Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 13:00 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 20,409 HT 45' · FT 45'
Moise Kean 45' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BCSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Juventus FC H 3–0 W
09 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L
16 Feb Como 1907 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
16 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
09 Mar Juventus FC A 4–0 W
01 Mar Venezia FC H 0–0 D
23 Feb Empoli FC A 5–0 W
18 Feb Club Brugge KV H 1–3 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina Atalanta BC
#15 Position #7
42 Points 59
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
41 Scored 51
50 Conceded 36
-9 GD +15
1.11 PPG 1.55
24% Win % 39%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Artemio Franchi, Firenze!
  • 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 10' Fabiano Parisi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. ACF Fiorentina must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Atalanta BC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 30' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. Isak Hien has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both ACF Fiorentina and Atalanta BC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 40' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His ACF Fiorentina side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 45' Brilliant from the ! Moise Kean makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 50' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 55' The Atalanta BC bench stirs into life. Mateo Retegui is withdrawn and Lazar Samardzic gets his opportunity.
  • 60' With 0 assists to his name this season, Mario Pasalic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atalanta BC.
  • 65' Fresh legs for Atalanta BC! Marco Brescianini comes on to replace Charles De Ketelaere.
  • 66' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Albert Gudmundsson is replaced by Lucas Beltran.
  • 71' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Fabiano Parisi is replaced by Michael Folorunsho on 71 minute.
  • 76' Matteo Ruggeri is ready to make an impact after coming on for Davide Zappacosta at the 76 minute mark.
  • 77' A meaty challenge results in booking for Isak Hien on 77.
  • 82' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Nicolo Zaniolo. He replaces Moise Kean on 84 minute.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lazar Samardzic on 86 minutes.
  • 90' Atalanta BC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 1-0 the final result. Atalanta BC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina37% Draw27% Atalanta BC36%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
64%
Draw or Atalanta BC
63%
ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina22% Draw47% Atalanta BC31%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8.7%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
7%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.3%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
24%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.