Sunday , 16 August 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
Andrej Kramaric 4' 1–0
Andrej Kramaric 32' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
09 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
01 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05
#11 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 11th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.69 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.6 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 85% + Under — clean sheet likely 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim36% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0526%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 1.29
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 70%
30%
± 1.5 38%
62%
± 2.5 15%
85%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
74%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
64%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
62%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim18% Draw67% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
30.1%
1 – 0
17.2%
0 – 1
14.7%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
4.5%
2 – 1
4.1%
1 – 2
3.5%
2 – 2
1.4%
3 – 0
1.4%
3 – 1
1%
0 – 3
0.9%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 22% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 19% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
55%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.