Monday , 12 October 2026

AEK Larnaka vs Fenerbahce SK, Europe 2022-23 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2022-23
Thu 13 Oct 2022 · 16:45 UTC AEK Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
AEK Larnaka 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Fenerbahce SK

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Oct Fenerbahce SK H 1–2 L
06 Oct Fenerbahce SK A 0–2 L
15 Sep FK Dynamo Kyiv A 1–0 W
08 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 1–2 L
25 Aug SK Dnipro-1 H 3–0 W
18 Aug SK Dnipro-1 A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Oct AEK Larnaka A 2–1 W
06 Oct AEK Larnaka H 2–0 W
15 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 2–2 D
08 Sep FK Dynamo Kyiv H 2–1 W
25 Aug FK Austria Wien H 4–1 W
18 Aug FK Austria Wien A 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at AEK Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' Hrvoje Milicevic, a , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ferdi Kadioglu is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fenerbahce SK.
  • 16' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Joao Pedro Galvao makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 21' It looks surprising AEK Larnaka does not make any changes. Miguel Crespo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 26' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kenan Piric, as he is very good at scoring at AEK Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 31' AEK Larnaka are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 33' The referee shows Fenerbahce SK player a Yellow card on 33.
  • 38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rafail Mamas made 30 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Angel Garcia.
  • 41' A moment of madness from Rafail Mamas on 41 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AEK Larnaka will be frustrated.
  • 43' Lincoln is having his name booked by the referee on 43.
  • 48' Fenerbahce SK fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 49' A moment of madness from Ivan Trickovski on 49 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AEK Larnaka will be frustrated.
  • 52' Magnificent from Ivan Trickovski! That is 1 goals in 4 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 57' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 62' AEK Larnaka currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 63' Giorgos Naoum has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rafail Mamas on 63 minute.
  • 67' Serdar Aziz picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 68' The whistle greets Joao Pedro Galvao as he departs to be replaced by Enner Valencia.
  • 69' Another change for Fenerbahce SK made on 69 minute. Arda Guler leaves to be changed by Michy Batshuayi.
  • 70' A change in the Fenerbahce SK ranks — Ezgjan Alioski exits the field as Bright Osayi-Samuel enters on 70.
  • 75' Victor Olatunji is ready to make an impact after coming on for Omri Altman at the 75 minute mark.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Fenerbahce SK! Miguel Crespo comes on to replace Lincoln.
  • 80' Goal! Michy Batshuayi scores his 26 goal in 429 matches.
  • 82' AEK Larnaka manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Mikel Gonzalez is hanging Oier on the field on 82 minute.
  • 85' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Angel Garcia on 85 minutes.
  • 88' It’s a booking for AEK Larnaka player. Victor Olatunji gets a Yellow card.
  • 90' Irfan Can Kahveci gets the nod from Fenerbahce SK. He replaces Diego Rossi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 90' Pere Pons picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 AEK Larnaka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.49 Fenerbahce SK xG
I would bet for: AEK Larnaka or Fenerbahce SK 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AEK Larnaka29% Draw28% Fenerbahce SK43%
Actual: Fenerbahce SK win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AEK Larnaka or Draw
57%
Draw or Fenerbahce SK
71%
AEK Larnaka or Fenerbahce SK
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AEK Larnaka22% Draw47% Fenerbahce SK31%
Actual: Fenerbahce SK win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
0 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
9%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
7.2%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.7%
1 – 3
4.4%
0 – 3
3.7%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — AEK Larnaka

Handicap AEK Larnaka covers Push Fenerbahce SK covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 21% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

AEK Larnaka keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
Fenerbahce SK keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.