Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 16:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Kingsley Coman
0–2 16' Harry Kane
Anthony Caci 43' 1–2
1–3 59' Leon Goretzka

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
08 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
03 Oct FC København A 2–1 W
30 Sep RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
26 Sep SC Preußen Münster A 4–0 W
23 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 7–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#6 Position #2
7 Points 10
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 0
10 Scored 14
6 Conceded 2
+4 GD +12
1.75 PPG 2.50
50% Win % 75%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to MEWA Arena that hosts another battle between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern Munchen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 11' Against the run of play, Kingsley Coman has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 16' A goal from the England international Harry Kane! He fires home on 16 to make it 0-2!
  • 21' FC Bayern Munchen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 26' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 27' Matthijs de Ligt was booked on 27.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' The travelling FC Bayern Munchen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 42' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. FC Bayern Munchen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 43' A stunning finish from Anthony Caci — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 45' Poor challenge from Ludovic Ajorque. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 50' Poor challenge from Dominik Kohr. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Konrad Laimer made 515 appearances and scored 21 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 59' Against the run of play, Leon Goretzka has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 62' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Jae-sung Lee is replaced by Aymen Barkok on 62 minute.
  • 65' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Stefan Bell on 65 minutes.
  • 70' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 74' Bouna Sarr has so much to prove this time. He replaces Leon Goretzka on 74 minute.
  • 76' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Tom Krauss on, Edimilson Fernandes off on 76 minutes.
  • 77' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Jamal Musiala departs to be replaced by Maxim Choupo-Moting.
  • 82' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sepp van den Berg suffering a number of foals already.
  • 84' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Karim Onisiwo is hanging Stefan Bell on the field on 84 minute.
  • 88' Thomas Muller has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kingsley Coman on 88 minute.
  • 90' Konrad Laimer is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • FC Bayern Munchen celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.01 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.84 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 72% + FC Bayern München to win 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0515% Draw19% FC Bayern München66%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 89%
11%
± 2.5 72%
28%
± 3.5 52%
48%
± 4.5 33%
67%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
34%
Draw or FC Bayern München
85%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0511% Draw34% FC Bayern München55%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 2
8.5%
0 – 3
8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
6.9%
0 – 1
5.9%
1 – 4
5.6%
0 – 4
5.6%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 5
3.3%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 7% 90%
-0.5 10% — 90%
+0.5 26% — 74%
+1 26% 20% 54%
+1.5 46% — 54%
+2 46% 20% 34%
+2.5 66% — 34%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
7% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.