Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leroy Sane 27' 1–0
Michael Olise 40' 2–0
Eric Dier 84' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München 1. FSV Mainz 05
#7 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering 1. FSV Mainz 05 that had 436 games and scored 398 goals.
  • 10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 15' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 27' Against the run of play, Leroy Sane has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 28' The whistle greets Anthony Caci as he departs to be replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig.
  • 33' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 36' That looks like a foul for a card for Philipp Mwene.
  • 40' Goal! Michael Olise scores his 50 goal in 379 matches.
  • 45' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Sacha Boey is replacing Min-Jae Kim for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 51' FC Bayern München are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Min-Jae Kim suffering a number of foals already.
  • 61' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 71' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 72' The whistle greets Serge Gnabry as he departs to be replaced by Kingsley Coman.
  • 74' Nelson Weiper is ready to make an impact after coming on for Philipp Mwene at the 74 minute mark.
  • 79' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 84' Eric Dier has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 84 minutes.
  • 84' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Aleksandar Pavlovic exits the field as Leon Goretzka enters on 84.
  • 86' Konrad Laimer was booked on 86.
  • 86' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 86 minute. Jonathan Burkardt leaves to be changed by Armindo Sieb.
  • 87' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Arnaud Nordin is hanging Jae-sung Lee on the field on 87 minute.
  • 88' Harry Kane makes way for Jonah Kusi-Asare at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 89' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Nadiem Amiri gets a card.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — FC Bayern München 3-0 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.54 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.37 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 74% + Under 2.5 goals 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München65% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 0510%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 83%
17%
± 1.5 57%
43%
± 2.5 30%
70%
± 3.5 13%
87%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
90%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
35%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Bayern München42% Draw52% 1. FSV Mainz 056%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
22%
0 – 0
16.9%
2 – 0
16.9%
1 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
6.5%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 1
3.5%
4 – 0
3.3%
1 – 2
1.5%
4 – 1
1.5%
2 – 2
1.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 21% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 29% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 93% 7%
+1 93% 6% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
69%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.