Wednesday , 12 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 17:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 47' Lucas Holer

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
07 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
09 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 3–0 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
22 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
19 Mar KRC Genk H 5–1 W
15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#10 Position #7
40 Points 47
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13
44 Scored 51
53 Conceded 57
-9 GD -6
1.18 PPG 1.38
29% Win % 38%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting SC Freiburg for another epic battle.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' SC Freiburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Derry Scherhant is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
  • 20' Matthias Ginter has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Jordy Makengo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' Poor challenge from Ifechukwu Ogbus. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 38' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 45' Maximilian Eggestein was booked on 45.
  • 46' A meaty challenge results in booking for Julian Schuster on 46.
  • 46' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Ifechukwu Ogbus is replaced by Philipp Lienhart.
  • 47' The Germany Lucas Holer breaks the deadlock on 47 minutes. 0-1!
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 55' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Nikolas Veratschnig gets a card.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 62' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Nadiem Amiri comes on to replace Sota Kawasaki.
  • 64' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jan-Niklas Beste is hanging Cyriaque Irie on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' It’s high time Urs Fischer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 73' Lucas Holer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 73.
  • 74' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Armindo Sieb comes on to replace Paul Nebel.
  • 79' Igor Matanovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Freiburg so far.
  • 83' SC Freiburg ring the changes. Matthias Ginter has done his job and it is now time for Jordy Makengo to step up.
  • 88' SC Freiburg come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0531% Draw29% SC Freiburg40%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
60%
Draw or SC Freiburg
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0522% Draw48% SC Freiburg30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 21% 21%
+1.5 79% 21%
+2 79% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.