1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 2
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — DFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- FC Bayern München 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 5.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | FC Bayern München | H | 0–4 | L |
| 25 Oct | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Oct | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Oct | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 5–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | FC Barcelona | A | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | VfB Stuttgart | H | 4–0 | W |
| 06 Oct | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Oct | Aston Villa FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
78%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at MEWA Arena as 1. FSV Mainz 05 face off against FC Bayern München in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 2' What a strike from Jamal Musiala! The score is 0-1.
- 7' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Henriksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 12' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 17' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dominik Kohr on 20.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Gabriel Vidovic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern München tonight.
- 37' What a moment for Jamal Musiala! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
- 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 43' It’s gonna be a card for Konrad Laimer.
- 45' Moritz Jenz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 46' Magnificent from Leroy Sane! That is 85 goals in 436 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 46 minute. Jamal Musiala leaves to be changed by Thomas Muller.
- 47' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Moritz Jenz departs to be replaced by Stefan Bell.
- 49' GOAL! Jamal Musiala fires home to make it 0-4!
- 54' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Daniel Gleiber comes on to replace Nadiem Amiri.
- 58' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Leon Goretzka comes on to replace Alphonso Davies.
- 62' Nelson Weiper gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Armindo Sieb and will look to change the dynamic.
- 64' Paul Nebel is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
- 69' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Anthony Caci has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 74' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Arijon Ibrahimovic. He replaces Eric Dier on 77 minute.
- 82' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 87' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 77'
- 31
- 2
- 27
-
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Daniel Gleiber 56'
- 5
- 8
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↓ Nelson Weiper 62'
-
3
Moritz Jenz ↓ Stefan Bell 47'
-
17
Gabriel Vidovic ↓ Karim Onisiwo 47'
- 6
Bench
-
16
Stefan Bell ↑ 47'
-
9
Karim Onisiwo ↑ 47'
- 21
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 77'
- 1
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↑ 62'
- 14
- 7
-
42
Daniel Gleiber ↑ 56'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
FC Bayern München Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
15
Eric Dier ↓ Arijon Ibrahimovic 77'
-
9
Harry Kane ↓ Mathys Tel 46'
- 7
- 1
- 6
- 27
- 16
-
19
Alphonso Davies ↓ Leon Goretzka 58'
-
42
Jamal Musiala ↓ Thomas Muller 46'
-
3
Min-Jae Kim ↓ Raphael Guerreiro 58'
Bench
- 26
- 11
-
25
Thomas Muller ↑ 46'
-
8
Leon Goretzka ↑ 58'
-
22
Raphael Guerreiro ↑ 58'
- 17
-
39
Mathys Tel ↑ 46'
-
20
Arijon Ibrahimovic ↑ 77'
- 36
Coach
Vincent Kompany
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jamal Musiala | 9 |
| Robert Lewandowski | 7 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 5 |
| Leroy Sane | 5 |
| Kingsley Coman | 5 |
| Leandro Barreiro Martins | 3 |
| Alphonso Davies | 3 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-10-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern München
L
2024-10-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
Borussia Monchengladbach
D
2024-10-19
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–2
RB Leipzig
L
2024-10-05
FC St. Pauli 1910
0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-09-28
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–2
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
L
2024-09-20
FC Augsburg
2–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
FC Bayern München Form
2024-10-30
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–4
FC Bayern München
W
2024-10-27
VfL Bochum 1848
0–5
FC Bayern München
W
2024-10-23
FC Barcelona
4–1
FC Bayern München
L
2024-10-19
FC Bayern München
4–0
VfB Stuttgart
W
2024-10-06
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–3
FC Bayern München
D
2024-10-02
Aston Villa FC
1–0
FC Bayern München
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18
FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
45%
Draw or FC Bayern München
79%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 0–4 not predicted0 – 4Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | FC Bayern München covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +1 | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 18% | 20% |
| +2.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

