FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
5 games this season
🟨 5.0/game
⚽ 31.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | FC Augsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #12 |
| 21 | Points | 10 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 3 / 0 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 |
| 29 | Scored | 18 |
| 9 | Conceded | 19 |
| +20 | GD | -1 |
| 2.33 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 67% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
79%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
33%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
FC Bayern München are 1st (21 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 6 G | |
| Anthony Caci | 3 G | 3 A |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 4 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. FC Bayern München host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
- 5' Jonas Urbig has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 408 appearances.
- 10' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 20' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 27' What a moment for Leroy Sane! That strike on 27 puts his side firmly in control.
- 28' Nikolas Veratschnig has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anthony Caci on 28 minute.
- 33' FC Bayern München are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-1-2 shape.
- 36' Philipp Mwene was booked on 36.
- 40' GOAL! Michael Olise fires home to make it 0-2!
- 45' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Sacha Boey gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Min-Jae Kim and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' FC Bayern München are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 66' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern München is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 72' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Serge Gnabry trudges off to be replaced by Kingsley Coman on 72 minutes.
- 74' Philipp Mwene makes way for Nelson Weiper at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 79' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 84' What a moment for Eric Dier! That strike on 84 puts his side firmly in control.
- 84' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Aleksandar Pavlovic is replaced by Leon Goretzka.
- 86' A meaty challenge results in booking for Konrad Laimer on 86.
- 86' The supporters are chanting for Armindo Sieb. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt on 86 minute.
- 87' Another substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to replace Jae-sung Lee by Arnaud Nordin on 87 minute.
- 88' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 88 minute. Harry Kane leaves to be changed by Jonah Kusi-Asare.
- 89' Controversy at the stadium! Nadiem Amiri argues furiously but the card stands.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 9
- 7
- 6
- 27
- 17
- 44
- 3
- 40
- 45
Bench
- 11
- 25
- 8
- 16
- 18
- 23
- 24
- 35
- 41
Coach
Vincent Kompany
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Nelson Weiper 74'
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Silvan Widmer 87'
- 25
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Arnaud Nordin 87'
Bench
-
9
Arnaud Nordin ↑ 87'
- 16
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 87'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 86'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 74'
- 14
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 28'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2025-04-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-19
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-04-16
FC Internazionale Milano
2–2
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-12
FC Bayern München
2–2
Borussia Dortmund
D
2025-04-08
FC Bayern München
1–2
FC Internazionale Milano
L
2025-04-04
FC Augsburg
1–3
FC Bayern München
W
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.79
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.92
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 83% + FC Bayern München to win 79%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.71
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
21%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
88%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 0
Actual
4 – 0
7.8%
3 – 1
7.6%
4 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
7%
2 – 1
6.2%
5 – 0
5.9%
5 – 1
5.4%
1 – 1
3.8%
6 – 0
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%
6 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 52% | — | 48% |
| -2 | 52% | 19% | 29% |
| -1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| -1 | 71% | 15% | 15% |
| -0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 3% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
40%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

