Sunday , 16 August 2026

Hertha BSC vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, DFB-Pokal 2023-24 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2023-24
Wed 1 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Olympiastadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Hertha BSC vs 1. FSV Mainz 05DFB-Pokal at Olympiastadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
28 Oct SC Paderborn 07 H 3–1 W
22 Oct 1. FC Nürnberg A 1–3 L
08 Oct FC Schalke 04 A 2–1 W
30 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 H 1–2 L
24 Sep Holstein Kiel A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Nov Hertha BSC A 0–3 L
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Hertha BSC and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
  • 5' Ludovic Ajorque has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Fabian Reese is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 15' It’s high time Pal Dardai made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maxim Leitsch, as he is very good at scoring at Olympiastadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. Hertha BSC in their trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact .
  • 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Hertha BSC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 48' Fabian Reese doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 50' What a moment for Haris Tabakovic! That strike on 50 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 55' Hertha BSC is showing some good football. However, Hertha BSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Sepp van den Berg. He replaces Maxim Leitsch on 58 minute.
  • 61' A stunning finish from Haris Tabakovic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 66' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 70' Dominik Kohr is replacing Leandro Barreiro Martins for the 1. FSV Mainz 05 side.
  • 75' The Hertha BSC manager makes a substitution. Marton Dardai departs to be replaced by Andreas Bouchalakis.
  • 78' Deyovaisio Zeefuik has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 83' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Hertha BSC. Marten Winkler is replaced by Gustav Christensen.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ludovic Ajorque argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Hertha BSC. Pascal Klemens is replaced by Linus Gechter.
  • The final score is 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Hertha BSC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Hertha BSC51% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: Hertha BSC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Hertha BSC or Draw
76%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
49%
Hertha BSC or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Hertha BSC34% Draw45% 1. FSV Mainz 0521%
Actual: Hertha BSC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
5.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Hertha BSC

Handicap Hertha BSC covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Hertha BSC keeps clean sheet
32%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.