Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 14:00 UTC Diego Armando Maradona 51,504 HT 45' · FT 45'
Romelu Lukaku 26' 1–0
Giacomo Raspadori 60' 2–0
2–1 67' Albert Gudmundsson

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Diego Armando Maradona.

Match Details

  • Referee Andrea Colombo (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Dario Cecconi
  • Assistant 2 Pietro Dei Giudici
5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 6.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
01 Mar FC Internazionale Milano H 1–1 D
23 Feb Como 1907 A 1–2 L
15 Feb SS Lazio A 2–2 D
09 Feb Udinese Calcio H 1–1 D
02 Feb AS Roma A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L
16 Feb Como 1907 H 0–2 L
10 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 1–2 L
06 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 3–0 W

Season Stats

SSC Napoli ACF Fiorentina
#2 Position #15
76 Points 42
38 Played 38
23 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
58 Scored 41
36 Conceded 50
+22 GD -9
2.00 PPG 1.11
61% Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' SSC Napoli have kicked off against ACF Fiorentina. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' SSC Napoli seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' It looks like no one’s ball. SSC Napoli is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 26' A stunning finish from Romelu Lukaku — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 36' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 36 minutes.
  • 41' ACF Fiorentina fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 46' It is a cagey affair so far. SSC Napoli in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past ACF Fiorentina's compact 3-5-1-1.
  • 48' Poor challenge from Alessandro Buongiorno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 53' Pablo Mari is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for ACF Fiorentina tonight.
  • 58' Time for substitution for ACF Fiorentina. Fabiano Parisi is replaced by Robin Gosens.
  • 59' A tactical swap from ACF FiorentinaMarin Pongracic on, Luca Ranieri off on 59 minutes.
  • 60' What a strike from Giacomo Raspadori! The score is 2-0.
  • 64' Albert Gudmundsson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 67' What a moment for Albert Gudmundsson! That strike on 67 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 72' With 0 assists to his name this season, David De Gea is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SSC Napoli.
  • 74' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 74 minute. Pietro Comuzzo leaves to be changed by Matias Moreno.
  • 79' SSC Napoli have won 640 goals from 508 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 82' Mathias Olivera gets the nod from SSC Napoli. He replaces Matteo Politano and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Philip Billing is replacing Giacomo Raspadori for the SSC Napoli side.
  • 86' SSC Napoli ring the changes. Scott McTominay has done his job and it is now time for Giovanni Simeone to step up.
  • 87' Controversy at the stadium! Marin Pongracic argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Another change for SSC Napoli made on 90 minute. Leonardo Spinazzola leaves to be changed by Juan Jesus.
  • Full Time. SSC Napoli beats ACF Fiorentina

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.81 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: SSC Napoli to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli58% Draw24% ACF Fiorentina18%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
82%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
42%
SSC Napoli or ACF Fiorentina
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli40% Draw45% ACF Fiorentina15%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
2.8%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 24% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
41%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.