Nashville SC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Fairgrounds Stadium.
- Nashville SC 22 games · 52 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 22 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 22 | 42 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 22 | 35 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | New York City FC | 22 | 28 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 26 |
| 9 | Toronto FC | 22 | 25 |
| 10 | D.C. United SC | 22 | 25 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 22 | 25 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 22 | 24 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 22 | 21 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 22 | 21 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew SC | 22 | 20 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 21 | 43 |
| 17 | Houston Dynamo | 22 | 39 |
| 18 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 36 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 22 | 34 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 22 | 34 |
| 21 | St. Louis City | 22 | 34 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 22 | 31 |
| 23 | San Diego FC | 22 | 30 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 22 | 29 |
| 25 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 28 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 28 |
| 27 | Seattle Sounders FC | 21 | 26 |
| 28 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 23 | 26 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 22 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 15 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | H | 4–1 | W |
| 01 Aug | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Jul | Orlando City SC | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug | New York City FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Aug | Charlotte FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 15 Aug | New England Revolution | H | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | D.C. United SC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #9 |
| 52 | Points | 25 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 16 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 5 / 10 / 7 |
| 47 | Scored | 32 |
| 17 | Conceded | 38 |
| +30 | GD | -6 |
| 2.36 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 73% | Win % | 23% |
Key Stats
64%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
45%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
45%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Nashville SC are 1st (52 pts). Toronto FC are 9th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/4
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/5
61-75
6/4
76+
6/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 13 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 10 G | 6 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 6 G | 4 A |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sam Surridge | 5 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 4 |
| Luke Haakenson | 2 |
| Omar Gonzalez | 2 |
| Lorenzo Insigne | 2 |
| Teal Bunbury | 2 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 2 |
| Randall Leal | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
2.43
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 69% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 3.27
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
88%
Draw or Toronto FC
31%
Nashville SC or Toronto FC
81%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 0
11.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
8.8%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
4 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.2%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| -1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +1 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +1.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
| +2 | 97% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
44%
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
10%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

