16 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 21' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 36' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' The travelling Lille OSC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 51' AS Saint-Etienne is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 54' The referee calls foul for Benjamin Andre. He receives a card.
  • 57' A change in the Lille OSC ranks — Mohamed Bayo exits the field as Jonathan David enters on 57.
  • 61' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Pierre Cornud on 61 minutes.
  • 66' AS Saint-Etienne currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 68' Time for substitution for AS Saint-Etienne. Mathieu Cafaro is replaced by Ben Old.
  • 73' Both keepers have barely been tested. AS Saint-Etienne and Lille OSC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 75' The AS Saint-Etienne bench stirs into life. Aimen Moueffek is withdrawn and Florian Tardieu gets his opportunity.
  • 76' Lille OSC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mitchel Bakker is hanging Gabriel Gudmundsson on the field on 76 minute.
  • 81' The AS Saint-Etienne manager makes a substitution. Lucas Stassin departs to be replaced by Ibrahim Sissoko.
  • 86' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AS Saint-Etienne needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AS Saint-Etienne players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.05 AS Saint-Etienne xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Lille OSC xG
I would bet for: AS Saint-Etienne or Draw 73% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Saint-Etienne41% Draw32% Lille OSC27%
Actual: AS Saint-Etienne win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 1.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 58%
42%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 14%
86%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

AS Saint-Etienne or Draw
73%
Draw or Lille OSC
59%
AS Saint-Etienne or Lille OSC
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Saint-Etienne25% Draw56% Lille OSC19%
Actual: AS Saint-Etienne win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
17.1%
1 – 1
14.3%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
11.3%
2 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
3.2%
3 – 0
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AS Saint-Etienne

Handicap AS Saint-Etienne covers Push Lille OSC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 22% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 18% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AS Saint-Etienne keeps clean sheet
42%
Lille OSC keeps clean sheet
35%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.