1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- SC Freiburg 34 games · 47 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Zwayer
- Assistant 1 Robert Kempter
- Assistant 2 Dominik Schaal
36 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 6.5 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern Munchen 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L 04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W 22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W 15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W 07 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D 28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W 09 Apr RC Celta de Vigo H 3–0 W 04 Apr FC Bayern Munchen H 2–3 L 22 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W 19 Mar KRC Genk H 5–1 W 15 Mar 1. FC Union Berlin H 0–1 L Season Stats
1. FSV Mainz 05 SC Freiburg #10 Position #7 40 Points 47 34 Played 34 10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 13 / 8 / 13 44 Scored 51 53 Conceded 57 -9 GD -6 1.18 PPG 1.38 29% Win % 38% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season18% Clean Sheets
SC Freiburg this season1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). SC Freiburg are 7th (47 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ ConcededSC Freiburg0-15–/316-304/–31-45–/246-603/261-753/276+2/4■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Johan Manzambi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 49 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 15' It looks surprising SC Freiburg does not make any changes. Lukas Kubler has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with SC Freiburg winning 100% of all matches.
- 25' SC Freiburg looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Lucas Holer scoring 1 goals.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 33' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ifechukwu Ogbus on 33.
- 38' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 43' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a card on 45.
- 46' The referee shows SC Freiburg player a card on 46.
- 46' Time for substitution for SC Freiburg. Ifechukwu Ogbus is replaced by Philipp Lienhart.
- 47' What a strike from Lucas Holer! The score is 0-1.
- 52' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 55' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nikolas Veratschnig on 55.
- 60' SC Freiburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 60.
- 62' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Sota Kawasaki by Nadiem Amiri on 62 minute.
- 64' The SC Freiburg manager makes a substitution. Cyriaque Irie departs to be replaced by Jan-Niklas Beste.
- 69' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 425 games and scored 320 goals.
- 73' It’s a booking for SC Freiburg player. Lucas Holer gets a card.
- 74' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Paul Nebel is replaced by Armindo Sieb on 74 minute.
- 79' It’s high time Julian Schuster made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 83' SC Freiburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jordy Makengo is hanging Matthias Ginter on the field on 83 minute.
- 88' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
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Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 23
- 31
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2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Anthony Caci 74'
- 4
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21
Danny da Costa ↓ Nelson Weiper 83'
- 33
- 20
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8
Paul Nebel ↓ Armindo Sieb 74'
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24
Sota Kawasaki ↓ Nadiem Amiri 62'
- 22
- 6
Bench
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19
Anthony Caci ↑ 74'
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10
Nadiem Amiri ↑ 62'
- 15
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30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 62'
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11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 74'
- 1
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44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 83'
- 14
- 48
Coach Urs FischerSC Freiburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 30
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17
Lukas Kubler ↓ Philipp Treu 64'
- 9
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28
Matthias Ginter ↓ Jordy Makengo 83'
- 31
- 1
- 7
- 44
- 43
- 22
Bench
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19
Jan-Niklas Beste ↑ 64'
- 26
- 21
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32
Vincenzo Grifo ↑ 74'
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3
Philipp Lienhart ↑ 46'
- 27
- 14
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33
Jordy Makengo ↑ 83'
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29
Philipp Treu ↑ 64'
Coach Julian Schuster -
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Jean-Philippe Mateta 8 Michael Gregoritsch 4 Nils Petersen 4 Karim Onisiwo 3 Ritsu Doan 2 Jonathan Burkardt 2 Lucas Holer 2 Robin Quaison 1 Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-03-15 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 41.14 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.43 SC Freiburg xGI would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 71%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SC Freiburg winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 2.57Actual: No — clean sheetOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 90% 10% ± 1.5 73% 27% ± 2.5 47% 53% ± 3.5 26% 74% ± 4.5 12% 88% Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 60%Draw or SC Freiburg 69%1. FSV Mainz 05 or SC Freiburg 71%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 13.4%0 – 1 Actual0 – 0 9.7%1 – 2 8.6%0 – 2 7.7%1 – 0 7.6%2 – 1 6.8%2 – 2 5%2 – 0 4.8%1 – 3 4.2%0 – 3 3.6%3 – 1 2.6%Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push SC Freiburg covers -2.5 4% — 96% -2 4% 8% 88% -1.5 12% — 88% -1 12% 17% 72% -0.5 28% — 72% +0.5 58% — 42% +1 58% 21% 21% +1.5 79% — 21% +2 79% 13% 8% +2.5 92% — 8% Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 25% ✓SC Freiburg keeps clean sheet 33% ✗Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.