Thursday , 2 July 2026

Hertha BSC vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Wed 1 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Olympiastadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hertha BSC vs 1. FSV Mainz 05DFB-Pokal at Olympiastadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
28 Oct SC Paderborn 07 H 3–1 W
22 Oct 1. FC Nurnberg A 1–3 L
08 Oct FC Schalke 04 A 2–1 W
30 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
24 Sep Holstein Kiel A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Hertha BSC and 1. FSV Mainz 05 is underway.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Josuha Guilavogui has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 34 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Hertha BSC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 48' GOAL! Fabian Reese scores on 45.
  • 50' GOAL! Haris Tabakovic scores on 50.
  • 55' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Sepp van den Berg has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 58' Sepp van den Berg has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maxim Leitsch on 58 minute.
  • 61' Haris Tabakovic with the second goal in the match!
  • 66' Supporters expect more eagerness from Florian Niederlechner, as he is very good at scoring at Olympiastadion with 8 goals in the last 6 games.
  • 70' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 70 minute. Leandro Barreiro Martins leaves to be changed by Dominik Kohr.
  • 75' The Hertha BSC manager makes a substitution. Marton Dardai departs to be replaced by Andreas Bouchalakis.
  • 78' Deyovaisio Zeefuik was booked on 78.
  • 83' It’s high time Bo Svensson made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 87' The supporters are chanting for Gustav Christensen. He replaces Marten Winkler on 87 minute.
  • 90' The referee shows 1. FSV Mainz 05 player a card on 90.
  • 90' The Hertha BSC manager makes a substitution. Pascal Klemens departs to be replaced by Linus Gechter.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Hertha BSC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Hertha BSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hertha BSC51% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: Hertha BSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Hertha BSC or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
49%
Hertha BSC or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hertha BSC34% Draw45% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%
Actual: Hertha BSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Hertha BSC

Handicap Hertha BSC covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
32%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.