TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Harm Osmers
- Assistant 1 Dominik Schaal
- Assistant 2 Christian Gittelmann
5 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–5 | L |
| 14 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–2 | W |
| 28 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Feb | 1. FC Köln | A | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Mar | SV Werder Bremen | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Hamburger SV | H | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #6 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 7 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 6 |
| -3 | GD | +4 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 25% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 14th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/4
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Adam Daghim | 2 G | 2 A |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 G | |
| Ozan Kabak | 1 G | |
| Tim Lemperle | 1 G | |
| Leon Avdullahu | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at PreZero Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 5' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 7' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
- 12' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 13' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Phillip Tietz on 13.
- 18' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 23' What a moment for Fisnik Asllani! That strike on 23 puts his side firmly in control.
- 28' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 37' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 37 minute. Dominik Kohr leaves to be changed by Kacper Potulski.
- 42' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Sota Kawasaki has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ozan Kabak on 45 minutes.
- 46' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Silvan Widmer by Nikolas Veratschnig on 46 minute.
- 47' Vladimir Coufal catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
- 52' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 417 goals from 441 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 57' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 61' Time for substitution for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Fisnik Asllani is replaced by Andrej Kramaric.
- 66' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 71' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jae-sung Lee made 441 appearances and scored 13 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 75' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Sheraldo Becker is withdrawn and Armindo Sieb gets his opportunity.
- 76' The supporters are chanting for Sota Kawasaki. He replaces Jae-sung Lee on 76 minute.
- 79' Phillip Tietz puts 1. FSV Mainz 05 on the lead.
- 79' That is a card for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. Wouter Burger will be fuming at that decision.
- 80' Oliver Baumann was booked on 80.
- 84' Alexander Prass makes way for Ihlas Bebou at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from TSG 1899 Hoffenheim.
- 87' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim make a change. Tim Lemperle trudges off to be replaced by Max Moerstedt on 87 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13
- 18
- 1
- 6
- 5
- 34
-
19
Tim Lemperle ↓ Max Moerstedt 87'
- 21
-
22
Alexander Prass ↓ Ihlas Bebou 84'
- 11
- 29
Bench
-
9
Ihlas Bebou ↑ 84'
- 25
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↑ 61'
- 37
- 10
-
7
Leon Avdullahu ↑ 61'
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↑ 87'
- 2
- 20
Coach
Christian Ilzer
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
23
Sheraldo Becker ↓ Armindo Sieb 75'
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Kacper Potulski 37'
- 2
- 4
- 21
- 33
- 30
- 20
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Lennart Maloney 87'
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Sota Kawasaki 76'
Bench
- 5
-
15
Lennart Maloney ↑ 87'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 75'
- 1
-
24
Sota Kawasaki ↑ 76'
- 44
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 46'
- 14
-
48
Kacper Potulski ↑ 37'
Coach
Urs Fischer
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Pierre Kunde | 2 |
| Dominik Kohr | 2 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2026-03-20
RB Leipzig
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2026-03-14
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
VfL Wolfsburg
D
2026-03-07
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
2–4
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2026-02-28
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–1
FC St. Pauli 1910
L
2026-02-21
1. FC Köln
2–2
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2026-04-04
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-03-22
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2026-03-15
SV Werder Bremen
0–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2026-03-07
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–2
VfB Stuttgart
D
2026-02-28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2026-02-20
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Hamburger SV
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.45
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
44%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
79%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
8.4%
0 – 2
7.7%
1 – 3
7.3%
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 1
4.6%
1 – 4
4.5%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 4
3.7%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 10% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 21% | 42% |
| +1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +2 | 58% | 18% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

