Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 15 Sep 2024 · 13:00 UTC Gewiss Stadium 22,705 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mateo Retegui 21' 1–1
1–2 32' Moise Kean
Ademola Lookman 45+1' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
  • Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
7 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Sep ACF Fiorentina H 3–2 W
30 Aug FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L
25 Aug Torino FC A 1–2 L
19 Aug US Lecce A 4–0 W
02 Jun ACF Fiorentina H 2–3 L
26 May Torino FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Sep Atalanta BC A 2–3 L
01 Sep AC Monza H 2–2 D
25 Aug Venezia FC H 0–0 D
17 Aug Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–1 D
02 Jun Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
23 May Cagliari Calcio A 3–2 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC ACF Fiorentina
#7 Position #15
59 Points 42
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
51 Scored 41
36 Conceded 50
+15 GD -9
1.55 PPG 1.11
39% Win % 24%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Atalanta BC and ACF Fiorentina is underway.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Gewiss Stadium. ACF Fiorentina seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' Magnificent from Lucas Martinez Quarta! That is 6 goals in 28 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 17' A moment of madness from Edoardo Bove on 17 minutes earns him a card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 21' The Italy Mateo Retegui breaks the deadlock on 21 minutes. 1-1!
  • 26' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 27' Isak Hien is having his name booked by the referee on 27.
  • 32' Moise Kean is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 37' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Atalanta BC and ACF Fiorentina are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atalanta BC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' A meaty challenge results in booking for Rolando Mandragora on 44.
  • 45' What a moment for Charles De Ketelaere! That strike on 45 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 46' What a strike from Ademola Lookman! The score is 3-2.
  • 46' Another substitution for Atalanta BC to replace Isak Hien by Marco Brescianini on 46 minute.
  • 51' ACF Fiorentina come into this ranked 12 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 61' Italy international Cristiano Biraghi has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 62' ACF Fiorentina ring the changes. Andrea Colpani has done his job and it is now time for Jonathan Ikone to step up.
  • 67' Amir Richardson is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
  • 68' Controversy at the stadium! Amir Richardson argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 70' It is a substitution in Atalanta BC team. Matteo Ruggeri is replaced by Davide Zappacosta on 70 minute.
  • 74' The whistle greets Danilo Cataldi as he departs to be replaced by Yacine Adli.
  • 79' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yacine Adli made 520 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 81' A tactical swap from ACF FiorentinaMarin Pongracic on, Luca Ranieri off on 81 minutes.
  • 82' It’s gonna be a card for Davide Zappacosta.
  • 87' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Atalanta BC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.98 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC49% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina27%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
73%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
51%
Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC37% Draw41% ACF Fiorentina22%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
4.1%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 15% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 21% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 14% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
26%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.