Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leroy Sane 27' 1–0
Michael Olise 40' 2–0
Eric Dier 84' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München 1. FSV Mainz 05
#2 Position #6
10 Points 7
4 Played 4
3 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
14 Scored 10
2 Conceded 6
+12 GD +4
2.50 PPG 1.75
75% Win % 50%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 4 G 1 A
Harry Kane 3 G
Aleksandar Pavlovic 1 G 1 A
Dayot Upamecano 1 G
Luis Diaz 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Arena. FC Bayern Munchen are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern Munchen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andreas Hanche-Olsen suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' FC Bayern Munchen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 27' The deadlock is broken! Leroy Sane gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
  • 28' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Anthony Caci departs to be replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig.
  • 33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 36' Philipp Mwene was booked on 36.
  • 40' Michael Olise is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
  • 45' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 46' Sacha Boey is replacing Min-Jae Kim for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Bayern Munchen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nelson Weiper made 438 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 61' Nikolas Veratschnig has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 66' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern Munchen in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-1-2.
  • 71' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Josip Stanisic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' Kingsley Coman is ready to make an impact after coming on for Serge Gnabry at the 72 minute mark.
  • 74' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Nelson Weiper on, Philipp Mwene off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 84' A goal from the England international Eric Dier! He fires home on 84 to make it 3-0!
  • 84' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Aleksandar Pavlovic is replaced by Leon Goretzka on 84 minute.
  • 86' Konrad Laimer was booked on 86.
  • 86' The crowd applauds Jonathan Burkardt as he leaves the pitch. Armindo Sieb steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 87' Arnaud Nordin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jae-sung Lee on 87 minute.
  • 88' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Harry Kane trudges off to be replaced by Jonah Kusi-Asare on 88 minutes.
  • 89' Nadiem Amiri is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 78% + Over 2.5 goals 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München78% Draw14% 1. FSV Mainz 058%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 51%
49%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
22%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München64% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 056%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.1%
4 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
4 – 1
5.9%
5 – 0
5.4%
1 – 1
5.3%
5 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.2%
6 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 45% — 55%
-2 45% 21% 34%
-1.5 66% — 34%
-1 66% 18% 17%
-0.5 83% — 17%
+0.5 95% — 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
51% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.