Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 16:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,305 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 11' Kingsley Coman
0–2 16' Harry Kane
Anthony Caci 43' 1–2
1–3 59' Leon Goretzka

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
  • Assistant 1 Christof Gunsch
  • Assistant 2 Frederick Assmuth
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L
02 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–1 W
08 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
03 Oct FC København A 2–1 W
30 Sep RB Leipzig A 2–2 D
26 Sep SC Preussen Munster A 4–0 W
23 Sep VfL Bochum 1848 H 7–0 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#10 Position #1
40 Points 89
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
44 Scored 122
53 Conceded 36
-9 GD +86
1.18 PPG 2.62
29% Win % 82%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 are looking to make home advantage count against FC Bayern München.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern München's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 10' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Harry Kane scoring 1 goals.
  • 11' Brilliant from the ! Kingsley Coman makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 11.
  • 16' The deadlock is broken! Harry Kane gets on the scoresheet on 16 minutes.
  • 21' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 21 minutes.
  • 26' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 27' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Matthijs de Ligt.
  • 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 42' It is a cagey affair so far. 1. FSV Mainz 05 in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past FC Bayern München's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 43' GOAL! Anthony Caci fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 45' Ludovic Ajorque picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 50' That looks like a foul for a Yellow card for Dominik Kohr.
  • 55' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 59' Leon Goretzka does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
  • 62' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05Aymen Barkok on, Jae-sung Lee off on 62 minutes.
  • 65' Poor challenge from Stefan Bell. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 70' Mathys Tel is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 74' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Bouna Sarr comes on to replace Leon Goretzka.
  • 76' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Krauss is hanging Edimilson Fernandes on the field on 76 minute.
  • 77' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Jamal Musiala exits the field as Maxim Choupo-Moting enters on 77.
  • 82' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Bayern München winning 50% of all matches.
  • 84' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Stefan Bell by Karim Onisiwo on 84 minute.
  • 88' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Kingsley Coman is replaced by Thomas Muller on 88 minute.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Konrad Laimer on 90 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.12 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.17 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + FC Bayern München to win 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0515% Draw17% FC Bayern München68%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 4.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
32%
Draw or FC Bayern München
85%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0511% Draw31% FC Bayern München58%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 3
7.3%
0 – 2
7.2%
1 – 4
6.3%
0 – 4
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 5
4%
0 – 5
3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 6% 90%
-0.5 10% 90%
+0.5 24% 76%
+1 24% 18% 58%
+1.5 42% 58%
+2 42% 20% 38%
+2.5 62% 38%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.