Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 30 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — DFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Mönchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L
19 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 4–0 W
06 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
02 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Nadiem Amiri 2 G 2 A
FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 2' A goal from the Germany international Jamal Musiala! He fires home on 2 to make it 0-1!
  • 7' Over 7 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 12' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 17' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Dominik Kohr.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 35' The 25-year-old Kaishu Sano has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 37' What a moment for Jamal Musiala! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 42' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 43' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Konrad Laimer.
  • 45' Moritz Jenz was booked on 45.
  • 46' Leroy Sane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 46' A change in the FC Bayern Munchen ranks — Jamal Musiala exits the field as Thomas Muller enters on 46.
  • 47' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Moritz Jenz is replaced by Stefan Bell.
  • 49' GOAL! Jamal Musiala fires home to make it 0-4!
  • 54' 1. FSV Mainz 05 currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Nadiem Amiri trudges off to be replaced by Daniel Gleiber on 56 minutes.
  • 58' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Alphonso Davies is replaced by Leon Goretzka on 58 minute.
  • 62' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Nelson Weiper comes on to replace Armindo Sieb.
  • 64' 1. FSV Mainz 05 player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 74' FC Bayern München are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 77' The FC Bayern Munchen bench stirs into life. Eric Dier is withdrawn and Arijon Ibrahimovic gets his opportunity.
  • 82' France international Mathys Tel has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 87' 1. FSV Mainz 05 are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Bayern München backline.
  • Another three points for FC Bayern München.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw23% FC Bayern München56%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
45%
Draw or FC Bayern München
79%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw40% FC Bayern München44%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 40% — 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% — 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.