Sunday , 16 August 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Fri 28 Feb 2025 · 19:45 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 17,383 HT 45' · FT 45'
Robin Gosens 9' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs US LecceSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb US Lecce H 1–0 W
23 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 0–1 L
16 Feb Como 1907 H 0–2 L
10 Feb FC Internazionale Milano A 1–2 L
06 Feb FC Internazionale Milano H 3–0 W
02 Feb Genoa CFC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb ACF Fiorentina A 0–1 L
21 Feb Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
16 Feb AC Monza A 0–0 D
09 Feb Bologna FC 1909 H 0–0 D
31 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–1 W
26 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–4 L

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina US Lecce
#18 Position #20
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 18th (0 pts). US Lecce are 20th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Artemio Franchi, Firenze. ACF Fiorentina are looking to make home advantage count against US Lecce.
  • 5' Tete Morente is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for US Lecce so far.
  • 9' The Germany Robin Gosens breaks the deadlock on 9 minutes. 1-0!
  • 14' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 17' That is a card for ACF Fiorentina. Lucas Beltran will be fuming at that decision.
  • 22' US Lecce fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 27' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 32' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 32 minutes.
  • 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Medon Berisha.
  • 50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 51' The referee has no hesitation. Antonino Gallo is booked for US Lecce — card on 51.
  • 56' ACF Fiorentina started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 61' It’s a booking for ACF Fiorentina player. Nicolo Zaniolo gets a card.
  • 64' A tactical swap from US Lecce — Marco Sala on, Antonino Gallo off on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Nicolo Fagioli is ready to make an impact after coming on for Danilo Cataldi at the 69 minute mark.
  • 74' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 79' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 81' Pietro Comuzzo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marin Pongracic at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' Rolando Mandragora is having his name booked by the referee on 86.
  • 86' Fresh legs for US Lecce! Danilo Veiga comes on to replace Frederic Guilbert.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Matias Moreno. He replaces Dodo on 87 minute.
  • 88' Another change for ACF Fiorentina made on 88 minute. Nicolo Zaniolo leaves to be changed by Albert Gudmundsson.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.8 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina45% Draw38% US Lecce17%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 68%
32%
± 1.5 35%
65%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
83%
Draw or US Lecce
55%
ACF Fiorentina or US Lecce
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina23% Draw68% US Lecce9%
Actual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
32.1%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.1%
0 – 1
10.8%
2 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
4.3%
0 – 2
2.3%
3 – 0
2.2%
1 – 2
2.2%
3 – 1
1.2%
2 – 2
1.1%
4 – 0
0.5%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 10% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 26% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 13% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
65%
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.