Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.
- Atalanta BC 11 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Costanzo
- Assistant 2 Matteo Passeri
6 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 8.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | ACF Fiorentina | H | 3–2 | W |
| 30 Aug | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Aug | Torino FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | US Lecce | A | 4–0 | W |
| 02 Jun | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–3 | L |
| 26 May | Torino FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep | Atalanta BC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 01 Sep | AC Monza | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | Venezia FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 17 Aug | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 02 Jun | Atalanta BC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 23 May | Cagliari Calcio | A | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Atalanta BC | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #15 |
| 14 | Points | 9 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 4 / 2 / 5 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 6 |
| 17 | Scored | 17 |
| 20 | Conceded | 25 |
| -3 | GD | -8 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 0.82 |
| 36% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
Atalanta BC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atalanta BC
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atalanta BC
| Nikola Krstovic | 7 G | 2 A |
| Ederson | 2 G | |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 1 G | |
| Lazar Samardzic | 1 G |
ACF Fiorentina
| Mateo Pellegrino | 4 G | |
| Franco Mastantuono | 4 G | |
| Alieu Njie | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Atalanta BC is hosting ACF Fiorentina for another epic battle.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Gewiss Stadium. Atalanta BC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Atalanta BC is showing some good football. However, Atalanta BC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' Lucas Martinez Quarta doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 17' That looks like a foul for a card for Edoardo Bove.
- 21' The Italy Mateo Retegui breaks the deadlock on 21 minutes. 1-1!
- 26' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering ACF Fiorentina that had 467 games and scored 436 goals.
- 27' Poor challenge from Isak Hien. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 32' Goal! Moise Kean scores his 58 goal in 534 matches.
- 37' The 24-year-old Edoardo Bove has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 42' Cristiano Biraghi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 44' The referee calls foul for Rolando Mandragora. He receives a card.
- 45' What a strike from Charles De Ketelaere! The score is 2-2.
- 46' Magnificent from Ademola Lookman! That is 70 goals in 329 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' Atalanta BC make a change. Isak Hien trudges off to be replaced by Marco Brescianini on 46 minutes.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atalanta BC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 56' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atalanta BC and ACF Fiorentina are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 61' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 62' A tactical swap from ACF Fiorentina — Jonathan Ikone on, Andrea Colpani off on 62 minutes.
- 67' The energy levels are beginning to show. Raffaele Palladino might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 68' The referee shows ACF Fiorentina player a card on 68.
- 70' The crowd applauds Matteo Ruggeri as he leaves the pitch. Davide Zappacosta steps in for Atalanta BC.
- 74' Fresh legs for ACF Fiorentina! Yacine Adli comes on to replace Danilo Cataldi.
- 79' Atalanta BC currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 81' Luca Ranieri makes way for Marin Pongracic at the 81 minute mark. A tactical switch from ACF Fiorentina.
- 82' Poor challenge from Davide Zappacosta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 87' It looks like no one’s ball. Atalanta BC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Atalanta BC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 13
- 23
- 11
- 15
- 16
-
32
Mateo Retegui ↓ Mario Pasalic 70'
- 29
- 17
- 22
- 19
-
4
Isak Hien ↓ Marco Brescianini 46'
Bench
-
77
Davide Zappacosta ↑ 70'
- 28
- 7
- 31
-
8
Mario Pasalic ↑ 70'
- 10
-
44
Marco Brescianini ↑ 46'
- 24
- 3
- 6
- 27
- 40
Coach
Gian Piero Gasperini
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
6
Luca Ranieri ↓ Marin Pongracic 81'
- 43
- 20
- 21
-
23
Andrea Colpani ↓ Jonathan Ikone 62'
- 3
-
32
Danilo Cataldi ↓ Yacine Adli 74'
- 8
- 2
-
4
Edoardo Bove ↓ Riccardo Sottil 74'
- 28
Bench
-
29
Yacine Adli ↑ 74'
-
11
Jonathan Ikone ↑ 62'
-
7
Riccardo Sottil ↑ 74'
- 1
-
5
Marin Pongracic ↑ 81'
- 9
- 65
-
24
Amir Richardson ↑ 62'
- 30
- 33
- 15
- 22
Coach
Raffaele Palladino
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Duvan Zapata | 4 |
| Dusan Vlahovic | 4 |
| Ademola Lookman | 4 |
| Josip Ilicic | 3 |
| Ruslan Malinovskyi | 2 |
| Lucas Martinez Quarta | 2 |
| Andrea Belotti | 2 |
| Robin Gosens | 2 |
Head to Head
Atalanta BC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.44
Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 3.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
Atalanta BC or Draw
71%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
51%
Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atalanta BC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.1%
4 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC
| Handicap | Atalanta BC covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 15% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 19% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +1 | 71% | 14% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

