Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sun 17 Sep 2023 · 16:00 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BCSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Luca Pairetto
  • Assistant 1 Davide Imperiale
  • Assistant 2 Vittorio Di Gioia
6 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Atalanta BC H 3–2 W
03 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 0–4 L
27 Aug US Lecce H 2–2 D
19 Aug Genoa CFC A 4–1 W
02 Jun US Sassuolo Calcio A 3–1 W
27 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep ACF Fiorentina A 2–3 L
02 Sep AC Monza H 3–0 W
26 Aug Frosinone Calcio A 1–2 L
20 Aug US Sassuolo Calcio A 2–0 W
04 Jun AC Monza H 5–2 W
27 May FC Internazionale Milano A 2–3 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina Atalanta BC
#15 Position #7
42 Points 59
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
41 Scored 51
50 Conceded 36
-9 GD +15
1.11 PPG 1.55
24% Win % 39%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.49 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC 75% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina43% Draw25% Atalanta BC32%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.95
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
69%
Draw or Atalanta BC
57%
ACF Fiorentina or Atalanta BC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina28% Draw45% Atalanta BC27%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
7%
1 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 19% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 18% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
24%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.