1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
- Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
- Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
19 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 5.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 1–3 | L |
| 06 Oct | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Sep | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | VfB Stuttgart | H | 1–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 3–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | SC Freiburg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 03 Oct | FC København | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Sep | RB Leipzig | A | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | SC Preussen Munster | A | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 7–0 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | FC Bayern München | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #1 |
| 40 | Points | 89 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 28 / 5 / 1 |
| 44 | Scored | 122 |
| 53 | Conceded | 36 |
| -9 | GD | +86 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 2.62 |
| 29% | Win % | 82% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 are looking to make home advantage count against FC Bayern München.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern München's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 10' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Harry Kane scoring 1 goals.
- 11' Brilliant from the ! Kingsley Coman makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 11.
- 16' The deadlock is broken! Harry Kane gets on the scoresheet on 16 minutes.
- 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
- 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 27' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Matthijs de Ligt.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 42' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past FC Bayern München's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 43' GOAL! Anthony Caci fires home to make it 1-2!
- 45' Ludovic Ajorque picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 50' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Dominik Kohr.
- 55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 59' Leon Goretzka does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 62' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Aymen Barkok on, Jae-sung Lee off on 62 minutes.
- 65' Poor challenge from Stefan Bell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 70' Mathys Tel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
- 74' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Bouna Sarr comes on to replace Leon Goretzka.
- 76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Krauss is hanging Edimilson Fernandes on the field on 76 minute.
- 77' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Jamal Musiala exits the field as Maxim Choupo-Moting enters on 77.
- 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 50% of all matches.
- 84' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Stefan Bell by Karim Onisiwo on 84 minute.
- 88' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Kingsley Coman is replaced by Thomas Muller on 88 minute.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Konrad Laimer on 90 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3
- 17
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Maxim Leitsch 62'
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Marco Richter 76'
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Karim Onisiwo 84'
- 8
- 21
- 20
- 43
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Aymen Barkok 62'
Bench
-
10
Marco Richter ↑ 76'
- 23
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 84'
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 62'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 62'
- 30
-
14
Tom Krauss ↑ 76'
- 24
- 1
Coach
Bo Svensson
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
10
Leroy Sane ↓ Mathys Tel 77'
- 9
- 4
- 26
- 6
-
11
Kingsley Coman ↓ Thomas Muller 88'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↓ Bouna Sarr 74'
- 27
- 19
- 42
- 3
Bench
-
13
Maxim Choupo-Moting ↑ 77'
-
20
Bouna Sarr ↑ 74'
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 88'
- 18
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 77'
- 45
- 41
Coach
Thomas Tuchel
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
| Leandro Barreiro Martins | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2023-10-21
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
FC Bayern München
L
2023-10-06
Borussia Monchengladbach
2–2
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2023-09-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2023-09-23
FC Augsburg
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2023-09-16
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–3
VfB Stuttgart
L
2023-09-02
SV Werder Bremen
4–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
FC Bayern München Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.12
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.17
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + FC Bayern München to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
32%
Draw or FC Bayern München
85%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 3
7.3%
0 – 2
7.2%
1 – 4
6.3%
0 – 4
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 5
4%
0 – 5
3.6%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 6% | 90% |
| -0.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| +0.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| +1 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| +1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +2 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| +2.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

