Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, DFB-Pokal 2024-25 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2024-25
Wed 30 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern MünchenDFB-Pokal at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
25 Oct Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D
19 Oct RB Leipzig H 0–2 L
05 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–0 W
27 Oct VfL Bochum 1848 A 5–0 W
23 Oct FC Barcelona A 1–4 L
19 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 4–0 W
06 Oct Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–3 D
02 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at MEWA Arena as 1. FSV Mainz 05 face off against FC Bayern München in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 2' What a strike from Jamal Musiala! The score is 0-1.
  • 7' The energy levels are beginning to show. Bo Henriksen might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 12' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 17' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dominik Kohr on 20.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and FC Bayern München are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 35' Gabriel Vidovic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Bayern München tonight.
  • 37' What a moment for Jamal Musiala! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' It’s gonna be a card for Konrad Laimer.
  • 45' Moritz Jenz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' Magnificent from Leroy Sane! That is 85 goals in 436 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 46' Another change for FC Bayern Munchen made on 46 minute. Jamal Musiala leaves to be changed by Thomas Muller.
  • 47' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Moritz Jenz departs to be replaced by Stefan Bell.
  • 49' GOAL! Jamal Musiala fires home to make it 0-4!
  • 54' FC Bayern München come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 56' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Daniel Gleiber comes on to replace Nadiem Amiri.
  • 58' Fresh legs for FC Bayern Munchen! Leon Goretzka comes on to replace Alphonso Davies.
  • 62' Nelson Weiper gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Armindo Sieb and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 64' Paul Nebel is having his name booked by the referee on 64.
  • 69' It looks surprising FC Bayern München does not make any changes. Anthony Caci has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 74' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Arijon Ibrahimovic. He replaces Eric Dier on 77 minute.
  • 82' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 87' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 0-4 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.12 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.18 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw23% FC Bayern München56%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.3
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
45%
Draw or FC Bayern München
79%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw40% FC Bayern München44%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.8%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 3
6.8%
0 – 3
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
0 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
1 – 4
3.8%
1 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 40% 60%
+1 40% 22% 38%
+1.5 62% 38%
+2 62% 18% 20%
+2.5 80% 20%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
12%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
33%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.