Saturday , 14 November 2026

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 13:30 UTC PreZero Arena 30,150 HT 45' · FT 45'
Andrej Kramaric 4' 1–0
Andrej Kramaric 32' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at PreZero Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
9 games this season 🟨 2.6/game ⚽ 11.1 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–0 W
05 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–3 L
29 Mar FC Augsburg H 1–1 D
14 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–1 L
09 Mar 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–1 D
01 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–2 L
05 Apr Holstein Kiel H 1–1 D
30 Mar Borussia Dortmund A 1–3 L
15 Mar SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
07 Mar Borussia Mönchengladbach A 3–1 W
01 Mar RB Leipzig A 2–1 W

Season Stats

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 1. FSV Mainz 05
#9 Position #12
12 Points 10
9 Played 9
4 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 5
16 Scored 18
17 Conceded 19
-1 GD -1
1.33 PPG 1.11
44% Win % 33%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim are 9th (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
3/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
2/4
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/7
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Adam Daghim 2 G 2 A
Bambase Conte 2 G 2 A
Adam Hlozek 2 G 1 A
Tim Lemperle 2 G
Ozan Kabak 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 6 G
Anthony Caci 3 G 3 A
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 4 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.94 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 69% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim45% Draw24% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes69% 0% No31%
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or Draw
69%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
55%
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim or 1. FSV Mainz 05
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim34% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0526%
Actual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.7%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
0 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.9%
0 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

Handicap TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 16% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
20% ✗
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.