ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Daniele Doveri
- Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
- Assistant 2
3 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 3.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Atalanta BC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Mar | Juventus FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 09 Mar | SSC Napoli | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Feb | US Lecce | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | Como 1907 | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | ACF Fiorentina | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Mar | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–2 | L |
| 09 Mar | Juventus FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| 01 Mar | Venezia FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Feb | Empoli FC | A | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Club Brugge KV | H | 1–3 | L |
Season Stats
| ACF Fiorentina | Atalanta BC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #7 |
| 42 | Points | 59 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 9 / 15 / 14 | W / D / L | 15 / 14 / 9 |
| 41 | Scored | 51 |
| 50 | Conceded | 36 |
| -9 | GD | +15 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.55 |
| 24% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Artemio Franchi, Firenze!
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Fabiano Parisi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. ACF Fiorentina must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Atalanta BC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 30' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. Isak Hien has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His ACF Fiorentina side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 45' Brilliant from the ! Moise Kean makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
- 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 55' The Atalanta BC bench stirs into life. Mateo Retegui is withdrawn and Lazar Samardzic gets his opportunity.
- 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mario Pasalic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atalanta BC.
- 65' Fresh legs for Atalanta BC! Marco Brescianini comes on to replace Charles De Ketelaere.
- 66' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Albert Gudmundsson is replaced by Lucas Beltran.
- 71' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Fabiano Parisi is replaced by Michael Folorunsho on 71 minute.
- 76' Matteo Ruggeri is ready to make an impact after coming on for Davide Zappacosta at the 76 minute mark.
- 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Isak Hien on 77.
- 82' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Nicolo Zaniolo. He replaces Moise Kean on 84 minute.
- 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lazar Samardzic on 86 minutes.
- 90' Atalanta BC player sees a card in front of him.
- 1-0 the final result. Atalanta BC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 43
- 18
-
20
Moise Kean ↓ Nicolo Zaniolo 84'
- 32
- 8
-
2
Dodo ↓ Pietro Comuzzo 84'
- 5
- 44
- 65
Bench
- 29
-
17
Nicolo Zaniolo ↑ 84'
- 1
-
9
Lucas Beltran ↑ 66'
-
24
Amir Richardson ↑ 84'
-
90
Michael Folorunsho ↑ 71'
- 30
- 27
-
15
Pietro Comuzzo ↑ 84'
- 22
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 23
- 77
- 11
- 15
-
8
Mario Pasalic ↓ Juan Cuadrado 76'
- 16
-
32
Mateo Retegui ↓ Lazar Samardzic 55'
- 29
- 17
- 19
- 4
Bench
- 28
-
7
Juan Cuadrado ↑ 76'
- 31
-
44
Marco Brescianini ↑ 65'
-
70
Daniel Maldini ↑ 55'
-
24
Lazar Samardzic ↑ 55'
-
22
Matteo Ruggeri ↑ 76'
- 6
- 49
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duvan Zapata | 4 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 4 |
| Ademola Lookman | 4 |
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Federico Chiesa | 2 |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | 2 |
| Lucas Martinez Quarta | 2 |
| Andrea Belotti | 2 |
Head to Head
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18
ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for:
ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: ACF Fiorentina win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
ACF Fiorentina or Draw
64%
Draw or Atalanta BC
63%
ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina
| Handicap | ACF Fiorentina covers | Push | Atalanta BC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
24%
✗
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

