Sunday , 4 October 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 17 Sep 2023 · 16:00 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Atalanta BC H 3–2 W
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L
27 Aug US Lecce H 2–2 D
19 Aug Genoa CFC A 4–1 W
02 Jun US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–1 W
27 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep ACF Fiorentina A 2–3 L
02 Sep AC Monza H 3–0 W
26 Aug Frosinone Calcio A 1–2 L
20 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W
04 Jun AC Monza H 5–2 W
27 May FC Internazionale Milano A 2–3 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina Atalanta BC
#17 Position #11
4 Points 6
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 3
6 Scored 5
12 Conceded 7
-6 GD -2
0.80 PPG 1.20
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina45% Draw24% Atalanta BC31%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
70%
Draw or Atalanta BC
55%
ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina30% Draw43% Atalanta BC27%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
0 – 1
5.4%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 19% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 17% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.