1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
- Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
- Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
6 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 11.3 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | Borussia Mönchengladbach | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Sep | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | SC Freiburg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | FC København | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | RB Leipzig | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | SC Preußen Münster | A | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 7–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #1 |
| 10 | Points | 21 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 3 / 1 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 0 |
| 18 | Scored | 29 |
| 19 | Conceded | 9 |
| -1 | GD | +20 |
| 1.11 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München get this one started.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anthony Caci, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
- 10' Kingsley Coman has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 15 cards already picked up this season.
- 11' Brilliant from the ! Kingsley Coman makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 11.
- 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harry Kane makes it 0-2.
- 21' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 26' Karim Onisiwo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 37 goals in his last 447 appearances.
- 27' A moment of madness from Matthijs de Ligt on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
- 32' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 37' FC Bayern München has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 42' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Anthony Caci makes it 1-2.
- 45' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 50' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dominik Kohr on 50 minutes.
- 55' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 425 goals from 447 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 59' Leon Goretzka adds to his 2 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 62' The crowd applauds Jae-sung Lee as he leaves the pitch. Aymen Barkok steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 65' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Stefan Bell gets a Yellow card.
- 70' Matthijs de Ligt, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 74' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Bouna Sarr comes on to replace Leon Goretzka.
- 76' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Edimilson Fernandes is replaced by Tom Krauss on 76 minute.
- 77' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Jamal Musiala is replaced by Maxim Choupo-Moting.
- 82' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Joshua Kimmich scoring 1 goals.
- 84' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Stefan Bell by Karim Onisiwo on 84 minute.
- 88' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Kingsley Coman exits the field as Thomas Muller enters on 88.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Konrad Laimer.
- With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 17
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Maxim Leitsch 62'
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Marco Richter 76'
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Karim Onisiwo 84'
- 8
- 21
- 20
- 43
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Aymen Barkok 62'
Bench
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 76'
- 23
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 84'
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 62'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 62'
- 30
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 76'
- 24
- 1
Coach
Bo Svensson
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Mathys Tel 77'
- 9
- 4
- 26
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Thomas Muller 88'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Bouna Sarr 74'
- 27
- 19
- 42
- 3
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 77'
-
20
Bouna Sarr ↑ 74'
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 88'
- 18
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 77'
- 45
- 41
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2023-10-21
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
FC Bayern München
L
2023-10-06
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2023-09-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2023-09-23
FC Augsburg
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-09-16
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
VfB Stuttgart
L
2023-09-02
SV Werder Bremen
4–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
FC Bayern München Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.39
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.68
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
33%
Draw or FC Bayern München
84%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
7%
1 – 4
6.4%
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 4
5.1%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 5
4.4%
2 – 4
4.1%
0 – 5
3.4%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 7% | 89% |
| -0.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| +0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +1 | 25% | 17% | 58% |
| +1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +2 | 42% | 19% | 39% |
| +2.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
4%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

