FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bastian Dankert
- Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–2 | D |
| 08 Apr | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Apr | FC Augsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr | FC Bayern München | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #6 |
| 10 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 3 / 1 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 14 | Scored | 10 |
| 2 | Conceded | 6 |
| +12 | GD | +4 |
| 2.50 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 75% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
FC Bayern München are 2nd (10 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Arena. FC Bayern Munchen are looking to make home advantage count against 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern Munchen must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Andreas Hanche-Olsen suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' FC Bayern Munchen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
- 27' The deadlock is broken! Leroy Sane gets on the scoresheet on 27 minutes.
- 28' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Anthony Caci departs to be replaced by Nikolas Veratschnig.
- 33' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 36' Philipp Mwene was booked on 36.
- 40' Michael Olise is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 5 goals this season for the .
- 45' FC Bayern Munchen player sees a card in front of him.
- 46' Sacha Boey is replacing Min-Jae Kim for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Bayern Munchen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nelson Weiper made 438 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' Nikolas Veratschnig has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 66' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern Munchen in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past 1. FSV Mainz 05's compact 3-4-1-2.
- 71' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Josip Stanisic has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 72' Kingsley Coman is ready to make an impact after coming on for Serge Gnabry at the 72 minute mark.
- 74' A tactical swap from 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Nelson Weiper on, Philipp Mwene off on 74 minutes.
- 79' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 84' A goal from the England international Eric Dier! He fires home on 84 to make it 3-0!
- 84' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Aleksandar Pavlovic is replaced by Leon Goretzka on 84 minute.
- 86' Konrad Laimer was booked on 86.
- 86' The crowd applauds Jonathan Burkardt as he leaves the pitch. Armindo Sieb steps in for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 87' Arnaud Nordin has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jae-sung Lee on 87 minute.
- 88' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Harry Kane trudges off to be replaced by Jonah Kusi-Asare on 88 minutes.
- 89' Nadiem Amiri is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 9
- 7
- 6
- 27
- 17
- 44
- 3
- 40
- 45
Bench
- 11
- 25
- 8
- 16
- 18
- 23
- 24
- 35
- 41
Coach
Vincent Kompany
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 19
- 31
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Nelson Weiper 74'
- 27
- 29
- 18
- 21
-
8
Paul Nebel ↓ Silvan Widmer 87'
- 25
- 6
-
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Arnaud Nordin 87'
Bench
-
9
Arnaud Nordin ↑ 87'
- 16
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 87'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 86'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 74'
- 14
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 28'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 3 |
| James Rodriguez | 3 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2025-04-26
FC Bayern München
3–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-19
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2025-04-16
FC Internazionale Milano
2–2
FC Bayern München
D
2025-04-12
FC Bayern München
2–2
Borussia Dortmund
D
2025-04-08
FC Bayern München
1–2
FC Internazionale Milano
L
2025-04-04
FC Augsburg
1–3
FC Bayern München
W
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.13
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
FC Bayern München to win 78% + Over 2.5 goals 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.82
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 3.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 4.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
22%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
86%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.1%
4 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
7.1%
4 – 1
5.9%
5 – 0
5.4%
1 – 1
5.3%
5 – 1
3.8%
0 – 0
3.2%
6 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -2 | 45% | 21% | 34% |
| -1.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| -1 | 66% | 18% | 17% |
| -0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

