Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 2 Jun 2024 · 16:00 UTC Gewiss Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 6' Andrea Belotti
Ademola Lookman 12' 1–1
1–2 19' Nicolas Gonzalez
Giorgio Scalvini 32' 2–2
2–3 45+2' Andrea Belotti

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Orsato
  • Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
  • Assistant 2 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Davide Moro (Italy)
4 games this season 🟨 4.3/game 15.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jun ACF Fiorentina H 2–3 L
26 May Torino FC H 3–0 W
22 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
18 May US Lecce A 2–0 W
12 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
09 May Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jun Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
23 May Cagliari Calcio A 3–2 W
17 May SSC Napoli H 2–2 D
13 May AC Monza H 2–1 W
05 May Hellas Verona FC A 1–2 L
28 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 5–1 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC ACF Fiorentina
#7 Position #15
59 Points 42
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
51 Scored 41
36 Conceded 50
+15 GD -9
1.55 PPG 1.11
39% Win % 24%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.81 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC45% Draw27% ACF Fiorentina28%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
71%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
55%
Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC36% Draw43% ACF Fiorentina21%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.4%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
28%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.