Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
1. FSV Mainz 05
3 – 4
Full Time
FC Bayern München
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 13:30 UTC MEWA Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
Dominik Kohr 20' Y
Y 33' Konrad Laimer
Y 90' Michael Olise

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Bayern München — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
15 games this season 🟨 0.9/game ⚽ 8.1 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

4
1
13
1. FSV Mainz 05 18 games · Avg 4.8 goals FC Bayern München
Last 5 meetings
2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr FC Bayern München H 3–4 L
19 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D
12 Apr SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
04 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 2–1 W
22 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 2–1 W
15 Mar SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
FC Bayern München
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W
22 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
19 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 4–2 W
15 Apr Real Madrid CF H 4–3 W
11 Apr FC St. Pauli 1910 A 5–0 W
07 Apr Real Madrid CF A 2–1 W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Bayern München
#10 Position #1
40 Points 89
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 28 / 5 / 1
44 Scored 122
53 Conceded 36
-9 GD +86
1.18 PPG 2.62
29% Win % 82%

Key Stats

78% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
35% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC Bayern München are 1st (89 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at MEWA Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is showing some good football. However, 1. FSV Mainz 05 are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' FC Bayern München looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Harry Kane scoring 1 goals.
  • 15' GOAL! Dominik Kohr scores on 15. Assisted by Kaishu Sano
  • 20' A meaty challenge results in booking for Dominik Kohr on 20.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 29' GOAL! Paul Nebel scores on 29.
  • 33' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 33.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Aleksandar Pavlovic by Harry Kane on 46 minute.
  • 47' GOAL! Sheraldo Becker scores on 45.
  • 52' Danny da Costa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 53' GOAL! Nicolas Jackson scores on 53. Assisted by Konrad Laimer
  • 57' Jamal Musiala is replacing Raphael Guerreiro for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 67' Daniel Batz has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 71' Armindo Sieb has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sheraldo Becker on 71 minute.
  • 73' GOAL! Michael Olise scores on 73. Assisted by Konrad Laimer
  • 77' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Bara Sapoko Ndiaye is replaced by Jonathan Tah.
  • 79' The whistle greets Nadiem Amiri as he departs to be replaced by Lennart Maloney.
  • 80' What a strike from Jamal Musiala! The score is 3-3.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Anthony Caci. He replaces Silvan Widmer on 80 minute.
  • 83' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 270 goal in 385 matches.
  • 85' Another change for 1. FSV Mainz 05 made on 85 minute. Dominik Kohr leaves to be changed by Nelson Weiper.
  • 90' FC Bayern Munchen receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for FC Bayern München players.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Urs Fischer

FC Bayern München Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Vincent Kompany

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jamal Musiala 9
Robert Lewandowski 7
Leon Goretzka 5
Leroy Sane 5
Kingsley Coman 5
Harry Kane 5
Maxim Choupo-Moting 3
James Rodriguez 3

Head to Head

2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München 2025-12-14 FC Bayern München 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-04-26 FC Bayern München 3–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München 2024-10-30 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–4 FC Bayern München

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München L 2026-04-19 Borussia Monchengladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-04-12 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 SC Freiburg L 2026-04-04 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-03-22 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt W 2026-03-15 SV Werder Bremen 0–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

FC Bayern München Form

2026-04-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-22 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–2 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-19 FC Bayern München 4–2 VfB Stuttgart W 2026-04-15 FC Bayern München 4–3 Real Madrid CF W 2026-04-11 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–5 FC Bayern München W 2026-04-07 Real Madrid CF 1–2 FC Bayern München W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.25 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.11 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0517% Draw19% FC Bayern München64%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 4.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 79%
21%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 43%
57%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
36%
Draw or FC Bayern München
83%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Bayern München
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0513% Draw32% FC Bayern München55%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–4 not predicted
3 – 4
Actual
1 – 3
7.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
0 – 2
6.5%
0 – 3
6.4%
1 – 4
6%
1 – 1
5.7%
0 – 4
4.9%
2 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
3.9%
1 – 5
3.8%
2 – 4
3.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 3% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 7% 88%
-0.5 12% — 88%
+0.5 27% — 73%
+1 27% 18% 54%
+1.5 46% — 54%
+2 46% 19% 35%
+2.5 65% — 35%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
5% ✓
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.