Sunday , 16 August 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 13:00 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 20,409 HT 45' · FT 45'
Moise Kean 45' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BCSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Juventus FC H 3–0 W
09 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L
16 Feb Como 1907 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
16 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
09 Mar Juventus FC A 4–0 W
01 Mar Venezia FC H 0–0 D
23 Feb Empoli FC A 5–0 W
18 Feb Club Brugge KV H 1–3 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina Atalanta BC
#18 Position #10
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts). Atalanta BC are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.7 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + ACF Fiorentina or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina36% Draw35% Atalanta BC29%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.47
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
72%
Draw or Atalanta BC
64%
ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina17% Draw63% Atalanta BC20%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.8%
0 – 1
16.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
1.9%
0 – 3
1.6%
1 – 3
1.3%
3 – 0
1.2%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 6% 92%
-1.5 8% 92%
-1 8% 19% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 22% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
47%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.