TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 13' Phillip Tietz

Fisnik Asllani 23' 1–1

1–2 79' Phillip Tietz

Y 7' Dominik Kohr

Ozan Kabak 45' Y

Vladimir Coufal 47' Y

Wouter Burger 79' Y

Oliver Baumann 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Harm Osmers
Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
Assistant 2 Christian Gittelmann

10 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2025-04-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-04-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L
20 Mar	RB Leipzig	A	0–5	L
14 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–1	D
07 Mar	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	4–2	W
28 Feb	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–1	L
21 Feb	1. FC Köln	A	2–2	D

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–1	W
15 Mar	SV Werder Bremen	A	2–0	W
07 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D
20 Feb	Hamburger SV	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim		1. FSV Mainz 05
#9	Position	#12
12	Points	10
9	Played	9
4 / 0 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 5
16	Scored	18
17	Conceded	19
-1	GD	-1
1.33	PPG	1.11
44%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/4

61-75

2/4

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Adam Daghim	2 G	2 A
Bambase Conte	2 G	2 A
Adam Hlozek	2 G	1 A
Tim Lemperle	2 G
Ozan Kabak	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have kicked off against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
7' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 7.
12' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 12.
13' Assisted by Philipp Mwene with the perfectly-timed delivery and Phillip Tietz makes no mistake. 0-1!
18' Ozan Kabak is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim tonight.
23' A stunning finish from Fisnik Asllani — that came from absolutely nowhere!
28' A quiet spell here at PreZero Arena. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
33' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
37' Kacper Potulski gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Dominik Kohr and will look to change the dynamic.
42' Nikolas Veratschnig has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
45' Poor challenge from Ozan Kabak. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
46' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Silvan Widmer by Nikolas Veratschnig on 46 minute.
47' The referee calls foul for Vladimir Coufal. He receives a card.
52' Germany international Oliver Baumann has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Christian Ilzer will be considering his options from the bench.
61' Another change for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim made on 61 minute. Fisnik Asllani leaves to be changed by Andrej Kramaric.
66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
71' Vladimir Coufal has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
75' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 75 minute. Sheraldo Becker leaves to be changed by Armindo Sieb.
76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Jae-sung Lee has done his job and it is now time for Sota Kawasaki to step up.
79' Phillip Tietz doubles the advantage! 1-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
79' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wouter Burger.
80' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a card for a hard tackle on 80.
84' Alexander Prass makes way for Ihlas Bebou at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
87' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Tim Lemperle exits the field as Max Moerstedt enters on 87.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Christian Ilzer

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

23
Sheraldo Becker ↓ Armindo Sieb 75'
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Kacper Potulski 37'
2
Philipp Mwene
4
Stefan Posch
21
Danny da Costa
33
Daniel Batz
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 46'
20
Phillip Tietz
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Lennart Maloney 87'
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Sota Kawasaki 76'

Bench

Coach Urs Fischer

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	5
Jean-Paul Boetius	4
Jonathan Burkardt	4
Pavel Kaderabek	3
Ihlas Bebou	3
Phillip Tietz	2
Moussa Niakhate	2
Pierre Kunde	2

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-03-20 RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2026-03-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-03-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-02-28 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-02-21 1. FC Köln 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-03-15 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.67 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.91 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05 75% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim33% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0542%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

58%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

67%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim27% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0533%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.7%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 1

7.2%

2 – 2

6.8%

1 – 3

5.2%

0 – 2

5.1%

0 – 1

4.7%

2 – 3

4.3%

0 – 0

4.1%

1 – 0

3 – 1

2 – 0

3.9%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	16%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	19%	24%
+1.5	76%	—	24%
+2	76%	13%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.