Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 12 Apr 2026 · 17:30 UTC MEWA Arena 30,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 47' Lucas Holer

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC FreiburgBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
  • Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
07 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
09 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 3–0 W
04 Apr FC Bayern München H 2–3 L
22 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W
19 Mar KRC Genk H 5–1 W
15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg
#16 Position #13
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). SC Freiburg are 13th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting SC Freiburg for another epic battle.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 10' SC Freiburg fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Derry Scherhant is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SC Freiburg.
  • 20' Matthias Ginter has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 25' The travelling SC Freiburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' Jordy Makengo has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' Poor challenge from Ifechukwu Ogbus. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 38' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 43' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SC Freiburg backline.
  • 45' Maximilian Eggestein was booked on 45.
  • 46' A meaty challenge results in booking for Julian Schuster on 46.
  • 46' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Ifechukwu Ogbus is replaced by Philipp Lienhart.
  • 47' The Germany Lucas Holer breaks the deadlock on 47 minutes. 0-1!
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 55' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Nikolas Veratschnig gets a card.
  • 60' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 62' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Nadiem Amiri comes on to replace Sota Kawasaki.
  • 64' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jan-Niklas Beste is hanging Cyriaque Irie on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' It’s high time Urs Fischer made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 73' Lucas Holer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 73.
  • 74' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Armindo Sieb comes on to replace Paul Nebel.
  • 79' Igor Matanovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SC Freiburg so far.
  • 83' SC Freiburg ring the changes. Matthias Ginter has done his job and it is now time for Jordy Makengo to step up.
  • 88' SC Freiburg come into this ranked 8 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.36 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 SC Freiburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 82%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw42% SC Freiburg37%
Actual: SC Freiburg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes18% 0% No82%
Avg goals/match: 1.1
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
63%
Draw or SC Freiburg
79%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 058% Draw70% SC Freiburg22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
35.9%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 1
10%
0 – 2
8.3%
1 – 2
3.7%
0 – 3
2%
2 – 0
1.8%
2 – 1
1.7%
1 – 3
1%
2 – 2
0.8%
0 – 4
0.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 12% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 27% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
48%
SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet
70%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.