Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leroy Sane 27' 1–0
Michael Olise 40' 2–0
Eric Dier 84' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
5 games this season 🟨 5.0/game ⚽ 31.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München 1. FSV Mainz 05
#1 Position #12
21 Points 10
9 Played 9
6 / 3 / 0 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
29 Scored 18
9 Conceded 19
+20 GD -1
2.33 PPG 1.11
67% Win % 33%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 6 G 3 A
Harry Kane 4 G 7 A
Luis Diaz 4 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 3 G
Ismael Saibari 2 G 3 A
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. FC Bayern München host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Jonas Urbig has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 408 appearances.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' What a moment for Leroy Sane! That strike on 27 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 28' Nikolas Veratschnig has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anthony Caci on 28 minute.
  • 33' FC Bayern München are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-1-2 shape.
  • 36' Philipp Mwene was booked on 36.
  • 40' GOAL! Michael Olise fires home to make it 0-2!
  • 45' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Sacha Boey gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Min-Jae Kim and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 61' FC Bayern München are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 66' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 72' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Serge Gnabry trudges off to be replaced by Kingsley Coman on 72 minutes.
  • 74' Philipp Mwene makes way for Nelson Weiper at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 84' What a moment for Eric Dier! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 84' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Aleksandar Pavlovic is replaced by Leon Goretzka.
  • 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Konrad Laimer on 86.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Armindo Sieb. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 86 minute.
  • 87' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Jae-sung Lee by Arnaud Nordin on 87 minute.
  • 88' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 88 minute. Harry Kane leaves to be changed by Jonah Kusi-Asare.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Nadiem Amiri argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.79 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + FC Bayern München to win 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München79% Draw12% 1. FSV Mainz 059%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 4.71
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 48%
52%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
21%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
88%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München68% Draw25% 1. FSV Mainz 057%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
Actual
4 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.6%
4 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.2%
5 – 0
5.9%
5 – 1
5.4%
1 – 1
3.8%
6 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%
6 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 52% — 48%
-2 52% 19% 29%
-1.5 71% — 29%
-1 71% 15% 15%
-0.5 85% — 15%
+0.5 95% — 5%
+1 95% 3% 2%
+1.5 98% — 2%
+2 98% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.