FC Bayern Munchen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

FC Bayern Munchen

2 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 14 Dec 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Robin Braun

6 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 7.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern Munchen	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Koln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

FC Bayern Munchen 19 games · Avg 4.7 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-14 FC Bayern Munchen 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-26 FC Bayern Munchen 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern Munchen 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern Munchen 2024-03-09 FC Bayern Munchen 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC Bayern Munchen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	3–1	W
06 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	5–0	W
03 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	A	3–2	W
29 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	3–1	W
26 Nov	Arsenal FC	A	1–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	FC Bayern Munchen	A	2–2	D
05 Dec	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	0–1	L
30 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–4	L
21 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–1	D
09 Nov	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–1	L
01 Nov	SV Werder Bremen	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Bayern Munchen		1. FSV Mainz 05
#1	Position	#12
21	Points	10
9	Played	9
6 / 3 / 0	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 5
29	Scored	18
9	Conceded	19
+20	GD	-1
2.33	PPG	1.11
67%	Win %	33%

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern Munchen are 1st (21 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen

0-15

2/1

16-30

5/–

31-45

5/–

46-60

6/2

61-75

5/2

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern Munchen

Michael Olise	6 G	3 A
Harry Kane	4 G	7 A
Luis Diaz	4 G	1 A
Dayot Upamecano	3 G
Ismael Saibari	2 G	3 A

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
It finishes all square. FC Bayern Munchen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamal Musiala	9
Robert Lewandowski	7
Leon Goretzka	5
Leroy Sane	5
Kingsley Coman	5
Harry Kane	5
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
James Rodriguez	3

Head to Head

FC Bayern München Form

2025-12-14 FC Bayern Munchen 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-09 FC Bayern Munchen 3–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2025-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 0–5 FC Bayern Munchen W 2025-12-03 1. FC Union Berlin 2–3 FC Bayern Munchen W 2025-11-29 FC Bayern Munchen 3–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L 2025-11-26 Arsenal FC 3–1 FC Bayern Munchen L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-12-14 FC Bayern Munchen 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Monchengladbach L 2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2025-11-09 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 SV Werder Bremen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

3.77 FC Bayern München xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.12 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + FC Bayern München to win 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Bayern München75% Draw14% 1. FSV Mainz 0511%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 4.89

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	95%	5%
± 2.5	84%	16%
± 3.5	69%	31%
± 4.5	51%	49%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw

89%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

25%

FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05

86%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Bayern München65% Draw26% 1. FSV Mainz 059%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 1

7.6%

4 – 1

3 – 0

4 – 0

6.4%

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 0

5.9%

5 – 1

5.3%

5 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

4.2%

4 – 2

3.9%

1 – 1

3.9%

2 – 2

Actual

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap	FC Bayern München covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	48%	—	52%
-2	48%	19%	33%
-1.5	67%	—	33%
-1	67%	15%	18%
-0.5	82%	—	18%
+0.5	93%	—	7%
+1	93%	5%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

33% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.