Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfL Bochum 1848 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Fri 27 Oct 2023 · 18:30 UTC Vonovia Ruhrstadion 25,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Kevin Stoger pen 21' 1–0
1–1 59' Keven Schlotterbeck og
2–2 90+6' Tom Krauss

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Bochum 1848 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Vonovia Ruhrstadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–2 D
21 Oct SC Freiburg A 1–2 L
07 Oct RB Leipzig A 0–0 D
30 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–3 L
23 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–7 L
16 Sep Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 2–2 D
21 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–3 L
06 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–2 D
30 Sep Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 0–3 L
23 Sep FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
16 Sep VfB Stuttgart H 1–3 L

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 VfL Bochum 1848 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: VfL Bochum 1848 or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Bochum 184837% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

VfL Bochum 1848 or Draw
64%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
63%
VfL Bochum 1848 or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Bochum 184827% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0529%
Actual: VfL Bochum 1848 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
7.9%
0 – 1
6.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
3 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — VfL Bochum 1848

Handicap VfL Bochum 1848 covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 18% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

VfL Bochum 1848 keeps clean sheet
22%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.