ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce — Serie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.
- ACF Fiorentina 38 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- US Lecce 38 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Livio Marinelli
- Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
- Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
10 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 3.9 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | US Lecce | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Hellas Verona FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | Como 1907 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Feb | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | Genoa CFC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | ACF Fiorentina | A | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Feb | AC Monza | A | 0–0 | D |
| 09 Feb | Bologna FC 1909 | H | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Jan | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Jan | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| ACF Fiorentina | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #17 |
| 42 | Points | 38 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 9 / 15 / 14 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 |
| 41 | Scored | 28 |
| 50 | Conceded | 50 |
| -9 | GD | -22 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 24% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for ACF Fiorentina to score. At the same time, US Lecce does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Marco Sala is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for US Lecce tonight.
- 9' A stunning finish from Robin Gosens — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 14' Rolando Mandragora needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 3 Red cards this season.
- 17' ACF Fiorentina receives a card for a hard tackle on 17.
- 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 27' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 32' US Lecce are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 37' It is a cagey affair so far. ACF Fiorentina in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past US Lecce's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 42' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Medon Berisha. He receives a card.
- 50' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 51' The referee calls foul for Antonino Gallo. He receives a card.
- 56' Supporters expect more eagerness from Luca Ranieri, as he is very good at scoring at Artemio Franchi, Firenze with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
- 61' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nicolo Zaniolo.
- 64' Another change for US Lecce made on 64 minute. Antonino Gallo leaves to be changed by Marco Sala.
- 69' Nicolo Fagioli gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Danilo Cataldi and will look to change the dynamic.
- 74' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 79' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 81' A tactical swap from ACF Fiorentina — Pietro Comuzzo on, Marin Pongracic off on 81 minutes.
- 86' Rolando Mandragora was booked on 86.
- 86' Frederic Guilbert makes way for Danilo Veiga at the 86 minute mark. A tactical switch from US Lecce.
- 87' The crowd applauds Dodo as he leaves the pitch. Matias Moreno steps in for ACF Fiorentina.
- 88' Albert Gudmundsson gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Nicolo Zaniolo and will look to change the dynamic.
- It finishes all square. ACF Fiorentina and US Lecce share the spoils 1-0.
Lineups
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
- 6
- 43
- 18
- 21
- 17
-
32
Danilo Cataldi ↓ Nicolo Fagioli 69'
- 8
-
2
Dodo ↓ Matias Moreno 87'
- 5
- 9
- 27
Bench
-
10
Albert Gudmundsson ↑ 88'
- 1
-
44
Nicolo Fagioli ↑ 69'
- 65
- 30
-
15
Pietro Comuzzo ↑ 81'
- 63
-
22
Matias Moreno ↑ 87'
- 66
- 64
Coach
Raffaele Palladino
US Lecce Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 12
-
25
Antonino Gallo ↓ Marco Sala 64'
- 29
- 7
- 9
- 30
- 75
- 37
- 19
- 6
-
5
Medon Berisha ↓ Ante Rebic 64'
Bench
-
99
Marco Sala ↑ 64'
- 1
-
3
Ante Rebic ↑ 64'
-
14
THorir Johann Helgason ↑ 64'
- 22
- 8
- 20
- 10
- 77
-
17
Danilo Veiga ↑ 86'
- 32
- 4
- 23
- 44
Coach
Marco Giampaolo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Danilo Cataldi | 2 |
| Lucas Beltran | 2 |
| Christian Kouame | 2 |
| Andrea Colpani | 2 |
| Antonino Gallo | 1 |
| Nicolas Gonzalez | 1 |
| Fabiano Parisi | 1 |
| Alfred Duncan | 1 |
Head to Head
ACF Fiorentina Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.47
ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: ACF Fiorentina win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
ACF Fiorentina or Draw
80%
Draw or US Lecce
47%
ACF Fiorentina or US Lecce
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: ACF Fiorentina win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.4%
2 – 0
10.7%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
5.1%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.6%
0 – 2
3.2%
4 – 0
1.9%
Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina
| Handicap | ACF Fiorentina covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 16% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| -0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
45%
✗
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

