Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
FC Bayern München
3 – 0
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 26 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Leroy Sane 27' 1–0
Michael Olise 40' 2–0
Eric Dier 84' 3–0
Y 36' Philipp Mwene
Harry Kane 45' Y
Konrad Laimer 86' Y
Y 89' Nadiem Amiri

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Bastian Dankert
  • Assistant 1 Rene Rohde
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
16 games this season 🟨 0.4/game ⚽ 4.1 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

13
1
4
FC Bayern München 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München 2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-10-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–0 W
19 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 4–0 W
16 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–2 D
12 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 2–2 D
08 Apr FC Internazionale Milano H 1–2 L
04 Apr FC Augsburg A 3–1 W
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
19 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 2–2 D
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München 1. FSV Mainz 05
#1 Position #10
89 Points 40
34 Played 34
28 / 5 / 1 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
122 Scored 44
36 Conceded 53
+86 GD -9
2.62 PPG 1.18
82% Win % 29%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. FC Bayern München host 1. FSV Mainz 05 — let the battle begin!
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 come into this ranked 6 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Bayern München that had 540 games and scored 1057 goals.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 27' What composure from Leroy Sane! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 28' Nikolas Veratschnig gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Anthony Caci and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 33' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 36' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 40' Goal! Michael Olise scores his 50 goal in 379 matches.
  • 45' It’s a booking for FC Bayern Munchen player. Harry Kane gets a card.
  • 46' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Min-Jae Kim trudges off to be replaced by Sacha Boey on 46 minutes.
  • 51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' FC Bayern München are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
  • 61' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 66' Dominik Kohr is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
  • 71' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 72' FC Bayern Munchen make a change. Serge Gnabry trudges off to be replaced by Kingsley Coman on 72 minutes.
  • 74' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Philipp Mwene departs to be replaced by Nelson Weiper.
  • 79' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-1-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 84' The deadlock is broken! Eric Dier gets on the scoresheet on 84 minutes.
  • 84' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Aleksandar Pavlovic departs to be replaced by Leon Goretzka.
  • 86' The referee has no hesitation. Konrad Laimer is booked for FC Bayern Munchen — card on 86.
  • 86' Armindo Sieb gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Jonathan Burkardt and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Jae-sung Lee has done his job and it is now time for Arnaud Nordin to step up.
  • 88' Jonah Kusi-Asare is ready to make an impact after coming on for Harry Kane at the 88 minute mark.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nadiem Amiri.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-0.

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-1-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jamal Musiala 9
Robert Lewandowski 7
Harry Kane 5
Leon Goretzka 5
Leroy Sane 5
Kingsley Coman 5
Leandro Barreiro Martins 3
Alphonso Davies 3

Head to Head

2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München 2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-10-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München Form

2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-04-19 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–4 FC Bayern München W 2025-04-16 FC Internazionale Milano 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2025-04-12 FC Bayern München 2–2 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-04-08 FC Bayern München 1–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2025-04-04 FC Augsburg 1–3 FC Bayern München W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-04-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfL Wolfsburg D 2025-04-12 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-04-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Holstein Kiel D 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-03-15 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 SC Freiburg D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.53 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 79% + Over 2.5 goals 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München79% Draw13% 1. FSV Mainz 058%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 4.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
92%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
21%
FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05
87%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München67% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 056%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.9%
4 – 0
8.6%
3 – 1
7.6%
4 – 1
6.7%
2 – 1
6.6%
5 – 0
6.1%
1 – 0
5.1%
5 – 1
4.8%
1 – 1
4.3%
6 – 0
3.6%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 50% — 50%
-2 50% 20% 30%
-1.5 70% — 30%
-1 70% 15% 15%
-0.5 85% — 15%
+0.5 95% — 5%
+1 95% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.