Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 17,383 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robin Gosens 9' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs US LecceSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 3.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L
16 Feb Como 1907 H 0–2 L
10 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 1–2 L
06 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 3–0 W
02 Feb Genoa CFC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
21 Feb Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
16 Feb AC Monza A 0–0 D
09 Feb Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
31 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–1 W
26 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–4 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina US Lecce
#15 Position #17
42 Points 38
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 20
41 Scored 28
50 Conceded 50
-9 GD -22
1.11 PPG 1.00
24% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for ACF Fiorentina to score. At the same time, US Lecce does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Marco Sala is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for US Lecce tonight.
  • 9' A stunning finish from Robin Gosens — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 14' Rolando Mandragora needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
  • 17' ACF Fiorentina receives a card for a hard tackle on 17.
  • 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 27' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 32' US Lecce are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 37' It is a cagey affair so far. ACF Fiorentina in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past US Lecce's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Medon Berisha. He receives a card.
  • 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 51' The referee calls foul for Antonino Gallo. He receives a card.
  • 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luca Ranieri, as he is very good at scoring at Artemio Franchi, Firenze with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolo Zaniolo.
  • 64' Another change for US Lecce made on 64 minute. Antonino Gallo leaves to be changed by Marco Sala.
  • 69' Nicolo Fagioli gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Danilo Cataldi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 79' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' A tactical swap from ACF FiorentinaPietro Comuzzo on, Marin Pongracic off on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Rolando Mandragora was booked on 86.
  • 86' Frederic Guilbert makes way for Danilo Veiga at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Lecce.
  • 87' The crowd applauds Dodo as he leaves the pitch. Matias Moreno steps in for ACF Fiorentina.
  • 88' Albert Gudmundsson gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Nicolo Zaniolo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • It finishes all square. ACF Fiorentina and US Lecce share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina53% Draw27% US Lecce20%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 67%
33%
± 2.5 40%
60%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
80%
Draw or US Lecce
47%
ACF Fiorentina or US Lecce
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina35% Draw50% US Lecce15%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 25% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
45%
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.