FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

FC Bayern München

2 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 14 Dec 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

FC Bayern München 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robin Braun

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

FC Bayern München 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München 2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	3–1	W
06 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	5–0	W
03 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	A	3–2	W
29 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	3–1	W
26 Nov	Arsenal FC	A	1–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	2–2	D
05 Dec	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	0–1	L
30 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–4	L
21 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–1	D
09 Nov	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–1	L
01 Nov	SV Werder Bremen	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München		1. FSV Mainz 05
#7	Position	#16
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Bayern München is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
2-2 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamal Musiala	9
Robert Lewandowski	7
Harry Kane	5
Leon Goretzka	5
Leroy Sane	5
Kingsley Coman	5
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3

Head to Head

FC Bayern München Form

2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-09 FC Bayern München 3–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2025-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 0–5 FC Bayern München W 2025-12-03 1. FC Union Berlin 2–3 FC Bayern München W 2025-11-29 FC Bayern München 3–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-11-26 Arsenal FC 3–1 FC Bayern München L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach L 2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2025-11-09 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 SV Werder Bremen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

1 / 4

1.52 FC Bayern München xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.57 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Bayern München59% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes35% 0% No65%

Avg goals/match: 2.09

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	34%	66%
± 3.5	16%	84%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw

85%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

41%

FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

FC Bayern München39% Draw51% 1. FSV Mainz 0510%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

18%

0 – 0

14.6%

2 – 0

13.8%

1 – 1

11.4%

2 – 1

3 – 0

6.9%

0 – 1

5.9%

3 – 1

4.2%

1 – 2

2.9%

4 – 0

2.6%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

1.8%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap	FC Bayern München covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	13%	—	87%
-2	13%	19%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	27%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	9%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

57% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.