Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 22 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
07 Mar VfB Stuttgart H 2–2 D
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–2 L
14 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W
08 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
01 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
21 Feb FC Bayern München A 2–3 L
14 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Eintracht Frankfurt
#10 Position #8
40 Points 44
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 11 / 11 / 12
44 Scored 61
53 Conceded 65
-9 GD -4
1.18 PPG 1.29
29% Win % 32%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
21% Clean Sheets
Eintracht Frankfurt this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Eintracht Frankfurt are 8th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Eintracht Frankfurt
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Eintracht Frankfurt Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.66 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Eintracht Frankfurt xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0546% Draw25% Eintracht Frankfurt29%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
71%
Draw or Eintracht Frankfurt
54%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Eintracht Frankfurt
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw44% Eintracht Frankfurt24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Eintracht Frankfurt covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 13% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 20% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 17% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
26%
Eintracht Frankfurt keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.