FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

FC Bayern München

2 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 14 Dec 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Robin Braun

14 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 4.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

FC Bayern München 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München 2024-03-09 FC Bayern München 8–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

FC Bayern München

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–2	D
09 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	H	3–1	W
06 Dec	VfB Stuttgart	A	5–0	W
03 Dec	1. FC Union Berlin	A	3–2	W
29 Nov	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	3–1	W
26 Nov	Arsenal FC	A	1–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	A	2–2	D
05 Dec	Borussia Monchengladbach	H	0–1	L
30 Nov	SC Freiburg	A	0–4	L
21 Nov	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	H	1–1	D
09 Nov	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	0–1	L
01 Nov	SV Werder Bremen	H	1–1	D

Season Stats

FC Bayern München		1. FSV Mainz 05
#1	Position	#10
89	Points	40
34	Played	34
28 / 5 / 1	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
122	Scored	44
36	Conceded	53
+86	GD	-9
2.62	PPG	1.18
82%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München

0-15

3/1

16-30

1/4

31-45

4/2

46-60

6/1

61-75

3/1

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for FC Bayern München and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

FC Bayern München Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jamal Musiala	9
Robert Lewandowski	7
Harry Kane	5
Leon Goretzka	5
Leroy Sane	5
Kingsley Coman	5
Maxim Choupo-Moting	3
James Rodriguez	3

Head to Head

FC Bayern München Form

2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-09 FC Bayern München 3–1 Sporting Clube de Portugal W 2025-12-06 VfB Stuttgart 0–5 FC Bayern München W 2025-12-03 1. FC Union Berlin 2–3 FC Bayern München W 2025-11-29 FC Bayern München 3–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 W 2025-11-26 Arsenal FC 3–1 FC Bayern München L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-05 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia Monchengladbach L 2025-11-30 SC Freiburg 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim D 2025-11-09 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-11-01 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 SV Werder Bremen D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

3.51 FC Bayern München xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + FC Bayern München to win 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

FC Bayern München75% Draw14% 1. FSV Mainz 0511%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 4.48

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	80%	20%
± 3.5	63%	37%
± 4.5	44%	56%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw

89%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

25%

FC Bayern München or 1. FSV Mainz 05

86%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

FC Bayern München64% Draw28% 1. FSV Mainz 058%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–2 not predicted

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 0

8.3%

3 – 1

7.8%

2 – 0

7.4%

4 – 0

7.1%

2 – 1

6.9%

4 – 1

6.8%

5 – 0

5 – 1

4.8%

1 – 1

4.6%

1 – 0

4.2%

3 – 2

3.8%

4 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap	FC Bayern München covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	46%	—	54%
-2	46%	20%	34%
-1.5	66%	—	34%
-1	66%	16%	18%
-0.5	82%	—	18%
+0.5	93%	—	7%
+1	93%	4%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	2%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.