Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 30 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L
19 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 4–0 W
06 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
02 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. FC Bayern München get us underway at MEWA Arena.
  • 2' What a strike from Jamal Musiala! The score is 0-1.
  • 7' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His 1. FSV Mainz 05 side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 12' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 17' It’s high time Vincent Kompany made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Dominik Kohr has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 20.
  • 25' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 30' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Philipp Mwene, as he is very good at scoring at MEWA Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 37' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. 0-2!
  • 42' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Min-Jae Kim has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 43' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
  • 45' That looks like a foul for a card for Moritz Jenz.
  • 46' Against the run of play, Leroy Sane has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 46' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Jamal Musiala is replaced by Thomas Muller on 46 minute.
  • 47' The supporters are chanting for Stefan Bell. He replaces Moritz Jenz on 47 minute.
  • 49' Brilliant from the ! Jamal Musiala makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 45.
  • 54' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 56' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Nadiem Amiri exits the field as Daniel Gleiber enters on 56.
  • 58' Leon Goretzka gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Alphonso Davies and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 62' 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nelson Weiper is hanging Armindo Sieb on the field on 62 minute.
  • 64' Paul Nebel was booked on 64.
  • 69' FC Bayern München seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 74' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 77' Arijon Ibrahimovic gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Eric Dier and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 82' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 87' The energy levels are beginning to show. Vincent Kompany might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw23% FC Bayern München56%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
45%
Draw or FC Bayern München
79%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw40% FC Bayern München44%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.