1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
16 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 10.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Köln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | SC Freiburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Apr | RC Celta de Vigo | H | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Bayern München | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Mar | KRC Genk | H | 5–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #7 |
| 40 | Points | 47 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 13 / 8 / 13 |
| 44 | Scored | 51 |
| 53 | Conceded | 57 |
| -9 | GD | -6 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.38 |
| 29% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting SC Freiburg for another epic battle.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' SC Freiburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Derry Scherhant is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
- 20' Matthias Ginter has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 25' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' Jordy Makengo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 33' Poor challenge from Ifechukwu Ogbus. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 38' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
- 45' Maximilian Eggestein was booked on 45.
- 46' A meaty challenge results in booking for Julian Schuster on 46.
- 46' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Ifechukwu Ogbus is replaced by Philipp Lienhart.
- 47' The Germany Lucas Holer breaks the deadlock on 47 minutes. 0-1!
- 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 55' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Nikolas Veratschnig gets a card.
- 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 62' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Nadiem Amiri comes on to replace Sota Kawasaki.
- 64' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jan-Niklas Beste is hanging Cyriaque Irie on the field on 64 minute.
- 69' It’s high time Urs Fischer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 73' Lucas Holer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 73.
- 74' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Armindo Sieb comes on to replace Paul Nebel.
- 79' Igor Matanovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Freiburg so far.
- 83' SC Freiburg ring the changes. Matthias Ginter has done his job and it is now time for Jordy Makengo to step up.
- 88' SC Freiburg come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 23
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Anthony Caci 74'
- 4
-
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Nelson Weiper 83'
- 33
- 20
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Armindo Sieb 74'
-
24
Sota Kawasaki ↓ Nadiem Amiri 62'
- 22
- 6
Bench
-
19
Anthony Caci ↑ 74'
-
10
Nadiem Amiri ↑ 62'
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 62'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 74'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 83'
- 14
- 48
Coach
Urs Fischer
SC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 30
-
17
Lukas Kubler ↓ Philipp Treu 64'
- 9
-
28
Matthias Ginter ↓ Jordy Makengo 83'
- 31
- 1
- 7
- 44
- 43
- 22
Bench
-
19
Jan-Niklas Beste ↑ 64'
- 26
- 21
-
32
Vincenzo Grifo ↑ 74'
-
3
Philipp Lienhart ↑ 46'
- 27
- 14
-
33
Jordy Makengo ↑ 83'
-
29
Philipp Treu ↑ 64'
Coach
Julian Schuster
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 8 |
| Michael Gregoritsch | 4 |
| Nils Petersen | 4 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 3 |
| Ritsu Doan | 2 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 2 |
| Lucas Holer | 2 |
| Roland Sallai | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-04-12
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–1
SC Freiburg
L
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-03-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2026-03-15
SV Werder Bremen
0–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-03-07
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
VfB Stuttgart
D
2026-02-28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43
SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Freiburg win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
60%
Draw or SC Freiburg
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.4%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.7%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.8%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.6%
3 – 1
2.6%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | SC Freiburg covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 8% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

