TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 4 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 13' Phillip Tietz

Fisnik Asllani 23' 1–1

1–2 79' Phillip Tietz

Y 7' Dominik Kohr

Ozan Kabak 45' Y

Vladimir Coufal 47' Y

Wouter Burger 79' Y

Oliver Baumann 80' Y

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Harm Osmers
Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
Assistant 2 Christian Gittelmann

19 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 16 games · Avg 2.9 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2025-04-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2024-04-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 4–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Recent Form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L
20 Mar	RB Leipzig	A	0–5	L
14 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–1	D
07 Mar	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	4–2	W
28 Feb	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–1	L
21 Feb	1. FC Koln	A	2–2	D

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Apr	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	A	2–1	W
22 Mar	Eintracht Frankfurt	H	2–1	W
15 Mar	SV Werder Bremen	A	2–0	W
07 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D
20 Feb	Hamburger SV	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim		1. FSV Mainz 05
#5	Position	#10
61	Points	40
34	Played	34
18 / 7 / 9	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
65	Scored	44
52	Conceded	53
+13	GD	-9
1.79	PPG	1.18
53%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

21% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/2

31-45

4/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

–/1

76+

1/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim gets underway.
5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
7' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Dominik Kohr gets a card.
12' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
13' Phillip Tietz puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
23' Goal! Fisnik Asllani scores his 20 goal in 407 matches.
28' The travelling 1. FSV Mainz 05 supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
37' The whistle greets Dominik Kohr as he departs to be replaced by Kacper Potulski.
42' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is showing some good football. However, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
45' The referee shows TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player a card on 45.
46' The whistle greets Silvan Widmer as he departs to be replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig.
47' Vladimir Coufal was booked on 47.
52' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
57' It looks surprising TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not make any changes. Bernardo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
61' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Fisnik Asllani is replaced by Andrej Kramaric on 61 minute.
66' Vladimir Coufal needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
71' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
75' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Sheraldo Becker is replaced by Armindo Sieb on 75 minute.
76' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Jae-sung Lee is replaced by Sota Kawasaki.
79' Phillip Tietz with the second goal in the match!
79' The referee shows TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player a card on 79.
80' It’s gonna be a card for Oliver Baumann.
84' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Alexander Prass is replaced by Ihlas Bebou.
87' The TSG 1899 Hoffenheim manager makes a substitution. Tim Lemperle departs to be replaced by Max Moerstedt.
With this win, 1. FSV Mainz 05 is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Christian Ilzer

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

23
Sheraldo Becker ↓ Armindo Sieb 75'
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Kacper Potulski 37'
2
Philipp Mwene
4
Stefan Posch
21
Danny da Costa
33
Daniel Batz
30
Silvan Widmer ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 46'
20
Phillip Tietz
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Lennart Maloney 87'
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Sota Kawasaki 76'

Bench

Coach Urs Fischer

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Andrej Kramaric	5
Jonathan Burkardt	4
Jean-Paul Boetius	4
Pavel Kaderabek	3
Ihlas Bebou	3
Dominik Kohr	2
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2
Phillip Tietz	2

Head to Head

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form

2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-03-20 RB Leipzig 5–0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim L 2026-03-14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg D 2026-03-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2–4 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim W 2026-02-28 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2026-02-21 1. FC Koln 2–2 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-03-15 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.49 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.46 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim35% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0538%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 2.95

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw

63%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

65%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim28% Draw45% 1. FSV Mainz 0527%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.3%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

Actual

0 – 0

1 – 0

6.9%

0 – 1

6.8%

2 – 2

2 – 0

5.7%

0 – 2

5.5%

3 – 1

4.1%

1 – 3

3.9%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	11%	82%
-1.5	18%	—	82%
-1	18%	19%	63%
-0.5	37%	—	63%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	18%	17%
+1.5	83%	—	17%
+2	83%	11%	7%
+2.5	93%	—	7%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.