Saturday , 14 November 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern Munchen, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 30 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — DFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
6 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct FC Bayern Munchen H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L
19 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 4–0 W
06 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
02 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

79% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern Munchen this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern Munchen
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Nadiem Amiri 2 G 2 A
FC Bayern Munchen
Michael Olise 3 G 1 A
Harry Kane 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! 1. FSV Mainz 05 welcome FC Bayern München for this crunch clash at MEWA Arena.
  • 2' Assisted by Harry Kane with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. 0-1!
  • 7' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Thomas Muller has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 12' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 17' With 1 assists to his name this season, Arijon Ibrahimovic is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern München.
  • 20' Poor challenge from Dominik Kohr. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 25' The travelling FC Bayern München supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 37' A stunning finish from Jamal Musiala — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Bo Henriksen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' That is a card for FC Bayern Munchen. Konrad Laimer will be fuming at that decision.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Moritz Jenz.
  • 46' What composure from Leroy Sane! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 46' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Jamal Musiala is replaced by Thomas Muller on 46 minute.
  • 47' Moritz Jenz makes way for Stefan Bell at the 47 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
  • 49' Goal! Jamal Musiala scores his 75 goal in 554 matches.
  • 54' Mathys Tel has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 56' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Daniel Gleiber comes on to replace Nadiem Amiri.
  • 58' Leon Goretzka is replacing Alphonso Davies for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 62' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Armindo Sieb trudges off to be replaced by Nelson Weiper on 62 minutes.
  • 64' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Paul Nebel on 64 minutes.
  • 69' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 74' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Arijon Ibrahimovic gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Eric Dier and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Bayern München's shape.
  • 87' Konrad Laimer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 23 goals in his last 527 appearances.
  • Another three points for FC Bayern München.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw23% FC Bayern München56%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
45%
Draw or FC Bayern München
79%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw40% FC Bayern München44%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.