TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
- Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
- Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
25 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 4.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Apr | RB Leipzig | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Mar | FC Augsburg | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Mar | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Apr | Holstein Kiel | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Mar | SC Freiburg | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Mar | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 3–1 | W |
| 01 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #10 |
| 61 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 18 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 65 | Scored | 44 |
| 52 | Conceded | 53 |
| +13 | GD | -9 |
| 1.79 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 53% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 5th (61 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
- 4' Andrej Kramaric adds to his 5 season tally! TSG 1899 Hoffenheim lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 9' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both TSG 1899 Hoffenheim and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 14' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 19' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against 1. FSV Mainz 05's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 23' Controversy at the stadium! Arthur Chaves argues furiously but the card stands.
- 28' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 32' Andrej Kramaric adds to his 5 season tally! TSG 1899 Hoffenheim lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 37' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have won 529 goals from 407 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 40' Time for substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05. Philipp Mwene is replaced by Arnaud Nordin.
- 45' It’s a booking for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player. Stanley N'Soki gets a card.
- 49' It’s gonna be a card for Paul Nebel.
- 54' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 54 minutes.
- 59' The 28-year-old Arnaud Nordin has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 64' 1. FSV Mainz 05 started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 64.
- 66' Armindo Sieb gets the nod from 1. FSV Mainz 05. He replaces Nikolas Veratschnig and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' A change in the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ranks — Bazoumana Toure exits the field as Adam Hlozek enters on 67.
- 72' Dennis Geiger has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 74' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim ring the changes. Marius Bulter has done his job and it is now time for David Jurasek to step up.
- 75' It’s a booking for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player. Tom Bischof gets a card.
- 80' Robin Zentner, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 82' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Dominik Kohr has done his job and it is now time for Hyun-seok Hong to step up.
- 85' Another change for TSG 1899 Hoffenheim made on 85 minute. Haris Tabakovic leaves to be changed by Erencan Yardimci.
- 90' The referee shows TSG 1899 Hoffenheim player a card on 90.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-0 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 1
-
27
Andrej Kramaric ↓ Dennis Geiger 85'
-
21
Marius Bulter ↓ David Jurasek 74'
- 26
- 15
- 16
- 35
- 7
- 34
-
29
Bazoumana Toure ↓ Adam Hlozek 67'
Bench
- 3
-
8
Dennis Geiger ↑ 85'
-
23
Adam Hlozek ↑ 67'
- 20
-
53
Erencan Yardimci ↑ 85'
- 37
- 17
- 14
-
19
David Jurasek ↑ 74'
Coach
Christian Ilzer
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 19
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Hyun-seok Hong 82'
-
2
Philipp Mwene ↓ Arnaud Nordin 40'
- 27
- 21
- 8
- 3
- 44
- 22
- 6
- 7
Bench
-
9
Arnaud Nordin ↑ 40'
- 15
- 33
- 30
- 25
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 66'
- 1
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↑ 82'
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 5 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 4 |
| Jean-Paul Boetius | 4 |
| Pavel Kaderabek | 3 |
| Ihlas Bebou | 3 |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta | 2 |
| Phillip Tietz | 2 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 2 |
Head to Head
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2025-04-12
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
2–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2025-04-05
RB Leipzig
3–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2025-03-29
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
FC Augsburg
D
2025-03-14
FC St. Pauli 1910
1–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2025-03-09
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–1
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
D
2025-03-01
VfL Bochum 1848
0–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.75
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
75%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
51%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 0
8.4%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
| Handicap | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 22% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 14% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.