Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 16:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Kingsley Coman
0–2 16' Harry Kane
Anthony Caci 43' 1–2
1–3 59' Leon Goretzka

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
6 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
08 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
03 Oct FC København A 2–1 W
30 Sep RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
26 Sep SC Preußen Münster A 4–0 W
23 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 7–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#12 Position #1
10 Points 21
9 Played 9
3 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
18 Scored 29
19 Conceded 9
-1 GD +20
1.11 PPG 2.33
33% Win % 67%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 7 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 3 G
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München get this one started.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Anthony Caci, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 6 goals in the last 5 games.
  • 10' Kingsley Coman has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 15 cards already picked up this season.
  • 11' Brilliant from the ! Kingsley Coman makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 11.
  • 16' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harry Kane makes it 0-2.
  • 21' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 26' Karim Onisiwo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 37 goals in his last 447 appearances.
  • 27' A moment of madness from Matthijs de Ligt on 27 minutes earns him a Yellow card. FC Bayern Munchen will be frustrated.
  • 32' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 37' FC Bayern München has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 42' FC Bayern München fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Anthony Caci makes it 1-2.
  • 45' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 50' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Dominik Kohr on 50 minutes.
  • 55' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 425 goals from 447 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 59' Leon Goretzka adds to his 2 season tally! FC Bayern Munchen lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Jae-sung Lee as he leaves the pitch. Aymen Barkok steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 65' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Stefan Bell gets a Yellow card.
  • 70' Matthijs de Ligt, a Netherlands , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 74' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Bouna Sarr comes on to replace Leon Goretzka.
  • 76' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Edimilson Fernandes is replaced by Tom Krauss on 76 minute.
  • 77' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Jamal Musiala is replaced by Maxim Choupo-Moting.
  • 82' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Joshua Kimmich scoring 1 goals.
  • 84' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Stefan Bell by Karim Onisiwo on 84 minute.
  • 88' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Kingsley Coman exits the field as Thomas Muller enters on 88.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Konrad Laimer.
  • With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.29 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.39 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw17% FC Bayern München67%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 4.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
33%
Draw or FC Bayern München
84%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0512% Draw30% FC Bayern München58%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
7%
1 – 4
6.4%
0 – 3
6.1%
0 – 2
5.7%
0 – 4
5.1%
2 – 3
4.9%
1 – 1
4.8%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 5
4.4%
2 – 4
4.1%
0 – 5
3.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% — 96%
-1 4% 7% 89%
-0.5 11% — 89%
+0.5 25% — 75%
+1 25% 17% 58%
+1.5 42% — 58%
+2 42% 19% 39%
+2.5 61% — 39%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
4% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.