Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.
- Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
- Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
7 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 7.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | ACF Fiorentina | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Aug | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | US Lecce | A | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–3 | L |
| 26 May | Torino FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Atalanta BC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | AC Monza | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | Venezia FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jun | Atalanta BC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 May | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #15 |
| 59 | Points | 42 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 15 / 14 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 15 / 14 |
| 51 | Scored | 41 |
| 36 | Conceded | 50 |
| +15 | GD | -9 |
| 1.55 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 39% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Atalanta BC and ACF Fiorentina is underway.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Gewiss Stadium. ACF Fiorentina seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Magnificent from Lucas Martinez Quarta! That is 6 goals in 28 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 17' A moment of madness from Edoardo Bove on 17 minutes earns him a card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
- 21' The Italy Mateo Retegui breaks the deadlock on 21 minutes. 1-1!
- 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 27' Isak Hien is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
- 32' Moise Kean is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Atalanta BC and ACF Fiorentina are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atalanta BC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 44' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rolando Mandragora on 44.
- 45' What a moment for Charles De Ketelaere! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
- 46' What a strike from Ademola Lookman! The score is 3-2.
- 46' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Isak Hien by Marco Brescianini on 46 minute.
- 51' ACF Fiorentina come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' Italy international Cristiano Biraghi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 62' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Andrea Colpani has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Ikone to step up.
- 67' Amir Richardson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
- 68' Controversy at the stadium! Amir Richardson argues furiously but the card stands.
- 70' It is a substitution in Atalanta BC team. Matteo Ruggeri is replaced by Davide Zappacosta on 70 minute.
- 74' The whistle greets Danilo Cataldi as he departs to be replaced by Yacine Adli.
- 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yacine Adli made 520 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 81' A tactical swap from ACF Fiorentina — Marin Pongracic on, Luca Ranieri off on 81 minutes.
- 82' It’s gonna be a card for Davide Zappacosta.
- 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Atalanta BC players.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13
- 23
- 11
- 15
- 16
-
32
Mateo Retegui ↓ Mario Pasalic 70'
- 29
- 17
- 22
- 19
-
4
Isak Hien ↓ Marco Brescianini 46'
Bench
-
77
Davide Zappacosta ↑ 70'
- 28
- 7
- 31
-
8
Mario Pasalic ↑ 70'
- 10
-
44
Marco Brescianini ↑ 46'
- 24
- 3
- 6
- 27
- 40
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
6
Luca Ranieri ↓ Marin Pongracic 81'
- 43
- 20
- 21
-
23
Andrea Colpani ↓ Jonathan Ikone 62'
- 3
-
32
Danilo Cataldi ↓ Yacine Adli 74'
- 8
- 2
-
4
Edoardo Bove ↓ Riccardo Sottil 74'
- 28
Bench
-
29
Yacine Adli ↑ 74'
-
11
Jonathan Ikone ↑ 62'
-
7
Riccardo Sottil ↑ 74'
- 1
-
5
Marin Pongracic ↑ 81'
- 9
- 65
-
24
Amir Richardson ↑ 62'
- 30
- 33
- 15
- 22
Coach
Raffaele Palladino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ademola Lookman | 4 |
| Duvan Zapata | 4 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 4 |
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Moise Kean | 2 |
| Federico Chiesa | 2 |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | 2 |
| Lucas Martinez Quarta | 2 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
73%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
51%
Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 15% | 71% |
| -1.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -1 | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

