Friday , 16 October 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 13:00 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 20,409 HT 45' · FT 45'
Moise Kean 45' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
  • Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Atalanta BC H 1–0 W
16 Mar Juventus FC H 3–0 W
09 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L
16 Feb Como 1907 H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
16 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
09 Mar Juventus FC A 4–0 W
01 Mar Venezia FC H 0–0 D
23 Feb Empoli FC A 5–0 W
18 Feb Club Brugge KV H 1–3 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina Atalanta BC
#19 Position #10
4 Points 9
6 Played 6
1 / 1 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 0 / 3
7 Scored 8
14 Conceded 8
-7 GD +0
0.67 PPG 1.50
17% Win % 50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
17% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

ACF Fiorentina are 19th (4 pts). Atalanta BC are 10th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
3/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G
Atalanta BC
Nikola Krstovic 3 G 1 A
Ederson 1 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Atalanta BC get us underway at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Atalanta BC have won 719 goals from 530 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' ACF Fiorentina are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Atalanta BC backline.
  • 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nicolo Fagioli made 525 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 40' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atalanta BC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 45' What composure from Moise Kean! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-0.
  • 50' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 50 minutes.
  • 55' A tactical swap from Atalanta BC — Lazar Samardzic on, Mateo Retegui off on 55 minutes.
  • 60' ACF Fiorentina seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 65' It is a substitution in Atalanta BC team. Charles De Ketelaere is replaced by Marco Brescianini on 65 minute.
  • 66' Lucas Beltran is ready to make an impact after coming on for Albert Gudmundsson at the 66 minute mark.
  • 71' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Fabiano Parisi departs to be replaced by Michael Folorunsho.
  • 76' Atalanta BC make a change. Davide Zappacosta trudges off to be replaced by Matteo Ruggeri on 76 minutes.
  • 77' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Isak Hien on 77 minutes.
  • 82' A quiet spell here at Artemio Franchi, Firenze. ACF Fiorentina seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 84' It is a substitution in ACF Fiorentina team. Moise Kean is replaced by Nicolo Zaniolo on 84 minute.
  • 86' A moment of madness from Lazar Samardzic on 86 minutes earns him a card. Atalanta BC will be frustrated.
  • 90' Sead Kolasinac was booked on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for ACF Fiorentina players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.32 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC 76% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina36% Draw24% Atalanta BC40%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
60%
Draw or Atalanta BC
64%
ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina22% Draw43% Atalanta BC35%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 1
7.2%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 3
5.5%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 3
4.2%
2 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 15% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 21% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 15% 12%
+2.5 88% — 12%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
17% ✗
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.