Thursday , 2 July 2026

Empoli FC vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
0 5
Full Time
Sun 23 Feb 2025 · 17:00 UTC Stadio Carlo Castellani 9,176 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Emmanuel Gyasi og
0–2 33' Mateo Retegui
0–3 43' Ademola Lookman
0–4 55' Ademola Lookman
0–5 74' Davide Zappacosta

Overview

Match Preview

Empoli FC vs Atalanta BCSerie A at Stadio Carlo Castellani.

Match Details

  • Referee Maurizio Mariani
  • Assistant 1 Ciro Carbone
  • Assistant 2 Giorgio Peretti
14 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 4.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Atalanta BC H 0–5 L
16 Feb Udinese Calcio A 0–3 L
08 Feb AC Milan H 0–2 L
02 Feb Juventus FC A 1–4 L
25 Jan Bologna FC 1909 H 1–1 D
19 Jan FC Internazionale Milano A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Feb Empoli FC A 5–0 W
18 Feb Club Brugge KV H 1–3 L
15 Feb Cagliari Calcio H 0–0 D
12 Feb Club Brugge KV A 1–2 L
08 Feb Hellas Verona FC A 5–0 W
01 Feb Torino FC H 1–1 D

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.9 Empoli FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.23 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC17% Draw22% Atalanta BC61%
Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Empoli FC or Draw
39%
Draw or Atalanta BC
83%
Empoli FC or Atalanta BC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Empoli FC12% Draw40% Atalanta BC48%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–5 not predicted
0 – 5
Actual
0 – 2
10.8%
1 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
9.3%
0 – 3
7.8%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 0
5.9%
0 – 4
4.4%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 4
4%
2 – 1
3.8%
1 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Empoli FC

Handicap Empoli FC covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 9% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 34% 66%
+1 34% 23% 44%
+1.5 56% 44%
+2 56% 20% 24%
+2.5 76% 24%

Clean Sheet

Empoli FC keeps clean sheet
12%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.