Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 15 Sep 2024 · 13:00 UTC Gewiss Stadium 22,705 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateo Retegui 21' 1–1
1–2 32' Moise Kean
Ademola Lookman 45+1' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Sep ACF Fiorentina H 3–2 W
30 Aug FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L
25 Aug Torino FC A 1–2 L
19 Aug US Lecce A 4–0 W
02 Jun ACF Fiorentina H 2–3 L
26 May Torino FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
01 Sep AC Monza H 2–2 D
25 Aug Venezia FC H 0–0 D
17 Aug Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–1 D
02 Jun Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
23 May Cagliari Calcio A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC ACF Fiorentina
#11 Position #17
6 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
5 Scored 6
7 Conceded 12
-2 GD -6
1.20 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Atalanta BC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Atalanta BC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Atalanta BC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' A goal from the Argentina international Lucas Martinez Quarta! He fires home on 15 to make it 0-1!
  • 17' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Edoardo Bove.
  • 21' What an equalizer from Mateo Retegui!
  • 26' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 27' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Isak Hien on 27 minutes.
  • 32' Moise Kean is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 42' Rolando Mandragora is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
  • 44' ACF Fiorentina receives a card for a hard tackle on 44.
  • 45' Charles De Ketelaere has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 46' Against the run of play, Ademola Lookman has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' A change in the Atalanta BC ranks — Isak Hien exits the field as Marco Brescianini enters on 46.
  • 51' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 61' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 62' Jonathan Ikone has so much to prove this time. He replaces Andrea Colpani on 62 minute.
  • 67' Atalanta BC are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against ACF Fiorentina's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 68' Amir Richardson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 68.
  • 70' The whistle greets Matteo Ruggeri as he departs to be replaced by Davide Zappacosta.
  • 74' The ACF Fiorentina manager makes a substitution. Danilo Cataldi departs to be replaced by Yacine Adli.
  • 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marco Carnesecchi made 528 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 81' The supporters are chanting for Marin Pongracic. He replaces Luca Ranieri on 81 minute.
  • 82' The referee has no hesitation. Davide Zappacosta is booked for Atalanta BC — card on 82.
  • 87' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 87 minutes.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Atalanta BC 3-2 ACF Fiorentina.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC48% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina28%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
72%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
52%
Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC37% Draw39% ACF Fiorentina24%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
3 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.8%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
0 – 0
3.9%
0 – 1
3.5%
2 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% — 71%
-1 29% 20% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.