Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 16:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Kingsley Coman
0–2 16' Harry Kane
Anthony Caci 43' 1–2
1–3 59' Leon Goretzka

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
08 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
03 Oct FC Kobenhavn A 2–1 W
30 Sep RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
26 Sep SC Preußen Münster A 4–0 W
23 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 7–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#16 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against FC Bayern München. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Kingsley Coman needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 2 Red cards this season.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danny da Costa made 515 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 11' GOAL! Kingsley Coman fires home to make it 0-1!
  • 16' Harry Kane adds to his 16 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 21' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 26' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 27' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Matthijs de Ligt on 27 minutes.
  • 32' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 37' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 42' Karim Onisiwo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 37 goals in his last 436 appearances.
  • 43' Brilliant from the ! Anthony Caci makes it 1-2 with a superb finish on 43.
  • 45' Ludovic Ajorque has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 45.
  • 50' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dominik Kohr on 50.
  • 55' Dominik Kohr is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for 1. FSV Mainz 05 tonight.
  • 59' Leon Goretzka has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 59 minutes.
  • 62' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Jae-sung Lee is withdrawn and Aymen Barkok gets his opportunity.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Stefan Bell. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 70' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 74' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Leon Goretzka is replaced by Bouna Sarr.
  • 76' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 bench stirs into life. Edimilson Fernandes is withdrawn and Tom Krauss gets his opportunity.
  • 77' The crowd applauds Jamal Musiala as he leaves the pitch. Maxim Choupo-Moting steps in for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 82' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Svensson will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 84' Karim Onisiwo gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Stefan Bell and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 88' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Kingsley Coman is replaced by Thomas Muller on 88 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a Yellow card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from FC Bayern München to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.63 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0518% Draw28% FC Bayern München54%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 63%
37%
± 2.5 36%
64%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
45%
Draw or FC Bayern München
82%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0511% Draw51% FC Bayern München38%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
16.7%
0 – 0
13.9%
0 – 2
12.9%
1 – 1
11.9%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 3
6.4%
1 – 0
6.3%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
3.4%
2 – 2
2.7%
0 – 4
2.5%
2 – 0
2.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 10% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 27% 31%
+1.5 69% 31%
+2 69% 18% 13%
+2.5 87% 13%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
23%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
53%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.